Coritiba vs Santos
Your time to shine.
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Challenge a friendThis fixture between Coritiba and Santos promises a keenly contested match as both sides look to improve their standings in the league. Expect a competitive game with attacking intent from both teams.
The context
Santos currently sit 9th in the league with 47 points, slightly ahead of Coritiba who are 11th with 42 points. Historically, Santos have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning 13 of 20 matches compared to Coritiba's 4 victories. However, recent form and home advantage could tilt the balance.
Match factors
Coritiba's Pedro Rocha vs Santos' defense
Pedro Rocha's strong home scoring form and high minutes suggest he will challenge Santos' defense effectively.
Gabriel Barbosa's away scoring threat
Gabriel Barbosa's prolific away goal rate (1.17 goals/game last 10) poses a significant threat to Coritiba's defense.
Lucas Ronier confirmed out for Coritiba
Coritiba misses midfielder Lucas Ronier, reducing midfield creativity and depth.
Josué's creative consistency
Josué leads Coritiba with 9 assists and consistent recent form, key to creating scoring chances.
Coritiba's defensive contributions from Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser contributes 3 goals from defense, above average for defenders, adding offensive value.
Analysis
Coritiba's Pedro Rocha is a key player to watch, boasting 9 goals this season and strong home form with 0.4 goals per game in his last 10 home matches. Josué's creativity, with 9 assists, will also be crucial in unlocking Santos' defence. On the other side, Santos rely heavily on Gabriel Barbosa, their top scorer with 15 goals and an impressive away scoring rate of 1.17 goals per game in his last 10 away matches. Despite Santos' better goal difference and league position, Coritiba's home advantage and attacking threats make this a finely balanced contest.
Key insights
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Pedro Rocha's strong home scoring form and high minutes suggest he will challenge Santos' defence effectively.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 31 apps, 0.4 goals/game last 10 home matches
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa's prolific away goal rate (1.17 goals/game last 10) poses a significant threat to Coritiba's defence.
Serie A 26/2715 goals in 27 apps, 1.17 goals/game last 10 away matches
Josué
Coritiba
Josué leads Coritiba with 9 assists and consistent recent form, key to creating scoring chances.
Serie A 26/279 assists in 29 apps, 0.31 assists/game
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Coritiba with a final scoreline of 2-1. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting an open and competitive first half. The match is also anticipated to see around four cards, indicating a spirited encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Santos lead the head-to-head with 13 wins to Coritiba's 4 in 20 matches.
- 2.Santos are 9th in the league with 47 points; Coritiba are 11th with 42 points.
- 3.Santos have a positive goal difference (+11) compared to Coritiba's negative (-10).
- 4.Pedro Rocha is Coritiba's top scorer with 9 goals and strong home form.
- 5.Gabriel Barbosa is Santos' top scorer with 15 goals and prolific away form.
- 6.Josué leads Coritiba with 9 assists, key in creating chances.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, with a fulltime score of 2-1 to Coritiba.
- 8.The match is expected to have around 4 cards, indicating a competitive game.
The verdict
While Santos have the historical edge and a slightly better league position, Coritiba's home form and key players' performances suggest they will clinch a narrow victory. Fans can look forward to an engaging match with goals and competitive spirit.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Santos
Prediction generated 4 Nov 2026, 02:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Coritiba vs Santos?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Coritiba to win against Santos.
- What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Santos?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Coritiba 2–1 Santos.
- What are the win probabilities for Coritiba vs Santos?
- Fipster's model gives Coritiba a 54% chance of winning, Santos a 23% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 54% confidence — a medium-confidence call.