Crystal Palace vs West Ham
Match recap
Crystal Palace and West Ham drew 0–0 in their Premier League fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.73 for Crystal Palace versus 0.61 for West Ham. Crystal Palace sit 15th in the Premier League table while West Ham are 18th.
Analysis
Crystal Palace host West Ham in what promises to be a closely contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players in form, a tight game is on the cards.
This match is part of the 33rd round of the regular season, taking place at Crystal Palace's home ground. Historically, the two sides have a balanced head-to-head record, with Palace slightly ahead in wins and goal difference this season.
Crystal Palace's defensive midfield strength, led by Tyrick Mitchell, offers solidity against West Ham's attack. West Ham rely heavily on Jarrod Bowen, their top scorer and assist provider, who poses a significant threat. However, Palace's recent scoring form, especially from J. Strand Larsen, balances the scales. Injuries to key creators like Adam Wharton for Palace and defensive concerns for West Ham suggest a cautious approach from both sides.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams scoring but sharing points. The prediction carries a 46% confidence level, reflecting the balanced nature of the fixture.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Crystal Palace's Defensive Midfield Strength
Tyrick Mitchell's high tackle and interception rates provide defensive solidity against West Ham's attack.
West Ham's Reliance on Jarrod Bowen
Bowen leads both goals and assists for West Ham, making him the focal point of their offense.
Crystal Palace Missing Key Creators
Absence of Adam Wharton and Jean-Philippe Mateta reduces creative and scoring options for Palace.
J. Strand Larsen's Recent Scoring Form
Larsen's 3 goals in 8 games and strong recent performances boost Palace's scoring potential.
West Ham's Defensive Stability Questioned
Injuries and suspensions in defense may weaken West Ham's backline against Palace's attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-fought match with neither side able to dominate fully. Both teams have strengths and vulnerabilities that should cancel each other out, leading to a fair share of the spoils at Selhurst Park.
- Crystal Palace have won 8 of the last 20 meetings against West Ham, who have won 6, with 6 draws.
- Crystal Palace boast a better goal difference (+16) compared to West Ham's -17 this season.
- Jarrod Bowen leads West Ham in both goals (8) and assists (8), making him their key offensive player.
- Tyrick Mitchell provides defensive stability for Crystal Palace with high tackle and interception rates.
- J. Strand Larsen has scored 3 goals in his last 8 appearances, showing good recent form.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Crystal Palace
Away — West Ham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Johnson
Yellow Card
Yeremy Pino
Strand Larsen
Hughes
Pablo
Johnson
Castellanos
Muñoz
Yellow Card
Diouf
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1D. HendersonG
- 2D. MuñozM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5M. LacroixD
- 8J. LermaM
- 10Yeremy PinoF
- 11B. JohnsonF
- 19W. HughesM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 23J. CanvotD
- 26C. RichardsD
Substitutes
- 7I. SarrF
- 14J. MatetaF
- 17N. ClyneD
- 18D. KamadaM
- 24B. SosaD
- 34C. RiadD
- 44W. BenítezG
- 55J. DevennyM
- 59Rio CardinesM
West Ham
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 4A. DisasiD
- 7C. SummervilleM
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 12E. DioufD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 19PabloF
- 20J. BowenM
- 28T. SoučekM
Substitutes
- 9C. WilsonF
- 17Adama TraoréF
- 23A. AreolaG
- 25J. TodiboD
- 27S. MagassaM
- 29A. Wan-BissakaD
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 32F. PottsM
- 55M. KantéM
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Chris Richards | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Dean Henderson(C) | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | F | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Will Hughes | M | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rio Cardines | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borna Sosa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter Benitez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Clyne | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 31 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Justin Devenny | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismaïla Sarr | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Souček | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Crysencio Summerville | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Axel Disasi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Mads Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Jarrod Bowen(C) | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pablo Felipe | F | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Valentín Castellanos | F | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Freddie Potts | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Clair Todibo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alphonse Aréola | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adama Traore | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Scarles | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soungoutou Magassa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamadou Kanté | M | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Callum Wilson | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |