Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan
Crystal Palace dismantle Lech Poznan with clinical display
A commanding 4-0 victory sees Palace cruise past their Europa League opponents.
Crystal Palace put on a dominant show in the UEFA Europa League, cruising to a 4-0 win over Lech Poznan. Yeremy Pino opened the scoring early, followed by goals from C. Richards and a penalty by J. Strand Larsen before the break, with E. Nketiah sealing the emphatic victory late on. This result was a clear upset against Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Lech Poznan.
Outcome probability
Crystal Palace face a stern test against Lech Poznan in this group stage clash. The Eagles have had a shaky start domestically, while Lech Poznan come in with impressive recent form in this competition.
Match factors
Lech Poznan's strong recent scoring form
Lech Poznan has scored in all last 4 matches, averaging 4.3 goals per game with 100% win rate recently
Lech Poznan's defensive solidity
Lech Poznan has kept clean sheets in 3 of last 4 matches, conceding 0 goals on average
Lech Poznan's attacking midfield strength
Midfielders like P. Wålemark and D. Håkans provide goal and assist threat, outpacing league averages
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected
The context
Lech Poznan remain unbeaten in their last four matches in this competition, boasting three wins and a draw, with a remarkable 15 goals scored and only 2 conceded. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, have struggled in their domestic league, losing their only match 0-2 and sitting 17th with a negative goal difference.
Key insights
- P
P. Wålemark
Lech Poznan
Wålemark has been a key attacking midfielder with multiple goals and assists in recent away games, providing a strong offensive threat.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Multiple goals and assists in recent away matches in this competition.
- D
D. Håkans
Lech Poznan
Håkans contributes creatively with goals and assists, influencing both scoring and chance creation effectively.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Goals and assists in recent fixtures in this competition.
- R
R. Gumny
Lech Poznan
Gumny offers consistent goal contributions from defense, scoring in both recent home and away fixtures, adding an attacking threat.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Goals scored in recent home and away matches in this competition.
Analysis
Lech Poznan's attacking midfielders, including P. Wålemark and D. Håkans, have been key contributors, combining goals and assists to outpace league averages. Defensively, Lech Poznan have been solid, keeping clean sheets in three of their last four matches. Crystal Palace's early domestic form suggests they may struggle to contain this potent away side. The predicted halftime score of 0-1 aligns with Lech Poznan's tendency to start strong, while the fulltime 1-2 scoreline reflects their ability to maintain the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Lech Poznan unbeaten in 4 matches in this competition (W3 D1), scoring 15 and conceding 2.
- 2.Crystal Palace lost their only domestic league match 0-2, currently 17th with a negative goal difference.
- 3.Away win outcome class has the highest probability at approximately 55.3%.
- 4.Predicted halftime score is 0-1, consistent with Lech Poznan's strong starts.
- 5.Total cards expected to be around 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Prediction
Expect Lech Poznan to take the lead by halftime and hold on for a 2-1 victory. Crystal Palace may find the net once, but the away side's clinical finishing and defensive resilience should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Crystal Palace
Away — Lech Poznan
The verdict
This encounter promises a competitive match, but Lech Poznan's recent form and attacking prowess make them the favourites to claim all three points. Crystal Palace will need to improve their defensive solidity to avoid another setback.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Crystal Palace has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yeremy Pino
Richards
Assist: Wharton
Strand Larsen
Penalty
Sayyadmanesh
Ishak
Khalaili
Timber
Wålemark
Pereira
Richards
Strand Larsen
Kamada
Murawski
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Murawski
Red Card
Nketiah
Assist: McNeil
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Crystal Palace
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5A. DisasiD
- 10Yeremy PinoF
- 18D. KamadaF
- 20A. WhartonM
- 21H. AhanorD
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 23Q. TimberM
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 26C. RichardsD
- 44W. BenítezG
Substitutes
- 6J. CanvotD
- 7I. SarrF
- 9E. NketiahF
- 11D. McNeilF
- 17T. TomiyasuD
- 24D. OsorioM
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 31R. MatthewsG
- 33B. ChilwellD
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. LisG
- 2Joel PereiraD
- 9M. IshakF
- 10P. WålemarkM
- 15M. GurgulD
- 17A. SayyadmaneshM
- 21Pablo RodríguezM
- 22R. MurawskiM
- 27W. MońkaD
- 59T. YegbeD
- 77L. PalmaM
Substitutes
- 4João MoutinhoD
- 7Y. AgneroF
- 11D. HåkansM
- 14L. BengtssonM
- 20R. GumnyD
- 24F. JagiełłoM
- 31Wiktor ObremskiG
- 33M. PruchniewskiG
- 56W. SzymczakF
- 72M. SkrzypczakD
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Benítez | G | 89 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 74 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yeremy Pino | F | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4/5 |
| A. Wharton | M | 89 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| D. McNeil | F | 27 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| E. Nketiah | F | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Disasi | D | 89 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 15 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ahanor | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 74 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Q. Timber | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| T. Mitchell | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Kamada | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Osorio | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Matthews | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Chilwell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Tomiyasu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lech Poznan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Agnero | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| W. Mońka | D | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Ishak | F | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sayyadmanesh | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| L. Palma | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | 2/3 |
| P. Wålemark | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| T. Yegbe | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Joel Pereira | D | 70 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Bengtsson | M | 19 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Murawski | M | 87 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| M. Gurgul | D | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| D. Håkans | M | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Jagiełło | M | 28 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gumny | D | 19 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Rodríguez | M | 81 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/5 |
| M. Lis | G | 89 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Moutinho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Skrzypczak | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pruchniewski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Szymczak | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wiktor Obremski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lech Poznan to win against Crystal Palace.
- What score did Fipster predict for Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Crystal Palace 1–2 Lech Poznan.
- What were the win probabilities for Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster's model gave Crystal Palace a 17% chance of winning, Lech Poznan a 66% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 66% confidence — a high-confidence call.