Cremonese vs Lazio
Match recap
Lazio beat Cremonese 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Bonazzoli scored for Cremonese; Isaksen and Noslin replied for Lazio. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.51 for Cremonese versus 0.96 for Lazio. Cremonese sit 18th in the Serie A table while Lazio are 9th.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Cremonese host Lazio in a match where every point counts. With Lazio's recent form and defensive prowess, this promises to be a closely fought encounter.
Cremonese have struggled this season, particularly in front of goal, while Lazio boast a better goal difference and points per game. Previous meetings favour Lazio, who have won three of four encounters.
Lazio's defensive leader Romagnoli offers stability, while Cremonese's top scorer Bonazzoli is sidelined with injury, dulling their attacking threat. Lazio's injury woes in attack may limit their firepower, but their overall form and tactical edge should see them edge this one.
Prediction
Expect a tight match with Lazio securing a 1-0 victory, likely scoring in the first half and then holding firm. The game should see around three cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Cremonese's main striker Bonazzoli injured
Bonazzoli's leg injury removes Cremonese's top scorer, reducing their goal threat significantly.
Lazio missing key attackers Cancellieri and Zaccagni
Lazio's attacking options are limited by injuries to Cancellieri and Zaccagni, impacting creativity and finishing.
Lazio's defensive stability with Romagnoli
Romagnoli's high passing accuracy and defensive leadership provide Lazio a tactical edge in defense.
Lazio's better recent form and scoring rate
Lazio has higher win percentage and average goals scored than Cremonese, supporting predicted away win.
Cremonese's poor scoring and defensive record
Cremonese's low scoring average and high goals conceded indicate struggles that Lazio can exploit.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Lazio's superior form, defensive strength, and Cremonese's injury setbacks point to a narrow away win. Fans should brace for a tense, tactical battle with Lazio just about getting the job done.
- Lazio have won 3 of 4 previous meetings against Cremonese, with 1 draw and no losses.
- Lazio's goal difference (+4) is significantly better than Cremonese's (-25) this season.
- Lazio average 1.41 points per game compared to Cremonese's 0.82, indicating stronger form.
- Cremonese's top scorer F. Bonazzoli is injured, reducing their goal threat.
- Lazio's defender A. Romagnoli provides defensive stability with 93% pass accuracy.
- Lazio are missing key attackers M. Cancellieri and M. Zaccagni due to injury.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 3, suggesting a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cremonese
Away — Lazio
No standout top scorers flagged for Lazio
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baschirotto
Bonazzoli
Assist: Floriani Mussolini
Provstgaard
Yellow Card
Patric
Maldini
Isaksen
Assist: Noslin
Zaccagni
Grassi
Zerbin
Sanabria
Floriani Mussolini
Taylor
Barbieri
Yellow Card
Isaksen
Nuno Tavares
Yellow Card
Noslin
Assist: Dia
Match Statistics
Cremonese
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1E. AuderoG
- 3G. PezzellaD
- 5S. LupertoD
- 6F. BaschirottoD
- 7A. ZerbinM
- 22R. Floriani MussoliniM
- 24F. TerraccianoD
- 29Y. MalehM
- 33A. GrassiM
- 90F. BonazzoliF
- 99A. SanabriaF
Substitutes
- 2M. ThorsbyM
- 4T. BarbieriD
- 9M. ĐurićF
- 10J. VardyF
- 15M. BianchettiD
- 16M. SilvestriG
- 18M. CollocoloM
- 23F. CeccheriniD
- 30M. FayeD
- 32M. PayeroM
- 38W. BondoM
- 55F. FolinoD
- 69L. NavaG
- 77D. OkerekeF
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4PatricM
- 10M. ZaccagniF
- 13A. RomagnoliD
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 18G. IsaksenF
- 24K. TaylorM
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 26T. BašićM
- 27D. MaldiniF
- 40E. MottaG
- 77A. MarušićD
Substitutes
- 3L. PellegriniD
- 6N. RovellaM
- 7F. Dele-BashiruM
- 9PedroF
- 14T. NoslinF
- 19B. DiaF
- 20P. RatkovF
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 29M. LazzariM
- 72Nicolo PannozzoG
- 99Giacomo GiacomoneG
Cremonese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Bonazzoli | F | 98 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Federico Baschirotto(C) | D | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sanabria | F | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Pezzella | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Emil Audero | G | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | M | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Francesco Folino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Nava | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikayil Faye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michele Collocolo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morten Thorsby | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Đurić | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Silvestri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Okereke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Ceccherini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Matteo Bianchetti | D | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Payero | M | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | D | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jamie Vardy | F | 37 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustav Isaksen | F | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Mattia Zaccagni(C) | F | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Adam Marušić | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Motta | G | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toma Bašić | M | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Patric | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Maldini | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Petar Ratkov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Pellegrini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reda Belahyane | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolo Pannozzo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Giacomone | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Przyborek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 53 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | 53 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | M | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro | F | 38 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |