Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
Cruzeiro snatch last-gasp win over Flamengo
Matheus Pereira's stoppage-time strike seals a dramatic 2-1 victory at home.
Flamengo looked set to take the lead through Pedro's early goal, but Cruzeiro fought back after the break with K. Arroyo leveling the score. Just when it seemed the match would end in a draw, Matheus Pereira delivered a stunning winner deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's resilience.
Outcome probability
Cruzeiro and Flamengo face off in what promises to be a competitive Brazilian league encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality this season, but Flamengo's superior league standing and goal difference give them the edge.
Match factors
Flamengo's Pedro leads scoring threat
Pedro's 12 goals this season and strong recent away form make him a key scoring threat.
Cruzeiro's Matheus Pereira shows consistent scoring
Matheus Pereira has 5 goals this season with strong recent away scoring, providing Cruzeiro a key offensive outlet.
Fágner's recent assist surge boosts Cruzeiro attack
Fágner has 3 assists in last 5 games, well above his season average, enhancing Cruzeiro's chance creation.
Cruzeiro's Christian adds midfield goal threat
Christian's 5 goals this season and recent good ratings add scoring depth from midfield.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no injury impact expected on key players.
The context
This match is part of the regular season, round 24, where Flamengo sit comfortably in 2nd place with 42 points, while Cruzeiro are 6th with 33 points. Historically, Flamengo have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning 13 of the 20 encounters, which adds an intriguing backdrop to this fixture.
Key insights

Pedro
Flamengo
Pedro's 12 goals this season and strong recent away form make him a key scoring threat.
Serie A 26/2712 goals in 21 appearances, 4 goals in last 3 away matches

Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira has 5 goals this season with strong recent away scoring, providing Cruzeiro a key offensive outlet.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 19 appearances, 2 goals in last 3 away games

Fágner
Cruzeiro
Fágner has 3 assists in last 5 games, well above his season average, enhancing Cruzeiro's chance creation.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 20 appearances, 3 assists in last 5 games
Analysis
Flamengo's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Pedro, who has netted 12 goals this season and boasts a strong recent away record with 4 goals in his last 3 away matches. Cruzeiro will rely on Matheus Pereira, who has been consistent with 5 goals and good recent away form. Additionally, Cruzeiro's Fágner has been a creative force lately, providing 3 assists in his last 5 games, which could trouble Flamengo's defence. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a tactical battle with key players stepping up.
Key facts
- 1.Flamengo lead head-to-head with 13 wins out of 20 matches against Cruzeiro.
- 2.Flamengo are 2nd in the league with 42 points; Cruzeiro are 6th with 33 points.
- 3.Flamengo have a +21 goal difference; Cruzeiro have -1 this season.
- 4.Pedro is Flamengo's top scorer with 12 goals and strong recent away form.
- 5.Matheus Pereira has scored 5 goals this season, showing consistent scoring for Cruzeiro.
- 6.Fágner has provided 3 assists in his last 5 games, boosting Cruzeiro's attack.
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Flamengo with a 2-1 scoreline. While the away side is favoured, the match is expected to be closely contested, reflecting the low confidence in the prediction. Flamengo's superior goal difference and league position suggest they will just edge out Cruzeiro in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cruzeiro

Away — Flamengo
The verdict
In summary, Flamengo's attacking edge and historical dominance make them favourites to claim all three points, but Cruzeiro's recent form and key players could keep the scoreline tight. Expect a lively contest with Flamengo narrowly prevailing 2-1.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
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Goal
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 | |
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 | |
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 41 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 39 | |
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |



