Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
Newcastle stroll past Palace with a neat double
W. Osula and H. Barnes strike after the break to seal a comfortable win.
Newcastle secured a 2-0 victory at Crystal Palace thanks to second-half goals from W. Osula and H. Barnes. The Magpies took control soon after the break and never looked back, cruising to a clean sheet. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-2 home win, proving the visitors' defence was far sturdier than expected.
Outcome probability
Crystal Palace and Newcastle prepare to lock horns in what promises to be a high-scoring affair. Both teams have shown flashes of attacking prowess this season, setting the stage for an entertaining contest.
Match factors
Crystal Palace missing key defensive players
Several defenders including A. Disasi and T. Tomiyasu are confirmed out, weakening defensive solidity
Newcastle's attacking trio showing scoring form
Elanga and Willock have scored multiple goals this season, providing attacking threat
Harvey Barnes as primary creative outlet for Newcastle
Barnes leads assists and plays key role in chance creation, linking well with forwards
Crystal Palace's midfielders contributing to goals and assists
Kamada and Wharton have recent goal and assist contributions, boosting home attack
Crystal Palace's defensive midfielders strong in tackles and interceptions
Khalaili and Hall exceed league averages in defensive actions, key to disrupting Newcastle
The context
In their 20 previous meetings, Newcastle have the edge with 8 wins to Crystal Palace's 5, alongside 7 draws. Historically, these encounters have averaged 1.6 goals per game, with Newcastle scoring twice as many goals as the Eagles. Currently, Crystal Palace sit 13th in the league with 7 points from 6 games, while Newcastle are just above them in 11th with 8 points from 7 matches.
Key insights
Anthony Junior Elanga
Newcastle
Elanga is a key attacking threat with 2 goals in 3 appearances, showing excellent finishing and minutes played.
Premier League 26/272 goals in 3 appearances, 78.3 avg mins/game
Harvey Barnes
Newcastle
Barnes is the primary creative force with 2 assists in 6 games, contributing significantly to Newcastle's chance creation.
Premier League 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 89.8 avg mins/game
- D
D. Kamada
Crystal Palace
Kamada provides important goal and assist contributions from midfield, enhancing Palace's attacking options.
Premier League 26/271 goal in recent home fixture
Analysis
Crystal Palace face a defensive challenge with key players like A. Disasi and T. Tomiyasu ruled out, which could test their backline resilience. However, their midfielders, including D. Kamada, have contributed to goals and assists, providing attacking impetus. Newcastle's attacking trio, led by Anthony Junior Elanga and Joseph Willock, have been in good scoring form, supported creatively by Harvey Barnes, who tops the assists chart. The Magpies' offensive threat is clear, but the Eagles' home advantage and midfield defensive work from players like A. Khalaili and L. Hall could disrupt Newcastle's rhythm.
Key facts
- 1.Crystal Palace have won 5 of 20 meetings against Newcastle, who have won 8, with 7 draws.
- 2.The average total goals in their head-to-head matches is 1.6, with Newcastle scoring twice as many as Crystal Palace.
- 3.Crystal Palace are 13th in the league with 7 points from 6 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses).
- 4.Newcastle are 11th with 8 points from 7 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses).
- 5.Crystal Palace are missing key defenders including A. Disasi and T. Tomiyasu, impacting their defensive stability.
- 6.Newcastle's Anthony Junior Elanga has scored 2 goals in 3 games, showing strong attacking form.
- 7.Harvey Barnes leads Newcastle with 2 assists in 6 games, acting as a key creative outlet.
- 8.Crystal Palace midfielders like D. Kamada contribute both goals and assists, boosting their attacking options.
Prediction
The prediction leans strongly towards a Crystal Palace win, with a halftime score of 2-1 and a final scoreline of 4-2. The Eagles are expected to outscore the Magpies in a match featuring plenty of goals and attacking intent from both sides.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Crystal Palace
No standout top scorers flagged for Crystal Palace
Away — Newcastle
The verdict
Expect an open game with plenty of goalmouth action as Crystal Palace look to secure a vital win over Newcastle. The Eagles' attacking flair combined with Newcastle's scoring threat should make for a thrilling spectacle.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 14:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nico González
Yellow Card
Schär
Yellow Card
Osula
Assist: Murphy
Goal cancelled
Barnes
Assist: Dedić
Mateta
McNeil
Yeremy Pino
Yellow Card
Barnes
Osula
Willock
Hall
Yellow Card
Khalaili
Yellow Card
Joelinton
Canvot
Yellow Card
Dedić
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5A. DisasiD
- 6J. CanvotD
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 11D. McNeilM
- 14J. MatetaF
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 26C. RichardsD
- 44W. BenítezG
Substitutes
- 8J. LermaM
- 9E. NketiahF
- 19W. HughesM
- 24D. OsorioM
- 28C. DoucouréM
- 29E. GuessandF
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 31R. MatthewsG
- 33B. ChilwellD
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. HallD
- 5F. SchärD
- 6Nico GonzálezM
- 7JoelintonM
- 10W. OsulaF
- 11H. BarnesM
- 21L. HorníčekG
- 23J. MurphyM
- 28J. WillockM
- 33D. BurnD
- 37A. DedićD
Substitutes
- 1N. PopeG
- 4S. BotmanD
- 8A. BambaM
- 9Y. WissaF
- 12M. ThiawD
- 14Sean SteurM
- 17B. TouréF
- 19A. ElangaF
- 41J. RamseyM
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Disasi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Osorio | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Nketiah | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Mateta | F | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| D. Kamada | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. McNeil | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Khalaili | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/4 |
| W. Benítez | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Guessand | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Chilwell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Doucouré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Hughes | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Matthews | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Osula | F | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 77 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| J. Murphy | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| D. Burn | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 95 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Schär | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 5 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ramsey | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Elanga | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joelinton | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Nico González | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Willock | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Pope | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bamba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Touré | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Crystal Palace to win against Newcastle.
- What score did Fipster predict for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Crystal Palace 4–2 Newcastle.
- What were the win probabilities for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
- Fipster's model gave Crystal Palace a 92% chance of winning, Newcastle a 4% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 92% confidence — a high-confidence call.