Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

Serie AMatchweek 24
Full Time
21
HT: 01
Ref: Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, BrazilEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais · 62,170 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinlowMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Cruzeiro snatch last-gasp win over Flamengo

Matheus Pereira's stoppage-time strike seals a dramatic 2-1 victory at home.

Flamengo looked set to take the lead through Pedro's early goal, but Cruzeiro fought back after the break with K. Arroyo leveling the score. Just when it seemed the match would end in a draw, Matheus Pereira delivered a stunning winner deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's resilience.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
12
Final Result
21
HT 0–1
36%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review23 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

Cruzeiro 32%Draw 33%Flamengo 35%

Cruzeiro and Flamengo face off in what promises to be a competitive Brazilian league encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality this season, but Flamengo's superior league standing and goal difference give them the edge.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Flamengo's Pedro leads scoring threat

Pedro's 12 goals this season and strong recent away form make him a key scoring threat.

Statistical Edgemedium

Cruzeiro's Matheus Pereira shows consistent scoring

Matheus Pereira has 5 goals this season with strong recent away scoring, providing Cruzeiro a key offensive outlet.

Form Momentummedium

Fágner's recent assist surge boosts Cruzeiro attack

Fágner has 3 assists in last 5 games, well above his season average, enhancing Cruzeiro's chance creation.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Cruzeiro's Christian adds midfield goal threat

Christian's 5 goals this season and recent good ratings add scoring depth from midfield.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no injury impact expected on key players.

The context

This match is part of the regular season, round 24, where Flamengo sit comfortably in 2nd place with 42 points, while Cruzeiro are 6th with 33 points. Historically, Flamengo have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning 13 of the 20 encounters, which adds an intriguing backdrop to this fixture.

Analysis

Flamengo's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Pedro, who has netted 12 goals this season and boasts a strong recent away record with 4 goals in his last 3 away matches. Cruzeiro will rely on Matheus Pereira, who has been consistent with 5 goals and good recent away form. Additionally, Cruzeiro's Fágner has been a creative force lately, providing 3 assists in his last 5 games, which could trouble Flamengo's defence. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a tactical battle with key players stepping up.

Key facts

  1. 1.Flamengo lead head-to-head with 13 wins out of 20 matches against Cruzeiro.
  2. 2.Flamengo are 2nd in the league with 42 points; Cruzeiro are 6th with 33 points.
  3. 3.Flamengo have a +21 goal difference; Cruzeiro have -1 this season.
  4. 4.Pedro is Flamengo's top scorer with 12 goals and strong recent away form.
  5. 5.Matheus Pereira has scored 5 goals this season, showing consistent scoring for Cruzeiro.
  6. 6.Fágner has provided 3 assists in his last 5 games, boosting Cruzeiro's attack.
  7. 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.

Prediction

The prediction leans towards an away win for Flamengo with a 2-1 scoreline. While the away side is favoured, the match is expected to be closely contested, reflecting the low confidence in the prediction. Flamengo's superior goal difference and league position suggest they will just edge out Cruzeiro in this encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeCruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Kaio Jorge

Attacker

Cruzeiro

Total Goals
6
League avg: 0.69
16 played
14 starts
1222 mins
~76 mins/game
Matheus Pereira

Matheus Pereira

Midfielder

Cruzeiro

Total Goals
5
League avg: 0.69
19 played
19 starts
1686 mins
~89 mins/game

AwayFlamengo

Pedro

Pedro

Attacker

Flamengo

Total Goals
12
League avg: 0.69
21 played
20 starts
1677 mins
~80 mins/game

The verdict

In summary, Flamengo's attacking edge and historical dominance make them favourites to claim all three points, but Cruzeiro's recent form and key players could keep the scoreline tight. Expect a lively contest with Flamengo narrowly prevailing 2-1.