Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna
Deportivo La Coruna edge Osasuna in tight tussle
A late strike from B. Nsongo seals a narrow victory for the home side.
Osasuna took an early lead through A. Budimir's 32nd-minute goal, but Deportivo La Coruna fought back with Mario Soriano equalising after the break. The decisive moment came late on when B. Nsongo found the net in the 87th minute to secure a 2-1 win. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more dramatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna face off in this Regular Season - 11 fixture, with Deportivo looking to build on their solid league position and Osasuna aiming to improve their standing.
Match factors
Aubameyang's dual threat as scorer and assister
Aubameyang leads Deportivo in goals (5) and assists (2), making him central to attack and set-pieces
Superior passing and creativity from Deportivo midfield
Mario Soriano's 91% passing accuracy and 2 assists surpass league averages, boosting attacking chances
Deportivo's home scoring consistency
Deportivo have scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 2-0 win
Osasuna missing key attackers reduces scoring threat
Osasuna have no top scorers available, limiting their offensive options against Deportivo's defense
Defensive solidity from Deportivo's Amatucci and Navarro
Both players exceed league averages in tackles and interceptions, key to maintaining clean sheet
The context
Deportivo La Coruna currently sit 8th in the league with 10 points from 8 games, showing a better goal difference than Osasuna, who are 16th with 8 points. This suggests Deportivo have been more effective both offensively and defensively so far this season.
Key insights
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Deportivo La Coruna
Aubameyang leads Deportivo in goals (5) and assists (2), making him central to attack and set-pieces.
La Liga 26/275 goals, 7 apps, 0.71 goals/game
Mario Soriano
Deportivo La Coruna
Soriano's 91% passing accuracy and 2 assists surpass league averages, boosting attacking chances.
La Liga 26/272 assists, 10 apps, 0.2 assists/game
- L
Lorenzo Amatucci
Deportivo La Coruna
Amatucci's high tackle rate (2.6 tackles/game) and interceptions are key to maintaining a clean sheet.
La Liga 26/273 yellows, 1 red this season
Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna's attacking threat is spearheaded by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who leads the team with 5 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances. His dual role as scorer and playmaker makes him a constant danger. Midfielder Mario Soriano adds creativity with a 91% passing accuracy and 2 assists, boosting Deportivo's attacking chances. Defensively, Lorenzo Amatucci and Ximo Navarro provide solidity with above-average tackling and interceptions, key to maintaining a clean sheet. Osasuna, meanwhile, lack top scorers and face a tough challenge breaking down Deportivo's defence.
Key facts
- 1.Deportivo La Coruna are 8th in the league with 10 points from 8 games (W2 D4 L2).
- 2.Osasuna are 16th with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
- 3.Deportivo have a superior goal difference of +11 compared to Osasuna.
- 4.Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang leads Deportivo with 5 goals and 2 assists in 7 games.
- 5.Mario Soriano boasts a 91% passing accuracy and 2 assists this season.
- 6.Deportivo have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 7.Lorenzo Amatucci and Ximo Navarro excel defensively with high tackle and interception stats.
- 8.The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting moderate discipline.
Prediction
The prediction is a 2-0 home win for Deportivo La Coruna, with a halftime lead of 1-0. This scoreline reflects Deportivo's consistent home scoring form and defensive strength, while Osasuna are expected to struggle offensively. The match is also predicted to see around 4 cards, indicating a moderately disciplined contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Deportivo La Coruna
Away — Osasuna
No standout top scorers flagged for Osasuna
The verdict
Overall, Deportivo La Coruna look set to control the game and secure a comfortable victory. Their attacking firepower combined with defensive resilience should see them maintain the lead and keep Osasuna at bay.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 21:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Budimir
Assist: Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez
Yellow Card
Quagliata
Catena
Yellow Card
Soriano
Assist: Luismi Cruz
Moro
Luismi Cruz
Dubasin
Moncayola
Budimir
Bretones
Yellow Card
Kike Barja
Yellow Card
Nsongo
Rosier
Mella
Soriano
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 10PekeM
- 11David MellaM
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 13Leo RománG
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 19Luismi CruzF
- 20J. GiménezD
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 32B. NsongoF
Substitutes
- 3Arnau ComasD
- 4L. NoubiD
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 8Diego VillaresM
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 17AngeliñoD
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 33Kevin SánchezF
- 37NoéM
Osasuna
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 18Raul MoroF
- 19V. RosierD
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 24CatenaD
Substitutes
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 15Diego RicoD
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 31Rafa FernándezG
- 35U. SantosD
- 48R. YeboahD
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Soriano | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| B. Nsongo | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Luismi Cruz | F | 69 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Adama Traoré | F | 34 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 6/8 |
| Miguel Loureiro | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| G. Quagliata | D | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Adrià Alti | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Aubameyang | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Amatucci | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Giménez | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Mella | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Peke | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/7 |
| Diego Villares | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnau Comas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riki Rodríguez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ximo Navarro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noé | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Sánchez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Noubi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Budimir | F | 78 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Moi Gómez | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Arguibide | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Moro | F | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| V. Rosier | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Abel Bretones | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Dubasin | F | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Asier Osambela | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Raúl García | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Catena | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 1 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubén García | M | 21 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moncayola | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafa Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yeboah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Deportivo La Coruna to win against Osasuna.
- What score did Fipster predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Deportivo La Coruna 2–0 Osasuna.
- What were the win probabilities for Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's model gave Deportivo La Coruna a 79% chance of winning, Osasuna a 10% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 79% confidence — a high-confidence call.