Spain vs Czechia
Match recap
Spain beat Czechia 3–1 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Yamal, Rodri, and Merino scored for Spain; Sláma replied for Czechia. Spain held 70% possession to 30% for Czechia.
Outcome probability
Spain and Czechia face off in a League A encounter where Spain's recent form and attacking prowess give them the slight upper hand. Expect a competitive match with Spain aiming to continue their winning streak.
Match factors
Spain's prolific attacking form at home
Spain have scored 4 goals in their last home game, showing strong offensive momentum
Lamine Yamal's exceptional scoring rate
Yamal scored 3 goals in last 2 games, well above league average for attackers
Álex Baena's dual threat as scorer and assister
Baena has 1 goal and 2 assists in last 2 games, showing strong recent form
No confirmed absences for Spain or Czechia
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed injuries affecting key players
Pau Cubarsí's superior passing accuracy
Cubarsí's 98% passing accuracy surpasses league average, aiding Spain's build-up play
The context
In this League A round 3 fixture, Spain have won both their matches so far, scoring 7 goals and conceding 3. Czechia, on the other hand, have lost both their games, scoring just once while conceding 4. This sets the stage for Spain to press their advantage.
Key insights
Lamine Yamal
Spain
Yamal scored 3 goals in last 2 games, well above league average for attackers, making him Spain's key offensive threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/273 goals in last 2 games, 90 mins avg
Álex Baena
Spain
Baena has 1 goal and 2 assists in last 2 games, showing strong recent form and creativity in midfield.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal, 2 assists in last 2 games, 35 mins avg
- P
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Spain
Cubarsí's 98% passing accuracy surpasses league average, aiding Spain's build-up play and ball retention.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Passing accuracy 98%, high passes per game (59)
Adam Karabec
Czechia
Karabec is Czechia's top scorer with 1 goal in this competition, representing their main offensive outlet.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 games, 74 mins avg
Analysis
Spain's attacking momentum is spearheaded by Lamine Yamal, who has netted 3 goals in the last two games, showcasing a clinical edge in front of goal. Midfielders Álex Baena and Dani Olmo provide creativity and assists, linking play effectively. Czechia's main threat comes from Adam Karabec, their top scorer with a goal in this competition, but their defensive frailties have been exposed in previous matches. Spain's superior passing accuracy, particularly from Pau Cubarsí, aids their build-up play, making them a tough side to break down at home.
Key facts
- 1.Spain have won both matches in this competition, scoring 7 goals and conceding 3.
- 2.Czechia have lost both matches, scoring 1 and conceding 4 goals.
- 3.Lamine Yamal has scored 3 goals in the last 2 games, leading Spain's attack.
- 4.Álex Baena has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 2 games.
- 5.Pau Cubarsí boasts a 98% passing accuracy, aiding Spain's build-up play.
- 6.Adam Karabec is Czechia's top scorer with 1 goal in this competition.
- 7.The most probable home win scoreline is 2-1, with a medium confidence level.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Spain with a 2-1 scoreline. While the match is finely balanced, Spain's attacking form and home advantage tip the scales in their favour. Expect a competitive game with Spain edging out Czechia by a single goal.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Spain
Away — Czechia
The verdict
Spain look poised to maintain their perfect record in this competition with a narrow victory over Czechia. Czechia will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking impetus to challenge Spain's dominance in future fixtures.
Prediction generated 29 Sep 2026, 20:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Yamal
Assist: Dani Olmo
Rodri
Álex Baena
Yamal
Macek
Ambros
Dani Olmo
Pedri
Sláma
Assist: Hložek
Radosta
Král
Rodri
Krejčí
Yellow Card
Sadílek
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Krejčí
Red Card
Hložek
Lingr
Yellow Card
Merino
Kinský
Yellow Card
Fermín
Yellow Card
Chaloupek
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Spain
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1David RayaG
- 3Robin Le NormandD
- 4Iván FresnedaD
- 5Fran GarcíaD
- 10Dani OlmoM
- 14Aymeric LaporteD
- 15Álex BaenaF
- 16RodriM
- 17Roberto FernándezF
- 19Lamine YamalF
- 20PedriM
Substitutes
- 2D. HuijsenD
- 6Mikel MerinoM
- 7Víctor MuñozF
- 9FermínM
- 11Yeremy PinoM
- 12Marc PubillD
- 13Josep MartínezG
- 18Martín ZubimendiM
- 21Mikel OyarzabalF
- 22Marc CucurellaD
- 23Unai SimónG
Czechia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5J. SlámaD
- 6Š. ChaloupekD
- 7L. KrejčíD
- 10A. HložekF
- 13L. AmbrosM
- 18M. RadostaM
- 19R. MacekM
- 20O. LingrM
- 21A. KrálM
- 22M. SáčekD
- 23A. KinskýG
Substitutes
- 1M. KovářG
- 2O. KričfalušiD
- 3O. ZmrzlýD
- 4R. HranáčD
- 8M. SadílekM
- 9R. NaderiF
- 11D. VašulínF
- 12L. ČervM
- 14M. VitíkD
- 15M. ŠubertM
- 16L. HorníčekG
- 17P. BuchaM
Spain
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri | M | 77 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lamine Yamal | F | 46 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Fran García | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Mikel Merino | M | 23 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | F | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dani Olmo | M | 67 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0/2 |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pedri | M | 67 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| David Raya | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fermín | M | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Josep Martínez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Simón | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Czechia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hložek | F | 87 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. Sláma | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sáček | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Kinský | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Naderi | F | 33 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Macek | M | 57 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Š. Chaloupek | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Ambros | M | 57 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Král | M | 73 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Vitík | D | 3 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Červ | M | 33 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Bucha | M | 17 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Radosta | M | 73 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| M. Sadílek | M | 17 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Krejčí | D | 85 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | M | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Šubert | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Zmrzlý | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vašulín | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kovář | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hranáč | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Horníček | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kričfaluši | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Spain vs Czechia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Spain to win against Czechia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Spain vs Czechia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Spain 2–1 Czechia.
- What were the win probabilities for Spain vs Czechia?
- Fipster's model gave Spain a 50% chance of winning, Czechia a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.