Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino
Match recap
Cruzeiro beat RB Bragantino 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Villareal and Christian scored for Cruzeiro; Hurtado replied for RB Bragantino. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.03 for Cruzeiro versus 0.59 for RB Bragantino. Cruzeiro sit 3rd in the Serie A table while RB Bragantino are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Cruzeiro win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
Cruzeiro and RB Bragantino face off in the 11th round of the regular season, with Cruzeiro expected to assert their attacking prowess and secure a comfortable win.
Match factors
Cruzeiro's attacking midfield dominance
Matheus Pereira's dual threat as top scorer and assister gives Cruzeiro a creative edge
Home scoring form favors Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro averages 1.7 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3-0 win
Kaio Jorge's recent scoring consistency
Kaio Jorge scored 3 goals in last 5 matches, showing good form to contribute again
Fágner's dual role in defense and attack
Fágner's assist record and defensive solidity provide Cruzeiro balance and width
Full squad availability boosts Cruzeiro's chances
No confirmed injuries for Cruzeiro, ensuring strongest lineup and tactical stability
The context
Cruzeiro currently sit 6th in the league with 48 points from 29 games, while RB Bragantino are 11th with 37 points. Historically, Cruzeiro have the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters, having won 6 of their last 10 meetings against Bragantino.
Key insights
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira's dual threat as top scorer and assister gives Cruzeiro a creative edge.
Serie A 26/279 goals and 5 assists in 26 apps this season, strong recent form.
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge's recent scoring consistency makes him a key attacking threat at home.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 22 apps, including 3 in the last 5 matches.
Fágner
Cruzeiro
Fágner provides balance with his defensive solidity and ability to assist from the back.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 20 apps, strong tackling and interceptions.
I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
I. Pitta is the main attacking threat for Bragantino but needs to improve recent scoring form.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 26 apps, no goals in last 5 matches.
Analysis
Cruzeiro's attacking midfield, led by Matheus Pereira, who tops the team in both goals and assists, provides a clear tactical advantage. Pereira's 9 goals and 5 assists this season, combined with Kaio Jorge's consistent scoring form, make Cruzeiro a formidable force at home. Defensively, Fágner offers balance with his ability to contribute assists and maintain solidity at the back. RB Bragantino's top scorer I. Pitta has struggled for recent goals, which could limit their offensive threat. Cruzeiro's home scoring average of 1.7 goals per game supports the prediction of a dominant 3-0 victory.
Key facts
- 1.Cruzeiro are 6th in the league with 48 points from 29 games.
- 2.RB Bragantino are 11th with 37 points from 29 games.
- 3.Cruzeiro have won 6 of the last 10 head-to-head matches against RB Bragantino.
- 4.Matheus Pereira leads Cruzeiro with 9 goals and 5 assists this season.
- 5.Kaio Jorge has scored 8 goals, including 3 in the last 5 matches.
- 6.Cruzeiro average 1.7 goals per home game this season.
- 7.RB Bragantino's top scorer I. Pitta has 6 goals but none in the last 5 games.
Prediction
The forecast is for Cruzeiro to take an early lead, possibly 2-0 by halftime, and extend their advantage to a 3-0 fulltime scoreline. The home side's strong form and attacking depth should see them comfortably outscore RB Bragantino, who are unlikely to find the net in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cruzeiro
Away — RB Bragantino
The verdict
With a full squad available and key players in good form, Cruzeiro look set to deliver a commanding performance. RB Bragantino will need to improve their attacking output to challenge, but the signs point to a straightforward home win.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hurtado
Assist: Pitta
Villareal
Assist: Fágner
Christian
Assist: Arroyo
Sosa
Yellow Card
Sosa
Arroyo
Silva
Fernandes
Fágner
Gustavo Marques
Yellow Card
Gabriel
Hurtado
Villareal
Jonathan
Vinicius
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
Match Statistics
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6KaikiD
- 10Matheus PereiraM
- 11GersonM
- 15Fabrício BrunoD
- 16Lucas SilvaM
- 22N. VillarealF
- 23FágnerD
- 31Matheus CunhaG
- 34JonathanD
- 88ChristianM
- 99K. ArroyoM
Substitutes
- 2Kauã MoraesD
- 8Matheus HenriqueM
- 9Bruno RodriguesF
- 12WilliamD
- 25L. VillalbaD
- 36Kauã PratesD
- 43João MarceloD
- 70KenjiF
- 77JapaM
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG
- 91Francisco da CostaF
- 94WandersonF
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 9I. PittaF
- 15I. SosaM
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 17ViniciusM
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 35Matheus FernandesM
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 5FabinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 28Yuri LelesM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 52Ryan TavaresD
- 57MarcelinhoM
- 67Jhuan Nunes CoelhoF
Cruzeiro
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerson | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Néiser Villarreal | F | 84 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Christian | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Fagner | D | 77 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/4 |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva(C) | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matheus Cunha | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Otávio Costa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Prates | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique Kenji | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico da Costa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Marcelo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wanderson | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Lucas Villalba | D | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 84 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Vinicinho | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Barbosa(C) | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yuri Leles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Reis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelinho Braz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Augusto | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jhuan Nunes Coelho | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Eric Ramires | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Cruzeiro to win against RB Bragantino.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cruzeiro 3–0 RB Bragantino.
- What were the win probabilities for Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's model gave Cruzeiro a 85% chance of winning, RB Bragantino a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.