Cyprus vs Latvia
Match recap
Cyprus beat Latvia 2–1 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Kosti and Edwards scored for Cyprus; Dašķevičs replied for Latvia. Cyprus held 62% possession to 38% for Latvia.
Outcome probability
Cyprus and Latvia face off in a League C fixture where a tight contest is expected. Both teams have had mixed fortunes in the competition so far, but Cyprus look poised to leverage their home advantage and recent form.
Match factors
Cyprus midfield control via G. Kastanos
Kastanos' high passing accuracy (90%) and defensive work rate give Cyprus midfield dominance
Marcus Edwards leads Cyprus scoring threat
Edwards has 1 goal in 2 games with 0.5 goals per game, above midfielder average
Cyprus positive scoring streak at home
Cyprus scored in last home game and have a current positive scoring streak at home
No confirmed injuries for Cyprus or Latvia
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed outs to affect lineups
The context
In this League C campaign, Cyprus have played three matches with a record of one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring three goals and conceding two. Latvia, meanwhile, have yet to win in three matches, drawing once and losing twice, with just one goal scored and four conceded. Their previous head-to-head meeting ended in a draw, setting the stage for a closely fought encounter.
Key insights
- G
G. Kastanos
Cyprus
Kastanos' high passing accuracy (90%) and defensive work rate give Cyprus midfield dominance.
UEFA Nations League 26/2790% passing accuracy, 50 passes, 6 tackles, 72% duel win rate
Marcus Edwards
Cyprus
Edwards has 1 goal in 2 games with 0.5 goals per game, above midfielder average, making him a key attacking threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances, 0.5 goals per game, 5 shots in recent away game
Analysis
Cyprus hold a clear statistical edge with a strong probability of a home win, particularly a 1-0 scoreline. Their midfield control, led by G. Kastanos with impressive passing accuracy and defensive work, provides a solid foundation. Marcus Edwards stands out as the key attacking threat, boasting a goal in two games and a high shot count. Latvia's struggles in the competition and limited scoring threat suggest they will find it tough to break down Cyprus' defence, which is bolstered by players like G. Malekkides. The predicted halftime lead of 1-0 for Cyprus aligns well with the full-time score, indicating a disciplined defensive effort to maintain the advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Cyprus have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 2).
- 2.Latvia have played 3 matches in this competition (W0 D1 L2, GF 1 / GA 4).
- 3.In 1 head-to-head meeting, Cyprus and Latvia drew 0-0.
- 4.Home win outcomes have a combined probability of 84%.
- 5.1-0 is the most probable home win scoreline at 21.5%.
- 6.Halftime score of 1-0 aligns with the predicted fulltime result.
- 7.Marcus Edwards is Cyprus' top scorer with 1 goal in 2 games.
- 8.G. Kastanos controls midfield with 90% passing accuracy and strong defensive stats.
Prediction
Expect Cyprus to take an early lead by halftime and hold on to secure a 1-0 victory. The match should feature a few cards, with a total of four predicted, reflecting a competitive but controlled game. Cyprus' ability to control midfield and capitalize on their scoring chances will be decisive.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cyprus
Away — Latvia
The verdict
This League C fixture promises a tight battle, but Cyprus' home form and key player performances make them the favourites to claim all three points. Latvia will need to find a way to unlock Cyprus' defence if they are to avoid a narrow defeat.
Prediction generated 2 Oct 2026, 17:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Jurkovskis
Yellow Card
Strods
Vapne
Dašķevičs
Assist: Gutkovskis
Loizou
Kakoullis
Gutkovskis
Pittas
Artymatas
Kosti
Dašķevičs
Patijčuks
Yellow Card
Konomis
Yellow Card
Cigaņiks
Yellow Card
Zelenkovs
Kastanos
Edwards
Assist: Tsaroulla
Match Statistics
Cyprus
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1FabianoG
- 3N. PanagiotouD
- 4H. KyprianouD
- 9I. PittasF
- 10L. LoizouM
- 11A. KakoullisM
- 14G. MalekkidesD
- 15L. KonomisD
- 18K. ArtymatasM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 23M. EdwardsM
Substitutes
- 2E. AntoniouD
- 5K. SotiriouD
- 6N. TsaroullaD
- 7A. NeophytouF
- 8C. KyriakouM
- 12J. MallG
- 13I. KostiM
- 16P. AndreouM
- 17A. ChristouD
- 19S. GeorgiouF
- 21M. TzionisF
- 22A. ParaskevasG
Latvia
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2D. BalodisD
- 4O. VientiessD
- 7E. DašķevičsM
- 9V. GutkovskisF
- 10L. VapneM
- 13R. JurkovskisD
- 14A. CigaņiksD
- 15D. ZelenkovsM
- 17M. StrodsM
- 21D. MeļņiksD
- 23R. MatrevicsG
Substitutes
- 1N. PuriņšG
- 3G. ŽaleikoM
- 5O. RubenisF
- 6D. PatijčuksM
- 8E. EmsisM
- 12F. OrolsG
- 16K. ČudarsM
- 18A. AleksanjanM
- 19M. ToņiševsD
- 20R. UldriķisF
- 22A. SaveļjevsM
Cyprus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Kosti | M | 32 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| M. Edwards | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2/5 |
| G. Kastanos | M | 91 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| H. Kyprianou | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Malekkides | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| L. Loizou | M | 58 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| N. Panagiotou | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Artymatas | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Georgiou | F | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| I. Pittas | F | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Neophytou | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Kyriakou | M | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabiano | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Konomis | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Kakoullis | M | 58 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Mall | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Sotiriou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tzionis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Paraskevas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tsaroulla | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Antoniou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Andreou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Christou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latvia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Matrevics | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dašķevičs | M | 74 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| D. Balodis | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| V. Gutkovskis | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| O. Vientiess | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Vapne | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Zelenkovs | M | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Meļņiks | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Čudars | M | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| A. Cigaņiks | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Strods | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Patijčuks | M | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Saveļjevs | M | 2 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Aleksanjan | M | 16 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Jurkovskis | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| O. Rubenis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Puriņš | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Orols | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Toņiševs | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Emsis | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Žaleiko | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cyprus vs Latvia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Cyprus to win against Latvia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cyprus vs Latvia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cyprus 1–0 Latvia.
- What were the win probabilities for Cyprus vs Latvia?
- Fipster's model gave Cyprus a 88% chance of winning, Latvia a 6% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.