CSKA Sofia vs Monaco
Monaco edges CSKA Sofia in tight contest
Josua Brunner and Ansu Fati strike to secure a narrow away win.
Monaco took an early lead through Paris Josua Brunner and doubled their advantage just before half-time with a goal from Ansu Fati. CSKA Sofia pulled one back after the break via J. Zwarts, but it wasn't enough to prevent a 2-1 defeat at home. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a CSKA Sofia win, turning the expected upset on its head.
Outcome probability
This group stage encounter between CSKA Sofia and Monaco promises a closely fought battle. Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches, setting the stage for an entertaining fixture.
Match factors
Monaco's attacking players in strong scoring form
Paris Brunner and Mika Biereth each have 2 goals in 2 games, showing sharp finishing
Mamadou Coulibaly's dual threat
Coulibaly has 1 goal and 1 assist in limited appearances, outperforming midfield averages
Nazinho's offensive support from defense
Defender Nazinho provides assists and crossing, adding attacking dimension from backline
No confirmed injuries for Monaco or CSKA Sofia
Full squads available, so tactical and form factors dominate prediction
The context
Monaco have impressed in the playoff rounds of this competition, winning both matches with a combined score of 7-3. CSKA Sofia, meanwhile, will be looking to capitalise on home advantage and disrupt Monaco's momentum.
Key insights
Paris Josua Brunner
Monaco
Consistent goal scorer with 2 goals in 2 games, showing sharp finishing in this competition.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 2 appearances
Mamadou Coulibaly
Monaco
Dual threat with 1 goal and 1 assist in limited appearances, outperforming midfield averages.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal, 1 assist in 1 appearance
Flávio Nazinho
Monaco
Provides offensive width and assists from defence, adding an attacking dimension.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances
Analysis
Monaco's attacking duo, Paris Josua Brunner and Mika Biereth, have been in fine form, each netting two goals in two appearances. Midfielder Mamadou Coulibaly also poses a dual threat with a goal and an assist, making Monaco a potent offensive side. However, CSKA Sofia's resilience and tactical discipline could see them edge this encounter. The prediction leans towards a narrow home win, reflecting the competitive nature of the match.
Key facts
- 1.Monaco won both playoff round matches in this competition with a combined score of 7-3.
- 2.Paris Josua Brunner has scored 2 goals in 2 appearances for Monaco in this competition.
- 3.Mika Biereth also has 2 goals in 2 appearances, showing strong attacking form.
- 4.Mamadou Coulibaly has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in limited appearances.
- 5.Flávio Nazinho provides offensive support from defence with 1 assist in 2 games.
- 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for CSKA Sofia. While Monaco's firepower is notable, the home side's ability to capitalise on key moments is expected to make the difference in this tight contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — CSKA Sofia
No standout top scorers flagged for CSKA Sofia
Away — Monaco
The verdict
Expect a spirited performance from both sides, with CSKA Sofia just about holding their nerve to claim the three points. Monaco will no doubt push hard, but the home team’s edge in this fixture looks set to prevail.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
CSKA Sofia has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Paris Josua Brunner
Assist: Idumbo-Muzambo
Ansu Fati
Assist: Paris Josua Brunner
Sensi
Yellow Card
Salisu
Minamino
Camara
Idumbo-Muzambo
Ebong
Yellow Card
Godoy
Léo Pereira
Zwarts
Assist: Sensi
Ansu Fati
Diop
Yellow Card
Ebong
Almeida
Pittas
Martino
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 11 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 20 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 22 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Match Statistics
CSKA Sofia
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2PastorD
- 4Dinis AlmeidaD
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 7M. EbongM
- 8S. SensiM
- 9S. GodoyF
- 17Á. MartinoD
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 28I. PittasM
- 32Facundo Santiago RodríguezD
- 38Léo PereiraM
Substitutes
- 10J. ZwartsF
- 14T. IvanovD
- 19A. YordanovD
- 25D. EvtimovG
- 30P. PanayotovM
- 31D. NikolovG
- 34V. KaymakanovF
- 91A. TunchevD
- 94I. Solet BomawokoM
- 99J. Eto'oM
Monaco
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 4J. TezeD
- 8L. CamaraM
- 13C. Mawissa ElebiD
- 17S. Idumbo-MuzamboM
- 18T. MinaminoM
- 22M. SalisuD
- 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
- 31Ansu FatiF
- 37E. DiopM
- 72Sadibou SanéD
Substitutes
- 2VandersonD
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 7M. DetourbetF
- 10A. GolovinM
- 11M. AblineF
- 14M. BierethF
- 16P. KöhnG
- 19Pape CabralM
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 28M. CoulibalyM
- 46A. SoubeirM
- 49I. TouréM
CSKA Sofia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Jordão(C) | M | 87 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Max Ebong | M | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Léo Pereira | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Stefano Sensi | M | 87 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Leandro Godoy | F | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| Pastor | D | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Ángelo Martino | D | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Fedor Lapoukhov | G | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Rodríguez | D | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Dinis Almeida | D | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ioannis Pittas | M | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Andrey Yordanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitar Evtimov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Solet | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Eto'o | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teodor Ivanov | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petko Panayotov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleks Tunchev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasil Kaymakanov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Nikolov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joël Zwarts | F | 14 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Monaco
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansu Fati | F | 77 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Paris Brunner | F | 87 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Edan Diop | M | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Christian Mawissa | D | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Jordan Teze | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Mohammed Salisu | D | 59 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Hrádecký(C) | G | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takumi Minamino | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lamine Camara | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Stanis Idumbo Muzambo | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vanderson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Köhn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mika Biereth | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Coulibaly | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathys Detourbet | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilane Touré | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pape Cabral | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Zakaria | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matthis Abline | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Anis Soubeir | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nazinho | D | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandr Golovin | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
- Fipster's AI model predicted CSKA Sofia to win against Monaco.
- What score did Fipster predict for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
- Fipster predicted a final score of CSKA Sofia 2–1 Monaco.
- What were the win probabilities for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
- Fipster's model gave CSKA Sofia a 35% chance of winning, Monaco a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.