Derby vs Norwich
Your time to shine.
Fancy your chances? Challenge a mate on this game.
Challenge a friendDerby and Norwich face off in the 14th round of the league stage, with Norwich looking to continue their better form against a struggling Derby side.
The context
Derby sit 23rd in the league with just 7 points from 12 games, while Norwich are 13th with 15 points from 13 matches. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced with 5 wins each and 4 draws, but current form favours Norwich.
Match factors
Derby missing key defenders including Sanderson
Derby will miss multiple defenders including Sanderson (red card) weakening defensive stability
Norwich's midfield defensive strength
Norwich's Stacey and Mattsson excel in tackles and interceptions, providing midfield defensive solidity
Norwich's positive scoring streak away
Norwich has scored in 4 of last 5 away matches, supporting predicted 2 goals
Derby's midfield creativity limited by lack of top assisters
Derby lacks top assisters, reducing creative threat against Norwich's defense
Analysis
Norwich have the edge in midfield defensive strength, with players like J. Stacey excelling in tackles and interceptions. Derby will miss key defender D. Sanderson due to suspension, weakening their backline. Norwich's recent away scoring form is solid, having found the net in 4 of their last 5 away games. Derby's creativity is limited by a lack of top assisters, which could hinder their ability to break down Norwich's defence.
Key insights
- J
J. Stacey
Norwich
Strong defensive stats with 29 tackles and 19 interceptions, providing midfield solidity.
Championship 26/2760.5% duel win rate, 778 minutes in 10 games
- D
D. Sanderson
Derby
Key defender missing due to red card suspension, weakening Derby's defence.
Championship 26/273 yellow cards and 1 red card this season
- N
Norwich team
Norwich
Scored in 4 of last 5 away matches, supporting predicted 2 goals.
Championship 26/27N/A
- D
Derby team
Derby
Lacks top assisters, reducing creative threat against Norwich's defence.
Championship 26/27N/A
Prediction
We expect Norwich to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. Derby will respond with a goal of their own, but Norwich should secure the win with a second goal, finishing 2-1.
Key facts
- 1.Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 12 games (W1 D4 L7).
- 2.Norwich are 13th with 15 points from 13 games (W5 D0 L8).
- 3.Norwich have a significantly better goal difference than Derby.
- 4.Norwich have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
- 5.Derby will miss defender D. Sanderson due to suspension.
- 6.J. Stacey of Norwich has a high duel win rate of 60.5%.
- 7.Derby's midfield lacks top assisters, limiting creativity.
The verdict
With Norwich's stronger league position, defensive solidity, and recent away scoring form, they look set to edge out Derby in this encounter. Derby's defensive absences and limited creativity make it tough for them to claim points here.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Derby
Away — Norwich
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 16:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Derby vs Norwich?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Norwich to win against Derby.
- What is the predicted score for Derby vs Norwich?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Derby 1–2 Norwich.
- What are the win probabilities for Derby vs Norwich?
- Fipster's model gives Derby a 16% chance of winning, Norwich a 68% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.