Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia
Deportivo La Coruna edge Valencia in three-goal thriller
A pair of own goals and Aubameyang's strike secure a nervy win for the hosts.
Deportivo La Coruna claimed a 3-1 victory over Valencia in a match punctuated by two own goals, one from César Tárrega early on and another from M. Diakhaby after the break. P. Aubameyang's first-half strike gave the hosts a strong foothold, despite U. Sadiq pulling one back for Valencia. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was more emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Deportivo La Coruna facing Valencia in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are eager to make a strong start, with Deportivo looking to assert themselves after their recent promotion and Valencia aiming to build on last season's solid mid-table finish.
Key facts
- 1.Deportivo La Coruna are newly promoted and starting fresh this season.
- 2.Valencia finished 9th in La Liga last season with 49 points from 38 games.
- 3.This is the first competitive meeting of the season for both teams.
- 4.The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Deportivo La Coruna.
- 5.The home win probability is the highest among possible outcomes at 34.5%.
- 6.2-1 is the most probable home win scoreline at 19.3%.
- 7.Halftime score patterns suggest a 1-0 lead for the home side before the final result.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the season for both sides. Deportivo La Coruna enter as the newly promoted team, stepping up to face Valencia, who finished ninth in La Liga last term. The match offers a fresh chapter for both clubs to showcase their preparations and ambitions for the campaign ahead.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting a closely contested match. The probabilities suggest a slight edge for Deportivo La Coruna, despite the overall balance between possible outcomes. The halftime and fulltime score patterns indicate a scenario where the home side takes an early lead and manages to hold on, with Valencia pushing back but ultimately falling short. The limited head-to-head history and the cross-division nature of this fixture add an element of unpredictability, but the home side's momentum from promotion could be a decisive factor.
Prediction
Expect Deportivo La Coruna to clinch a 2-1 victory over Valencia. The home side's enthusiasm and tactical setup are likely to give them the slight advantage needed to overcome a strong Valencia side. While the match could be tight, the predicted scoreline suggests Deportivo will find the net twice, edging out their opponents by a single goal.
The verdict
As the season opener, this match sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign for both teams. Deportivo La Coruna will be keen to start with a win to build confidence, while Valencia will look to respond in upcoming fixtures. Fans can anticipate a spirited contest with a narrow victory for the home side.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tárrega (OG)
Aubameyang
Assist: Soriano
Sadiq
Diakhaby (OG)
Sato
Luis Rioja
Javi Guerra
Riki Rodríguez
Diakhaby
Yellow Card
Pepelu
Luismi Cruz
Soriano
Martínez
Unknown
Ximo Navarro
Alti
Yellow Card
Alti
Yellow Card
Alti
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 |  Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4L. NoubiD
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 13Leo RománG
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 19Luismi CruzM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 22B. EdeD
- 23Ximo NavarroD
Substitutes
- 1Germán ParreñoG
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 3Arnau ComasD
- 8Diego VillaresM
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 10PekeF
- 11David MellaF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
- 24AngeliñoD
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 34T. GijselhartM
Valencia
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 4M. DiakhabyD
- 5César TárregaD
- 6U. SadiqF
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 11Luis RiojaD
- 18PepeluM
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 22Arnau MartínezD
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 39R. SatoF
Substitutes
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 14José GayàD
- 15A. DiengM
- 19Dani RabaF
- 20D. FoulquierD
- 25K. van OevelenG
- 27David OtorbiF
- 29A. PanachD
- 33Aaron MayolD
- 36Iker CórdobaD
- 38J. DuraM
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | F | 93 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mario Soriano | M | 73 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Lorenzo Amatucci | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Giacomo Quagliata | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Bright Ede | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Noubi | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luismi Cruz | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Riki Rodríguez | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Román | G | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ximo Navarro(C) | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnau Comas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Parreño | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Ferllo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Eddahchouri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Mella | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Villares | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrià Altimira | D | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Yeremay Hernández | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Loureiro | D | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Teun Gijselhart | M | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Valencia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umar Sadiq | F | 93 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pepelu | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arnau Martínez | D | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryunosuke Sato | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Guerra | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Mouctar Diakhaby(C) | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luis Rioja | D | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| César Tárrega | D | 93 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kayne van Oevelen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Luis Gayà | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Cordoba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Panach Olmo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaume Durá | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Mayol | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitri Foulquier | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| David Otorbi | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Arnaut Danjuma | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Aliou Dieng | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |