Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
Elche snatch draw at Deportivo
Marc Aguado's second-half strike cancels out Aubameyang's opener.
Deportivo La Coruna looked set for victory after P. Aubameyang put them ahead in the first half, but Elche fought back with a well-timed goal from Marc Aguado after the break to secure a 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, proving that Elche had other ideas on the day.
Analysis
The new football season kicks off with Deportivo La Coruna facing Elche in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Deportivo looking to make a strong impression on home turf.
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the season for both sides. Deportivo La Coruna are newly promoted and stepping up to face Elche, who finished 15th in La Liga last season with 43 points from 38 games. Elche have lost André Silva to free agency over the summer, which may impact their attacking options.
Deportivo La Coruna enter this match with a better goal difference this season, despite no prior matches played, indicating a solid defensive setup. Elche, while having a points-per-game advantage last season, face the challenge of adapting to a new opponent and the loss of a key player. The prediction model favours a home win with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting a tight but decisive contest.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Deportivo La Coruna, with a high confidence level of 95%. This scoreline is the most probable home win outcome, suggesting a closely fought match where the home side just edges ahead.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
As the season opener, this match sets the stage for both teams' campaigns. Deportivo La Coruna look poised to make a positive start, while Elche will aim to bounce back and find their rhythm in the league. Expect a spirited game with fine margins deciding the winner.
- Deportivo La Coruna are newly promoted and starting fresh this season.
- Elche finished 15th in La Liga last season with 43 points from 38 games.
- Elche have lost André Silva to free agency over the summer.
- Deportivo La Coruna have a better goal difference than Elche this season (8 goals).
- Elche have a points-per-game advantage (1.13) over Deportivo La Coruna (0.00) from last season.
- The predicted outcome is a 2-1 home win for Deportivo La Coruna.
- The confidence in the home win prediction is very high at 95%.
- This is the first competitive fixture of the season for both teams.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Deportivo La Coruna
Away — Elche
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Aubameyang
Assist: Amatucci
Ximo Navarro
Yellow Card
Amatucci
Yellow Card
Asp Jensen
Neto
Redondo
Unknown
Villar
Yellow Card
Unknown
Alti
Soriano
Aguado
Assist: Villar
Houary
Valera
Aubameyang
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Deportivo La Coruna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Adrià AltiM
- 4L. NoubiD
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 13Leo RománG
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 22B. EdeD
- 23Ximo NavarroD
Substitutes
- 1Germán ParreñoG
- 3Arnau ComasD
- 8Diego VillaresM
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 11David MellaF
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 19Luismi CruzF
- 24AngeliñoD
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 34T. GijselhartM
Elche
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1M. DituroG
- 2Buba SangaréD
- 5F. RedondoD
- 8Marc AguadoM
- 11Germán ValeraD
- 12Gonzalo VillarM
- 16Martim NetoM
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 23Víctor ChustD
- 29Ali HouaryM
Substitutes
- 6BigasD
- 9E. PonceF
- 10F. BuonanotteM
- 17JosanM
- 20Tete MorenteF
- 21L. CepedaF
- 43Alejandro IturbeG
- 47J. MorcilloM
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | F | 85 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lorenzo Amatucci | M | 94 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Leo Román | G | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bright Ede | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mario Soriano | M | 71 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adrià Altimira | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Noubi | D | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ximo Navarro(C) | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Giacomo Quagliata | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Ferllo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Loureiro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Parreño | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riki Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnau Comas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teun Gijselhart | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Eddahchouri | F | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diego Villares | M | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Mella | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luismi Cruz | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Elche
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Aguado | M | 94 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Germán Valera | D | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| David Affengruber | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Víctor Chust | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 94 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Federico Redondo | D | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Houary | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3/6 |
| Martim Neto | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Buba Sangaré | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Matías Dituro(C) | G | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bigas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Buonanotte | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Iturbe | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Morcillo | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cepeda | F | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Deportivo La Coruna to win against Elche.
- What score did Fipster predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Deportivo La Coruna 2–1 Elche.
- What were the win probabilities for Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
- Fipster's model gave Deportivo La Coruna a 95% chance of winning, Elche a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.