Cruzeiro vs Mirassol
Cruzeiro secures solid win over Mirassol
João Marcelo's early strike set the tone for a confident home victory.
Cruzeiro took control early with João Marcelo's goal in the 12th minute, only for Mirassol to level from the penalty spot through Reinaldo at 27'. However, Cruzeiro pulled away after the break with goals from Kaio Jorge and Wesley Gassova in the second half, sealing a 3-1 win. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the final scoreline was more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Cruzeiro and Mirassol face off in the 22nd round of the regular season, with Cruzeiro looking to extend their advantage over their visitors. Both teams have had mixed fortunes this season, but the stats and form suggest Cruzeiro will have the upper hand in this encounter.
Match factors
Fágner suspension weakens Cruzeiro defense
Fágner is confirmed out due to yellow card suspension, reducing defensive experience and assist potential
Cruzeiro's attacking midfield strength
Matheus Pereira and Christian combine for 9 goals and 5 assists this season, above league average for midfielders
Kaio Jorge's recent scoring form
Kaio Jorge scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, showing strong finishing form at home
Mirassol's defensive vulnerabilities away
Mirassol concedes 1.6 goals per away game, higher than league average, favoring Cruzeiro's attack
Reinaldo's creative threat from defense
Reinaldo leads Mirassol defenders with 2 assists, providing attacking width and set-piece delivery
The context
Cruzeiro currently sit 11th in the league with 27 points from 20 games, while Mirassol are 14th with 23 points. Their head-to-head record shows Cruzeiro with one win and two draws in three meetings, indicating a slight edge. The average goals per match between them is a moderate three, suggesting a balanced contest with a tendency towards Cruzeiro's favour.
Key insights

Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
High goal involvement with 4 goals and 2 assists, playing nearly full matches with strong recent form.
4 goals and 2 assists in 17 appearances, 0.24 goals/game

Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
Consistent goal scorer with 5 goals in 14 games, showing strong finishing form at home.
5 goals in 14 appearances, 0.36 goals/game

Christian
Cruzeiro
Top scorer and assister for Cruzeiro midfield, strong influence in home matches.
5 goals and 3 assists in 17 appearances
- F
Fágner
Cruzeiro
Suspended, reducing defensive experience and assist potential for Cruzeiro.

Reinaldo
Mirassol
Key defensive player with good assist record, providing attacking width and set-piece delivery.
2 assists in 16 appearances, 0.13 assists/game
Analysis
Cruzeiro's attacking midfield duo, Matheus Pereira and Christian, have been influential this season, combining for nine goals and five assists, which is above the league average for midfielders. Kaio Jorge, the team's key striker, has been in good form with two goals in his last five matches and a solid home scoring rate. Mirassol, on the other hand, have defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per away game, which bodes well for Cruzeiro's attack. The absence of Cruzeiro's experienced defender Fágner due to suspension might slightly weaken their defence, but their offensive strengths should compensate.
Key facts
- 1.Cruzeiro lead the head-to-head with 1 win and 2 draws in 3 matches against Mirassol.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Cruzeiro are 11th in the league with 27 points from 20 games (W7 D6 L7).
- 4.Mirassol are 14th with 23 points from 20 games (W6 D5 L9).
- 5.Kaio Jorge has scored 5 goals in 14 appearances, with strong recent form.
- 6.Matheus Pereira and Christian combine for 9 goals and 5 assists this season.
- 7.Mirassol concede 1.6 goals per away game, higher than league average.
- 8.Fágner is suspended for Cruzeiro, impacting defensive experience.
Prediction
We expect Cruzeiro to take the lead by halftime with a 1-0 scoreline and extend their advantage to a 2-0 victory by fulltime. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled game. Cruzeiro's home advantage and attacking prowess make them the likely winners in this fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cruzeiro

Away — Mirassol
The verdict
In summary, Cruzeiro's stronger league standing, effective attacking midfield, and home form should see them comfortably overcome Mirassol. While Mirassol will look to frustrate, Cruzeiro's quality up front is expected to shine through for a 2-0 win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
João Marcelo
Assist: Bruno Rodrigues
Gerson
Yellow Card
Reinaldo
Penalty
Kenji
Yellow Card
Denilson
Arroyo
Kenji
Zé Lucas
Matheus Pereira
Elias
Yellow Card
Santos
Eduardo
Kaio Jorge
Assist: Fágner
Elias
Wallisson
Gassova
Assist: Villalba
Gassova
Yellow Card
Shaylon
Yellow Card
Villalba
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +22 | 48 | |
| 4 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +5 | 35 | |
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 33 | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 33 | |
| 14 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 25 | |
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 23 | |
| 16 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 23 |
Match Statistics
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Zé LucasM
- 9Bruno RodriguesF
- 10Matheus PereiraM
- 23FágnerD
- 25L. VillalbaD
- 29L. RomeroM
- 34JonathanD
- 43João MarceloD
- 70KenjiM
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG
- 99K. ArroyoM
Substitutes
- 2Kauã MoraesD
- 8GersonM
- 12WilliamD
- 15Fabrício BrunoD
- 16Lucas SilvaM
- 19Kaio JorgeF
- 20Wesley GassovaF
- 27G. RojasD
- 38Felipe MoraisM
- 51Vitor LamounierG
- 67João Gabriel e Costa CescoF
- 97L. RodríguezF
Mirassol
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 6ReinaldoD
- 8DenilsonM
- 17FernandinhoF
- 18EliasD
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 33EduardoM
- 34João VictorD
- 44GabrielD
- 55Gustavo CazonattiM
- 80WallissonM
- 90ThomazellaG
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 25Neto MouraM
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 77AlessonF
- 95EdsonF
Cruzeiro
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Marcelo | D | 96 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 67 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fagner | D | 96 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 96 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Lucas Romero(C) | M | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Villalba | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kaique Kenji | M | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Otávio Costa | G | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gerson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Rojas | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Furtado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luciano Rodríguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Lamounier Rego | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Morais | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | F | 37 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 29 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Silva | M | 37 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Costa | F | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandinho | F | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Eduardo | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| João Victor(C) | D | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 96 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Elias | D | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Thomazella | G | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Oliveira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Shaylon | M | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alesson | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |






