Cremonese vs Pisa

Serie AMatchweek 36
Full Time
30
HT: 10
Ref: Giovanni Ayroldi, ItalyStadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona · 20,034 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinmediumHit

Match recap

Cremonese beat Pisa 3–0 in their Serie A fixture. Vardy, Bonazzoli, and Okereke scored for Cremonese. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.15 for Cremonese versus 0.00 for Pisa. Cremonese sit 18th in the Serie A table while Pisa are 20th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
10
HT 1–0
Final Result
30
HT 1–0
70%Good
B
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review12 May 2026

Analysis

As the Serie B season nears its climax, Cremonese host Pisa in a match that could be pivotal for both sides. With both teams languishing near the bottom, every point counts, and this encounter promises a tight contest with slim margins.

Historically, Pisa have had the upper hand with six wins to Cremonese's two in their 13 meetings, but this season tells a different story. Cremonese boast a superior goal difference (+12) and sit 18th, just above Pisa who are 20th. The stakes are high as both teams fight to climb out of the relegation zone.

Cremonese's top scorer, F. Bonazzoli, has been in decent home form, netting two goals in his last three home games, despite injury concerns. Pisa, on the other hand, are struggling offensively, having failed to score in their last five away matches. The absence of Pisa's defensive stalwart Caracciolo due to suspension further tips the scales in Cremonese's favour. However, Cremonese's creativity is hampered by injuries to key midfielders, making this a closely fought battle.


Prediction

Expect Cremonese to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, likely secured by Bonazzoli's knack for finding the net at home. The halftime score is predicted to be 1-0 as well, reflecting a tight defensive display from both sides. The match could see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.

Outcome probability

Cremonese 53%Draw 24%Pisa 23%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Cremonese's key attackers injured

Both Bonazzoli and Vardy are injured, reducing Cremonese's attacking options and goal threat.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Pisa's defensive stalwart missing

Caracciolo's suspension weakens Pisa's defense, potentially exploitable by Cremonese's attackers.

Statistical Edgemedium

Bonazzoli's strong home scoring form

Bonazzoli has scored 2 goals in last 3 home games, above league average for attackers at home.

Form Momentumhigh

Pisa's poor recent form and scoring drought

Pisa has lost last 5 games and failed to score in last 5 away matches, indicating low offensive threat.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Cremonese's midfield creativity affected by injuries

Vandeputte and Zerbin injuries reduce Cremonese's assist potential and creativity in midfield.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Cremonese's home advantage and slightly better form should see them edge out Pisa in a low-scoring affair. Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities and scoring drought make it tough for them to get anything from this game. Fans should brace for a tense match where one goal could make all the difference.

  • Pisa lead head-to-head with 6 wins to Cremonese's 2 in 13 matches.
  • Cremonese have a better goal difference (+12) than Pisa this season.
  • Both teams are near the bottom of the league: Cremonese 18th, Pisa 20th.
  • Bonazzoli is Cremonese's top scorer with 7 goals, including 2 in the last 3 home games.
  • Pisa have failed to score in their last 5 away matches.
  • Pisa's defender Caracciolo is suspended, weakening their defence.
  • Cremonese's midfield creativity is impacted by injuries to key players.
  • The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting a competitive game.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeCremonese

F. Bonazzoli

F. Bonazzoli

Attacker

Cremonese

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.04
31 played
27 starts
2199 mins
~71 mins/game
J. Vardy

J. Vardy

Attacker

Cremonese

Total Goals
5
League avg: 1.04
25 played
21 starts
1828 mins
~73 mins/game

AwayPisa

S. Moreo

S. Moreo

Attacker

Pisa

Total Goals
6
League avg: 1.04
34 played
26 starts
2123 mins
~62 mins/game
I. Touré

I. Touré

Midfielder

Pisa

Total Goals
1
League avg: 1.04
30 played
25 starts
2176 mins
~73 mins/game