Derby vs Swansea
Swansea stroll to a commanding win at Derby
Three well-taken goals, including an early strike from Joseph Okopu, sealed a convincing victory for the visitors.
Swansea dismantled Derby with a 3-0 victory in the Championship, starting with Joseph Okopu's early goal in the second minute. Eom Ji-Sung doubled the lead just before half-time, and Ronald wrapped up the scoring in stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Derby win, turning the fixture into a clear Swansea triumph.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Derby and Swansea prepare to face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, aiming to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Derby finished last season ranked 8th with a +10 goal difference.
- 2.Swansea ended last season 11th with a -2 goal difference.
- 3.Derby have signed A. Mowatt, F. Bilbija, and C. Taylor ahead of the new season.
- 4.Swansea have added E. Just and R. Stewart but lost L. Cullen.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Derby.
- 6.The forecast fulltime score is 2-1 to Derby.
- 7.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
The context
Derby have bolstered their ranks with the signings of A. Mowatt, F. Bilbija, and C. Taylor, adding fresh options to their lineup. Swansea, meanwhile, have welcomed E. Just and R. Stewart while parting ways with L. Cullen. These changes set the stage for an intriguing battle as both sides look to establish early momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Analysis
Derby enter this fixture with a slight edge, reflected in their higher league standing from last season and a positive goal difference. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests Derby will start strongly, aiming to control the game early. Swansea will no doubt push back, but Derby's home advantage and squad reinforcements give them the upper hand. The forecast of four cards indicates a competitive and possibly feisty match.
Prediction
We anticipate Derby to take the win with a 2-1 scoreline. The home side is expected to lead at halftime by a single goal and maintain their advantage despite Swansea's efforts to equalise. This outcome aligns with the statistical probabilities favouring Derby's victory.
The verdict
In summary, Derby's summer signings and last season's stronger finish position them well to start the new campaign with a win. Swansea will provide a stern test, but the home side's edge should see them through to a 2-1 victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Okopu
Assist: Eom Ji-Sung
Okopu
Eom Ji-Sung
Blackett-Taylor
Hedges
Johnston
Idah
Fulton
Widell
Salvesen
Langås
Yellow Card
Stamenić
Yellow Card
Mowatt
Sanderson
Yellow Card
Travis
Yellow Card
Just
Yellow Card
Eom Ji-Sung
Ronald
Assist: Eustáquio
Match Statistics
Derby
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. Widell ZetterströmG
- 6S. LangåsD
- 8B. ClarkM
- 15L. SalvesenF
- 18C. TaylorD
- 20A. MowattM
- 22M. JohnstonD
- 26R. HedgesM
- 27L. TravisM
- 28D. SandersonD
- 33C. Blackett-TaylorM
Substitutes
- 3C. ForsythD
- 10R. BrewsterF
- 11S. SzmodicsF
- 13F. BilbijaM
- 23J. WardM
- 24R. NyambeD
- 29O. FrauloM
- 31J. VickersG
Swansea
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2J. KeyD
- 4J. FultonM
- 6M. StamenićM
- 7M. WidellM
- 10Eom Ji-SungF
- 14J. TymonD
- 22L. VigourouxG
- 23S. WelshD
- 26F. LissahD
- 30Joseph OkopuF
- 33A. IdahF
Substitutes
- 1A. FisherG
- 3J. SeeltD
- 8E. JustF
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 20Tiago ParenteD
- 35RonaldF
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 49M. YeoM
Derby
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brewster | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Mowatt | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| L. Salvesen | F | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| J. Widell Zetterström | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Szmodics | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| F. Bilbija | M | 21 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sanderson | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Hedges | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| L. Travis | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Blackett-Taylor | M | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| S. Langås | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Clark | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/5 |
| J. Ward | M | 44 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| M. Johnston | D | 46 | 5.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Fraulo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Vickers | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Nyambe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Forsyth | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swansea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eom Ji-Sung | F | 85 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| S. Welsh | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Okopu | F | 24 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Key | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 25 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ronald | F | 5 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Yeo | M | 66 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Widell | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| E. Just | F | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Idah | F | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Parente | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seelt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fisher | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Derby vs Swansea?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Derby to win against Swansea.
- What score did Fipster predict for Derby vs Swansea?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Derby 2–1 Swansea.
- What were the win probabilities for Derby vs Swansea?
- Fipster's model gave Derby a 85% chance of winning, Swansea a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.