Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest
Palace rally past Forest after early shock
Crystal Palace overturn an early deficit to claim a 3-1 victory at Selhurst Park.
Nottingham Forest stunned the home crowd with an early goal from D. Ndoye in the 3rd minute, but Crystal Palace responded strongly before the break with goals from D. Kamada and J. Lerma. Yeremy Pino sealed the win after the break, completing a confident comeback. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Forest win, proving the Eagles had other ideas.
Outcome probability
Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest face off in what promises to be an entertaining encounter, with both sides eager to climb the league table early in the season.
Match factors
Kamada's Creative Edge for Crystal Palace
Daichi Kamada leads with 3 assists in 4 games, providing key creativity and set-piece threat
Mitchell's Superior Away Scoring Form
Tyrick Mitchell scores 0.67 goals per away game, above league midfielder average
Gibbs-White's Consistent Impact for Nottingham Forest
Morgan Gibbs-White has 2 assists and 1 goal in 4 games, showing strong recent form
Nottingham Forest Missing Key Striker Mateta
Mateta's absence reduces Forest's attacking options, shifting goal burden to others
Khalaili's Defensive Work Rate Boosts Palace Midfield
Khalaili's 4.75 tackles per game far exceed league average for attackers, aiding defense
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's sixth round, with Crystal Palace sitting 17th on 3 points and Nottingham Forest 12th with 5 points. Historically, their meetings have been tight, with Forest holding a slight edge in wins.
Key insights
Daichi Kamada
Crystal Palace
Leads with 3 assists in 4 games, providing key creativity and set-piece threat.
Premier League 26/273 assists in 4 games, 0.75 avg per game
T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
Strong away scoring form with 2 goals in 4 games, above average for midfielders.
Premier League 26/272 goals in 4 games, 0.5 avg per game
M. Gibbs-White
Nottingham Forest
Consistent impact with 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 games, showing strong recent form.
Premier League 26/271 goal and 2 assists in 4 games
A. Khalaili
Crystal Palace
High defensive work rate with 4.75 tackles per game, aiding Palace's midfield stability.
Premier League 26/274.75 tackles per game vs 0.64 league avg for attackers
Analysis
The head-to-head record shows a balanced rivalry: 12 meetings with Crystal Palace winning once, Nottingham Forest three times, and eight draws. Matches have averaged 1.8 goals, but this clash is expected to be livelier, with a predicted 5-goal thriller. Nottingham Forest's slightly better league position and recent form give them a slight advantage. Key players like Tyrick Mitchell for Palace, known for his strong away scoring rate, and Morgan Gibbs-White for Forest, who has been influential with goals and assists, will be pivotal. Daichi Kamada's creativity for Palace and the defensive work rate of attackers like A. Khalaili add tactical layers to the contest.
Key facts
- 1.In 12 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace have won 1, Nottingham Forest 3, with 8 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 1.8 total goals historically.
- 3.Crystal Palace are 17th in the league with 3 points from 4 games (W1 D0 L3).
- 4.Nottingham Forest are 12th with 5 points from 5 games (W1 D2 L2).
- 5.Tyrick Mitchell has scored 2 goals in 4 games, with a strong away scoring rate.
- 6.Daichi Kamada leads Crystal Palace with 3 assists in 4 games.
- 7.Morgan Gibbs-White has 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 games for Nottingham Forest.
Prediction
The forecast leans towards an away win for Nottingham Forest with a 3-2 scoreline. While the prediction favours Forest, the margin is slim and the game could swing either way, making it a must-watch for fans of attacking football.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Crystal Palace
Away — Nottingham Forest
The verdict
Expect an open game with both teams pushing for goals. Nottingham Forest's slight edge in form and key player contributions might just tip the scales in their favour, but Crystal Palace will be no pushovers in this anticipated encounter.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ndoye
Lerma
Yellow Card
Kamada
Assist: Timber
Lerma
Assist: Wharton
Yeremy Pino
Yeremy Pino
Yellow Card
Schlager
Delap
Ndoye
Lerma
Aina
Yellow Card
Strand Larsen
Yeremy Pino
Aina
Murillo
Yellow Card
Kamada
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3T. MitchellM
- 6J. CanvotD
- 8J. LermaD
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 23Q. TimberM
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 26C. RichardsD
- 44W. BenítezG
Substitutes
- 7I. SarrF
- 9E. NketiahF
- 11D. McNeilF
- 19W. HughesM
- 21H. AhanorD
- 28C. DoucouréM
- 29E. GuessandF
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 31R. MatthewsG
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2O. DiomandeD
- 3N. WilliamsM
- 5MurilloD
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 14D. NdoyeM
- 19L. DelapF
- 21X. SchlagerM
- 24J. McAteeM
- 26M. SelsG
- 27D. MuñozM
- 34O. AinaD
Substitutes
- 6I. SangaréM
- 7C. Hudson-OdoiF
- 8N. DomínguezM
- 9C. WoodF
- 12JohnG
- 15A. KalimuendoF
- 22R. YatesM
- 23JairD
- 25L. NetzD
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeremy Pino | M | 83 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| W. Benítez | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | D | 72 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| I. Sarr | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Nketiah | F | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ahanor | D | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| W. Hughes | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Doucouré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Guessand | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Matthews | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. McNeil | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Williams | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Murillo | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ndoye | M | 72 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4/5 |
| O. Diomande | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Gibbs-White | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| X. Schlager | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Sels | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Hudson-Odoi | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| I. Sangaré | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Wood | F | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 72 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| A. Kalimuendo | F | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Aina | D | 83 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. McAtee | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Netz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jair | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Domínguez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yates | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nottingham Forest to win against Crystal Palace.
- What score did Fipster predict for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Crystal Palace 2–3 Nottingham Forest.
- What were the win probabilities for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
- Fipster's model gave Crystal Palace a 32% chance of winning, Nottingham Forest a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.