DC United vs Charlotte
Charlotte edges DC United in tight clash
Saint-Maximin's strike seals a narrow win for Charlotte after Bartlett's equaliser.
Charlotte took an early lead through A. Westwood before DC United's L. Bartlett levelled just after the break. However, A. Saint-Maximin restored Charlotte's advantage in the 71st minute, securing a 2-1 victory. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved elusive.
Outcome probability
DC United and Charlotte face off in a match expected to deliver plenty of goals and drama. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, but Charlotte hold a slight edge historically and in current attacking prowess.
Match factors
Tai Baribo's Scoring Prowess
Baribo leads DC United with 14 goals this season, significantly above league average for attackers, making him the primary scoring threat.
Pep Biel's Dual Threat
Pep Biel contributes both goals (9) and assists (6) for Charlotte, providing a balanced attacking threat from midfield.
Kurokawa's Offensive Support from Defense
Kurokawa's 4 assists from defense indicate DC United's ability to create chances from wide defensive positions, aiding Baribo and Munteanu.
Charlotte's Strong Away Scoring Streak
Charlotte has scored in all last 5 away games, showing strong offensive form on the road, led by Biel and Toklomati Giorno.
Full Squad Availability Boosts DC United Attack
No confirmed injuries for DC United means key attackers Baribo and Munteanu are available, maximizing scoring potential.
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season where Charlotte have historically dominated the head-to-head record, winning 7 of 11 encounters against DC United. Matches between these sides tend to be lively affairs, averaging nearly three goals per game.
Key insights
Tai Baribo
DC United
Baribo leads DC United with 14 goals, well above league average for attackers, making him the primary scoring threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 18 appearances, 0.78 goals/game
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Pep Biel contributes both goals (9) and assists (6), providing a balanced attacking threat from midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals and 6 assists in 22 appearances
Keisuke Kurokawa
DC United
Kurokawa's 4 assists from defense indicate DC United's ability to create chances from wide defensive positions.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 24 appearances, 0.17 assists/game
Analysis
Charlotte's attacking threat is led by Pep Biel, who has contributed 9 goals and 6 assists this season, making him a key creative force. Their forward Idan Toklomati Giorno has been in strong away form, netting 3 goals in his last 5 away games. DC United will rely heavily on Tai Baribo, their top scorer with 14 goals, who has been particularly effective at home. Defensively, DC United's Keisuke Kurokawa provides valuable support with his crossing and set-piece deliveries. The predicted 3-2 scoreline reflects the offensive strengths on both sides, with Charlotte's recent away scoring streak tipping the balance in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.Charlotte lead the head-to-head with 7 wins in 11 matches against DC United.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 2.7 goals, indicating open play.
- 3.Tai Baribo is DC United's top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- 4.Pep Biel leads Charlotte with 9 goals and 6 assists, a key creative force.
- 5.Charlotte have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
- 6.Keisuke Kurokawa provides DC United with 4 assists from defense this season.
- 7.Both teams have mixed recent form, with Charlotte slightly better positioned.
Prediction
We expect Charlotte to secure a narrow 3-2 win over DC United. While the home side boasts a prolific scorer in Baribo, Charlotte's balanced attack and recent form on the road should see them edge this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — DC United
Away — Charlotte
The verdict
In what should be an entertaining contest, Charlotte's historical advantage and attacking momentum make them the likely winners. DC United will fight hard, but the visitors' firepower is expected to prevail in a close, high-scoring game.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Peglow
Yellow Card
Westwood
Schnegg
Yellow Card
Bartlett
Assist: Kurokawa
Dozzell
Yellow Card
Hopkins
Schnegg
Abada
Saint-Maximin
Assist: Westwood
Servania
Toklomati Giorno
Westwood
Yellow Card
Dozzell
Saint-Maximin
Biel
Match Statistics
DC United
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 2K. NonoD
- 3L. BartlettD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 9T. BariboF
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 21A. DozzellM
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 25J. HopkinsF
Substitutes
- 4M. PeltolaD
- 5S. HeftiD
- 8J. StroudM
- 12C. AntleyD
- 13S. NealisD
- 22N. OrdazF
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 3T. ReamD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10A. Saint-MaximinM
- 11L. AbadaM
- 13B. BronicoM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 16Pep BielM
- 22H. KesslerD
- 23D. SchneggD
Substitutes
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 21T. MillerG
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 28D. DianiM
- 35Will ClearyD
- 37R. AlokoF
- 44M. AgyemangD
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 93 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 3/3 |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 93 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| João Peglow | M | 93 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| Andre Dozzell | M | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | F | 65 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Brandon Servania | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Kimito Nono | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tai Baribo | F | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Kye Rowles | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Johnson | G | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Silvan Hefti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Nealis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | D | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Westwood(C) | M | 93 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 93 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Tim Ream | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Kessler | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| David Schnegg | D | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Liel Abada | M | 69 | 5.5 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 0/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luca De La Torre | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Miller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win DC United vs Charlotte?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlotte to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for DC United vs Charlotte?
- Fipster predicted a final score of DC United 2–3 Charlotte.
- What were the win probabilities for DC United vs Charlotte?
- Fipster's model gave DC United a 32% chance of winning, Charlotte a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.