DC United vs Nashville SC
DC United claw back to deny Nashville victory
A spirited fightback from DC United earns them a share of the spoils against Nashville SC.
Nashville SC looked set for a comfortable win after S. Surridge's penalty and S. Mohammed's strike put them two goals ahead before half-time. However, DC United rallied after the break with goals from S. Hefti and T. Baribo to level the match at 2-2. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Nashville, proving the home side's resilience.
Analysis
As the MLS regular season rolls on, DC United face Nashville SC in what promises to be a competitive fixture. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking flair, but recent form and head-to-head stats suggest Nashville might just have the edge.
This match is part of the 18th round of the MLS regular season. Historically, Nashville SC have had the upper hand in their encounters with DC United, winning half of their 14 meetings. The average goals per game between these sides hover around 3.2, indicating an open and potentially entertaining game.
Nashville SC's attacking midfield duo, Cristian Espinoza and Bryan Acosta, have been instrumental in creating chances, boasting multiple assists recently. Their creativity could exploit DC United's defensive vulnerabilities, despite the efforts of stalwarts like Keisuke Kurokawa and Silvan Hefti. On the other side, DC United's Tai Baribo remains a consistent goal threat, having netted three times in his last five matches. However, Nashville's superior recent form and scoring rate, with a 75% win rate and an average of 2.1 goals per game, give them a tactical and statistical advantage.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Nashville SC with a 68% confidence level. The expected halftime score is 0-1, consistent with the fulltime prediction of 1-2. The match is also anticipated to be moderately physical, with around three cards likely to be shown.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Nashville's attacking midfield creativity vs DC United's defense
Nashville's Espinoza and Acosta provide strong creative threat exploiting DC United's defensive gaps.
Nashville's superior recent form and scoring rate
Nashville boasts 75% win rate and 2.1 avg goals scored vs DC United's 25% win rate and 1.4 goals.
Tai Baribo's consistent scoring form for DC United
Baribo has scored in multiple recent matches, showing reliability despite team struggles.
DC United's defensive stalwarts key to limiting Nashville
Kurokawa and Hefti's defensive and assist contributions crucial to disrupt Nashville's attack.
Recent draw between teams indicates competitive balance
Last meeting ended 2-2, showing both teams can score and defend effectively against each other.
Key Takeaways
In summary, while DC United will look to leverage their home advantage and key players like Baribo, Nashville SC's attacking prowess and recent dominance make them favourites to take all three points in this encounter.
- Nashville SC have won 7 of 14 head-to-head matches against DC United.
- The average goals per game in their meetings is 3.2, suggesting an open game.
- Nashville SC boast a 75% win rate recently, compared to DC United's 25%.
- Tai Baribo has scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches for DC United.
- Cristian Espinoza has provided 3 assists in the last 10 matches for Nashville SC.
- The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Nashville SC.
- The match is expected to see around 3 cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — DC United
Away — Nashville SC
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Surridge
Penalty
Mohammed
Mukhtar
Yellow Card
Baribo
Yellow Card
Hefti
Mohammed
Qasem
Servania
Hopkins
Bartlett
Yellow Card
Mukhtar
Baribo
Assist: Munteanu
Tagseth
Najar
Saad
Yellow Card
Munteanu
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 3L. BartlettD
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 9T. BariboF
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 21A. DozzellM
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 25J. HopkinsM
Substitutes
- 4M. PeltolaD
- 8J. StroudM
- 13S. NealisD
- 22N. OrdazF
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 32O. AvilezF
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 31A. NajarD
- 37A. QasemM
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 11E. SaadF
- 12C. BrunetM
- 13X. ValdezG
- 22J. BauerD
- 23J. KnightD
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 41W. MadrigalF
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silvan Hefti | D | 97 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tai Baribo | F | 97 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1/2 |
| João Peglow | M | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 91 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0/3 |
| Andre Dozzell | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Brandon Servania | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sean Johnson | G | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Nealis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Avilez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | D | 33 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakur Mohammed | M | 62 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Brian Schwake | G | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edvard Tagseth | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Najar | D | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Hany Mukhtar(C) | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sam Surridge | F | 97 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Charles-Emile Brunet | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Knight | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xavier Valdez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Josh Bauer | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Elias Saad | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | D | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |