Cremonese vs Como
Match recap
Como beat Cremonese 4–1 in their Serie A fixture. Bonazzoli scored for Cremonese; Rodríguez, Douvikas, da Cunha, and da Cunha replied for Como. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.06 for Cremonese versus 2.35 for Como. Cremonese sit 18th in the Serie A table while Como are 4th.
Analysis
As the Serie B season nears its climax, Cremonese host Como in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. With both teams eager to finish on a high, the match could hinge on a single moment of quality.
Cremonese sit precariously in 18th place with 34 points, struggling for consistency, while Como enjoy a comfortable 5th place with 68 points. Historically, Cremonese have dominated head-to-head clashes, but current form and league standings favour the visitors.
Como's attacking threat is spearheaded by T. Douvikas, who boasts 13 goals this season and an impressive 0.67 goals per 90 minutes in his last five away games. Cremonese's defence is weakened by the absence of key defender F. Baschirotto due to injury, which could be exploited. Meanwhile, Cremonese's main hope lies with F. Bonazzoli, their top scorer with 9 goals and strong home form. However, Como's midfield maestro Jesús Rodríguez, with 8 assists, is likely to orchestrate the visitors' attack effectively.
Prediction
The prediction is a narrow 1-0 away win for Como, with the only goal likely coming from Douvikas. The halftime score is expected to be 0-1, reflecting Como's ability to strike early and then hold on. The match should see around three cards, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive game.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Como's attacking edge via Douvikas
Douvikas' strong away scoring form and Como's higher average goals suggest offensive advantage
Baschirotto's absence weakens Cremonese defense
Baschirotto's thigh injury removes a key defensive and passing contributor, impacting defensive solidity
Como's superior recent form and defensive record
Como has better win percentage, goals scored, and conceded rates, indicating overall team strength
Bonazzoli's consistent scoring at home
Bonazzoli's recent home goals and minutes played show reliable scoring threat for Cremonese
Rodríguez's creative role for Como
Rodríguez leads assists and key passes, enhancing Como's chance creation and linking with Douvikas
Key Takeaways
In summary, despite Cremonese's historical edge in this fixture, Como's superior form, key player performances, and defensive vulnerabilities of the hosts point towards an away victory. Expect a tight, tactical battle decided by a single goal.
- Como currently sit 5th in the league with 68 points, well ahead of Cremonese's 18th place and 34 points.
- T. Douvikas is Como's top scorer with 13 goals and strong recent away form (0.67 goals/90 in last 5 away games).
- F. Bonazzoli leads Cremonese with 9 goals, showing good home scoring form.
- Jesús Rodríguez leads Como with 8 assists, key in creating chances for Douvikas.
- Cremonese's F. Baschirotto is injured, weakening their defensive line.
- Head-to-head, Cremonese have won 5 of 7 matches, but Como have the better current form.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 3, suggesting a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cremonese
Away — Como
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Đurić
Red Card
Okereke
Red Card
Maleh
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Thorsby
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Zerbin
Thorsby
Moreno
Yellow Card
Douvikas
Assist: Rodríguez
Bonazzoli
Penalty
Vardy
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Penalty confirmed
Bianchetti
Yellow Card
Grassi
Red Card
da Cunha
Penalty
Vandeputte
Yellow Card
Moreno
da Cunha
Assist: Caqueret
Douvikas
Diao
Terracciano
Baturina
Bonazzoli
Match Statistics
Cremonese
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1E. AuderoG
- 2M. ThorsbyM
- 3G. PezzellaM
- 5S. LupertoD
- 7A. ZerbinM
- 10J. VardyF
- 15M. BianchettiD
- 24F. TerraccianoD
- 29Y. MalehM
- 33A. GrassiM
- 90F. BonazzoliF
Substitutes
- 4T. BarbieriD
- 9M. ĐurićF
- 16M. SilvestriG
- 18M. CollocoloM
- 21Simone Lottici TessadriM
- 22R. Floriani MussoliniD
- 23F. CeccheriniD
- 27J. VandeputteM
- 55F. FolinoD
- 69L. NavaG
- 77D. OkerekeF
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 2M. KempfD
- 11T. DouvikasF
- 14Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 17Jesús RodríguezM
- 18Alberto MorenoD
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 23M. PerroneM
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 33L. da CunhaM
- 38Assane DiaoM
Substitutes
- 5E. GoldanigaD
- 6M. CaqueretM
- 7Álvaro MorataF
- 8Sergi RobertoM
- 10N. PazM
- 15A. LahdoM
- 19N. KühnF
- 21N. TörnqvistG
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 31M. VojvodaD
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 49R. CassanoM
- 58S. PisatiM
- 77I. Van der BremptD
Cremonese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Bonazzoli | F | 85 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Jamie Vardy | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Giuseppe Pezzella | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Morten Thorsby | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Audero | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Bianchetti(C) | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 83 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Francesco Folino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Ceccherini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Nava | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Okereke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Silvestri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Đurić | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Lottici Tessadri | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Michele Collocolo | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | D | 45 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Da Cunha(C) | M | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Rodriguez | M | 64 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Anastasios Douvikas | F | 83 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Baturina | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Jean Butez | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Máximo Perrone | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jacobo Ramón | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Alberto Moreno | D | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mauro Vigorito | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Cassano | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Pisati | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Lahdo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Törnqvist | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Paz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Goldaniga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxence Caqueret | M | 26 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |