Czechia vs Croatia
Croatia edges Czechia in tight contest
Modrić and Pasalic strike to secure a narrow win away from home.
Croatia claimed a 2-1 victory over Czechia in the UEFA Nations League, with Luka Modrić opening the scoring just after the break. Although A. Karabec pulled Czechia level shortly after, Marco Pasalic's goal in the 77th minute proved decisive. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Czechia win, turning the fixture into a narrow away success for Croatia.
Analysis
The upcoming fixture between Czechia and Croatia promises a closely contested encounter. Both teams boast strong midfield creativity and attacking options, setting the stage for an engaging match.
This match marks the first round of the competition, with both sides eager to start on a positive note. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been tight, with Croatia holding a slight edge in wins but many draws shared between them.
Czechia's home advantage and attacking threats like P. Schick and A. Hložek give them a slight edge. Croatia's midfield maestros, including L. Modrić and M. Kovačić, offer creativity and control, but Czechia's defensive resilience and set-piece threat from T. Souček could prove decisive. The predicted 0-0 halftime score suggests a cautious start before Czechia break through in the second half.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Czechia, reflecting the most probable home win scoreline with a 44% confidence level. Expect a tight first half with no goals, followed by an open second half where Czechia's attacking prowess shines through.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Modrić's Playmaking vs Czech Midfield
Modrić's creativity and experience could unlock Czech defense, providing Croatia a tactical edge
Czechia's Home Advantage
Playing at home boosts Czechia's scoring chances despite limited recent data
Croatia's Strong Midfield Core
Croatia's midfielders like Kovačić and Modrić offer consistent creativity and control
Full Squad Availability
No confirmed injuries for either team ensures strongest lineups and tactical plans
Key Takeaways
In summary, Czechia's blend of home advantage and key attacking players should see them edge past Croatia in a competitive fixture. Fans can anticipate a tactical battle that opens up after the break, culminating in a narrow home win.
- Czechia and Croatia have met 4 times: 0 Czech wins, 1 Croatian win, 3 draws.
- Their head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals per game.
- Predicted halftime score is 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- P. Schick is the leading Czech attacker with a 55% chance to score.
- L. Modrić provides key creativity for Croatia with a 55% assist probability.
- T. Souček is a crucial defensive and set-piece threat for Czechia.
- No confirmed injuries for either team, ensuring full-strength lineups.
- Draw outcome has a slightly higher aggregate probability but 2-1 home win is most likely scoreline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Czechia
Away — Croatia
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Červ
Yellow Card
Modrić
Assist: Matanović
Karabec
Assist: Hložek
Matanović
Sučić
Ivanović
Vušković
Yellow Card
Ambros
Červ
Karabec
Modrić
Pasalic
Assist: Perišić
Goal cancelled
Šulc
Sláma
Sučić
Match Statistics
Czechia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4R. HranáčD
- 5V. CoufalD
- 6Š. ChaloupekD
- 8M. SadílekM
- 9A. KarabecM
- 10A. HložekF
- 12L. ČervM
- 13L. AmbrosM
- 15P. ŠulcM
- 16L. HorníčekG
- 20J. SlámaD
Substitutes
- 1M. KovářG
- 2O. KričfalušiD
- 3O. ZmrzlýD
- 7M. ŠubertM
- 11V. SejkF
- 14M. VitíkD
- 17P. BuchaM
- 18M. RadostaM
- 19R. MacekM
- 21A. KrálM
- 22M. SáčekD
- 23A. KinskýG
Croatia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1D. LivakovićG
- 2J. StanišićD
- 4J. GvardiolD
- 5L. VuškovićD
- 8M. KovačićM
- 10L. ModrićM
- 14I. PerišićD
- 16F. IvanovićM
- 17P. SučićM
- 20I. MatanovićF
- 21L. SučićM
Substitutes
- 3I. SmolčićD
- 6J. ŠutaloD
- 7L. MajerM
- 9A. KramarićF
- 11A. BudimirF
- 12I. PandurG
- 13N. VlašićM
- 15Mario PasalicM
- 18D. BeljoF
- 19Marco PasalicF
- 22J. MišićM
- 23D. KotarskiG
Czechia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Karabec | M | 74 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Hranáč | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Coufal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| A. Hložek | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Š. Chaloupek | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Zmrzlý | D | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Sadílek | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Sláma | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Šulc | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Šubert | M | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Král | M | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sejk | F | 7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ambros | M | 67 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. Červ | M | 67 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Radosta | M | 23 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Kričfaluši | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Macek | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sáček | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Bucha | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kovář | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kinský | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vitík | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Croatia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Modrić | M | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 27 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| I. Matanović | F | 63 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Perišić | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Ivanović | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| A. Budimir | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Vušković | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Mišić | M | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Sučić | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Vlašić | M | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Livaković | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kotarski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Šutalo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Beljo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Pandur | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Smolčić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Majer | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kramarić | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Czechia vs Croatia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Czechia to win against Croatia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Czechia vs Croatia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Czechia 2–1 Croatia.
- What were the win probabilities for Czechia vs Croatia?
- Fipster's model gave Czechia a 44% chance of winning, Croatia a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.