DC United vs Columbus Crew
Match recap
DC United beat Columbus Crew 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Baribo and Baribo scored for DC United; Rodríguez replied for Columbus Crew. DC United held 28% possession to 72% for Columbus Crew.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 DC United win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
DC United and Columbus Crew face off in what promises to be a closely contested regular season match. Both sides have shown attacking intent, but DC United's recent home performances and key players could tip the scales.
Match factors
DC United missing key attacker Louis Munteanu
Munteanu is confirmed out with a leg injury, removing a creative and scoring option from DC United's attack
Columbus Crew without Wessam Abou Ali
Abou Ali is out injured, losing a prolific attacker who scored 5 goals in 7 games this season
Tai Baribo's scoring form and home advantage
Baribo's strong home scoring rate and recent form give DC United a key edge in attack
Keisuke Kurokawa's assist contribution
Kurokawa's 6 assists this season and consistent starts provide DC United with creative supply from defense
Kimito Nono's recent goal and assist form
Nono has 2 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games, showing rising influence in DC United's midfield
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 regular season, round 24. Historically, Columbus Crew have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, but DC United have shown resilience and attacking prowess, especially on home turf.
Key insights
Tai Baribo
DC United
Baribo’s 14 goals this season and strong home scoring rate make him a key threat for DC United’s attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 21 apps, 0.67 goals/game
Keisuke Kurokawa
DC United
Kurokawa’s 6 assists and consistent starts provide vital creativity from defence for DC United.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 28 apps, 0.21 assists/game
Kimito Nono
DC United
Nono’s recent form with 2 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games boosts DC United’s midfield creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/272 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games
- D
Diego Rossi Marachlian
Columbus Crew
Rossi is Columbus’s top scorer with 6 goals but is currently experiencing a goal drought.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 15 apps, 0.4 goals/game
Analysis
DC United's attacking threat is spearheaded by Tai Baribo, who boasts 14 goals this season and a strong home scoring record. Keisuke Kurokawa's creativity from defence, with 6 assists, adds another dimension to their play. Columbus Crew rely heavily on Diego Rossi Marachlian, their top scorer with 6 goals, though recent form suggests a slight drought. Injuries have impacted both sides, with DC United missing Louis Munteanu and Columbus without Wessam Abou Ali, both key attacking players. The match is expected to be tight, with DC United's home advantage and attacking depth giving them a slight edge.
Key facts
- 1.DC United have scored 14 goals this season through Tai Baribo, their leading scorer.
- 2.Keisuke Kurokawa leads DC United with 6 assists, providing key creativity from defence.
- 3.Columbus Crew's top scorer Diego Rossi Marachlian has 6 goals this season but is currently in a goal drought.
- 4.Both teams are missing important attackers due to injury: Louis Munteanu (DC United) and Wessam Abou Ali (Columbus Crew).
- 5.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew have won 10, DC United 6, with 4 draws.
- 6.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating an open contest.
- 7.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of DC United.
- 8.The match is expected to feature around 4 total cards, reflecting a competitive edge.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for DC United. The home side's ability to convert chances, particularly through Baribo, combined with Kurokawa's supply, should be enough to overcome Columbus Crew's challenge. Expect a competitive game with a few cards, but ultimately a narrow home win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — DC United
Away — Columbus Crew
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards a DC United win, the low confidence in this call suggests the match could easily swing either way. Fans should brace for a spirited contest with moments of quality from both sides.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:15 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Karumanchi
Yellow Card
Ruvalcaba
Yellow Card
Peglow
Yellow Card
Baribo
Assist: Munteanu
Baribo
Assist: Nono
Habroune
Ruvalcaba
Hopkins
Rodríguez
Assist: Josef Martínez
Penalty cancelled
Rowles
Yellow Card
Josef Martínez
Munteanu
Chambost
Baribo
Rodríguez
Peglow
Johnson
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
DC United
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 2K. NonoM
- 3L. BartlettD
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 9T. BariboF
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 21A. DozzellM
- 25J. HopkinsF
Substitutes
- 4M. PeltolaD
- 8J. StroudM
- 13S. NealisD
- 22N. OrdazF
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 32O. AvilezF
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Columbus Crew
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7D. ChambostM
- 8S. RodríguezM
- 11B. LennonD
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 23M. FarsiM
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 28P. SchulteG
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 77Josef MartínezF
Substitutes
- 1N. HagenG
- 3E. BaillyD
- 10Brais MéndezM
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 20André GomesM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 33G. TapiaF
- 54Luke PruterG
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Baribo | F | 77 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| K. Nono | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| L. Munteanu | F | 70 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Dozzell | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peltola | D | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Ordaz | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Hefti | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Hopkins | F | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Servania | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Peglow | M | 92 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| K. Rowles | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| K. Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Johnson | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bono | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nealis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Stroud | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Avilez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rodríguez | M | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4/4 |
| D. Chambost | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Amundsen | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Brais Méndez | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Farsi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| André Gomes | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Josef Martínez | F | 60 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Lennon | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| J. Thiaré | F | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Karumanchi | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Tapia | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Cesar Ruvalcaba | D | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hagen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Pruter | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Giaccone | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bailly | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win DC United vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's AI model predicted DC United to win against Columbus Crew.
- What score did Fipster predict for DC United vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster predicted a final score of DC United 2–1 Columbus Crew.
- What were the win probabilities for DC United vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's model gave DC United a 35% chance of winning, Columbus Crew a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.