Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro secures solid win over Atletico Paranaense
Matheus Pereira shines with a brace as Cruzeiro claims a 3-1 victory.
Cruzeiro took control with an early strike from Matheus Pereira before Atletico Paranaense briefly levelled just after the break. However, Cruzeiro pulled away in the second half thanks to goals from L. Romero and a late penalty converted by Kaio Jorge. Despite Pereira missing a penalty in stoppage time of the first half, Cruzeiro's dominance was clear, and Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
Cruzeiro and Atletico Paranaense face off in what promises to be a tightly fought encounter in the regular season. Both sides have shown solid form, making this a match where fine margins could decide the outcome.
Match factors
Kevin Viveros' prolific scoring form
Kevin Viveros leads with 16 goals this season and 5 in last 5 matches, a major scoring threat
Matheus Pereira's home scoring consistency
Matheus Pereira scores more frequently at home with 2 goals in last 5, boosting Cruzeiro's attack
Fágner's recent assist contributions
Fágner has 4 assists this season and contributed in recent matches, key for creating chances
Absence of Bruno Rodrigues weakens Cruzeiro's forward depth
Bruno Rodrigues is confirmed out, reducing attacking options and assist potential
Gastón Benavídez's playmaking from defense
Benavídez leads Atletico Paranaense with 5 assists, providing creative outlet from defense
The context
The head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Atletico Paranaense is fairly balanced, with Cruzeiro holding 8 wins to Atletico Paranaense's 6, alongside 6 draws. Matches between these two teams tend to be moderately high scoring, averaging 2.6 goals per game. Atletico Paranaense currently sit higher in the league standings, occupying 3rd place with a better goal difference compared to Cruzeiro's 5th position.
Key insights
- K
Kevin Viveros Rodallega
Cruzeiro
Kevin Viveros leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season and has netted 5 in his last 5 matches, making him a major threat.
Serie A 26/2716 goals in 23 appearances, 0.70 avg per game
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira has been particularly effective at home, scoring 2 goals in his last 5 matches, adding vital firepower from midfield.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 22 appearances, 0.27 avg per game
Fágner
Cruzeiro
Fágner has contributed 4 assists this season and remains a key creator with good recent form in setting up chances.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 17 appearances, 0.24 avg per game
Gastón Benavídez
Atletico Paranaense
Benavídez provides creativity from defence with 5 assists, making him a crucial playmaker for Atletico Paranaense.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 20 appearances, 0.25 avg per game
Analysis
Cruzeiro's attacking threat is spearheaded by Kevin Viveros Rodallega, who boasts 16 goals this season and has been in excellent form with 5 goals in his last 5 matches. Matheus Pereira also adds firepower from midfield, particularly at home where he has scored 2 of his 6 goals recently. Defensively, Cruzeiro will miss Bruno Rodrigues, which could impact their forward depth. Atletico Paranaense rely on Gastón Benavídez for creativity from defence, with 5 assists this season, and their higher league position suggests strong recent form. However, Cruzeiro's home advantage and key players' form give them a slight edge.
Key facts
- 1.Cruzeiro and Atletico Paranaense have a balanced head-to-head record: 8 wins for Cruzeiro, 6 for Atletico Paranaense, and 6 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, indicating moderately high scoring games.
- 3.Atletico Paranaense are 3rd in the league with 44 points from 24 games, Cruzeiro are 5th with 39 points from 25 games.
- 4.Atletico Paranaense have a better goal difference (+13) than Cruzeiro this season.
- 5.Kevin Viveros Rodallega is the league top scorer with 16 goals, including 5 in the last 5 matches.
- 6.Matheus Pereira has scored 2 goals in his last 5 home matches, boosting Cruzeiro's attack.
- 7.Gastón Benavídez leads Atletico Paranaense with 5 assists, providing creativity from defence.
- 8.Bruno Rodrigues is out, weakening Cruzeiro's attacking options.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Cruzeiro with a 2-1 scoreline. This outcome has the highest aggregate probability, reflecting a solid but not overwhelming advantage. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams likely to find the net, but Cruzeiro's attacking consistency at home should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cruzeiro
Away — Atletico Paranaense
The verdict
In summary, expect a closely contested match with Cruzeiro just shading it thanks to their key players' recent form and home performance. Atletico Paranaense will push hard, but the balance of probabilities leans towards a 2-1 victory for Cruzeiro.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Matheus Pereira
Assist: Gerson
Rojas
Yellow Card
João Cruz
Penalty confirmed
Matheus Pereira
Missed Penalty
Goal cancelled
Dias
Jádson
Rojas
Aguirre
Yellow Card
Fabrício Bruno
Yellow Card
João Cruz
Leozinho
Arroyo
Romero
Assist: Matheus Pereira
Mycael
Yellow Card
Viveros
Kaio Jorge
Penalty
Gerson
Matheus Henrique
Kaio Jorge
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +30 | 54 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +8 | 43 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +4 | 39 |
Match Statistics
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7Matheus HenriqueM
- 8GersonM
- 10Matheus PereiraM
- 15Fabrício BrunoD
- 19Kaio JorgeF
- 23FágnerD
- 27G. RojasD
- 29L. RomeroM
- 43João MarceloD
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG
- 99K. ArroyoM
Substitutes
- 1CássioG
- 2Kauã MoraesD
- 5Zé LucasM
- 9Bruno RodriguesF
- 12WilliamD
- 16Lucas SilvaM
- 20Wesley GassovaF
- 25L. VillalbaD
- 38Felipe MoraisM
- 67João Gabriel e Costa CescoF
- 70KenjiF
- 97L. RodríguezF
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1MycaelG
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 7S. MendozaM
- 8João CruzM
- 9K. ViverosF
- 12GilbertoM
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 16JádsonM
- 21LeozinhoM
- 25DantasD
- 33J. AguirreD
Substitutes
- 2GilbertoD
- 3LéoD
- 5FelipinhoD
- 10B. ZapelliM
- 18K. VargasF
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoF
- 22C. TeránD
- 23SantosG
- 27J. PortillaM
- 37L. EsquivelD
- 53DuduM
Cruzeiro
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0/1 |
| L. Romero | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 87 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 92 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 92 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| João Gabriel e Costa Cesco | F | 3 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| João Marcelo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Fágner | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Rojas | D | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| K. Arroyo | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Wesley Gassova | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Villalba | D | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Morais | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cássio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kenji | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Cruz | M | 65 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| K. Vargas | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dantas | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Portilla | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gilberto | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Leozinho | M | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| K. Viveros | F | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 25 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jádson | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mycael | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Terán | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |