Coritiba vs Remo
Match recap
Coritiba beat Remo 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Rocha scored for Coritiba. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.92 for Coritiba versus 0.53 for Remo. Coritiba sit 12th in the Serie A table while Remo are 19th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Coritiba win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
Coritiba and Remo face off in the 6th round of the regular season, with Coritiba looking to extend their scoring streak and assert dominance in this clash.
Match factors
Coritiba's attacking trio in form
Pedro Rocha and Breno Lopes lead Coritiba's scoring with strong recent form, likely to exploit Remo's defense
Josué's creative influence
Josué's 10 assists and high passing involvement make him a key playmaker for Coritiba's attack
Coritiba missing key defenders
Absence of Tiago Cóser and Bruno Melo weakens Coritiba's defense, may increase pressure on goalkeeper
Remo's limited scoring form
Remo's top scorers have lower recent goal output, limiting their threat against Coritiba's home defense
Coritiba's home scoring streak
Coritiba has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals in this match
The context
Coritiba currently hold a better league standing and have a slight historical edge over Remo, having won two of their last five encounters. Remo, meanwhile, have struggled to find consistent scoring form recently, which could prove costly in this matchup.
Key insights
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Pedro Rocha is a key offensive threat with 8 goals this season and strong recent form, making him a focal point in Coritiba's attack.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 28 appearances, 0.29 goals/game
Josué
Coritiba
Josué's 10 assists and high passing involvement make him the creative hub and set-piece taker, crucial for Coritiba's attacking play.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 26 appearances, 0.38 assists/game
Alef Manga
Remo
Alef Manga is Remo's leading scorer and assister, but his recent form may not be enough to overcome Coritiba's home advantage.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 28 appearances, 0.11 assists/game
Analysis
Coritiba's attacking trio, led by Pedro Rocha and Breno Lopes, have been in fine form, with Rocha netting 8 goals this season and showing strong recent performances. Josué's creative influence, with 10 assists, adds a vital spark to their forward play. Despite missing key defenders Tiago Cóser and Bruno Melo, Coritiba's home scoring streak and offensive firepower are expected to overwhelm Remo's defence. Remo's top scorers have been less prolific lately, limiting their threat in this fixture.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba have a better league standing and goal difference than Remo.
- 2.In 5 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba have won 2, Remo 1, with 2 draws.
- 3.Pedro Rocha has scored 8 goals this season, including 1 in this fixture.
- 4.Josué leads Coritiba with 10 assists, making him a key playmaker.
- 5.Coritiba have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 6.Remo's top scorers have shown limited recent goal output.
- 7.Coritiba are missing key defenders Tiago Cóser and Bruno Melo due to injury.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for Coritiba with a final score of 3-1. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with Coritiba's early dominance. The match is also predicted to see a moderate level of discipline, with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Remo
No standout top scorers flagged for Remo
The verdict
Coritiba's blend of attacking prowess and home form should see them comfortably through against Remo. While Remo may find moments to challenge, the overall quality and momentum lie with Coritiba to secure a 3-1 victory.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rocha
Assist: Breno Lopes
João Lucas
Yellow Card
João Lucas
Gómez
Yellow Card
Sávio
Breno Lopes
Wallisson
Marllon
Yellow Card
Patrick
Jája Silva
Yellow Card
Josué
Picco
Tchamba
Gómez
Rocha
Lucas Ronier
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3MaiconD
- 8WallissonM
- 10JosuéM
- 11Lucas RonierM
- 12Pedro RangelG
- 19S. GómezM
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 44João Pedro ChermontD
- 77Breno LopesM
Substitutes
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 7J. LavegaF
- 13KeillerG
- 20KenoF
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 22Felipe GuimarãesD
- 28FabinhoF
- 29Willian OliveiraM
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 39GustavoM
- 88Fernando SobralM
Remo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2João LucasD
- 8PatrickM
- 11Alef MangaF
- 13MarllonD
- 14L. PiccoM
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 16SávioD
- 18D. TchambaD
- 37Jája SilvaF
- 55Zé RicardoM
- 88Marcelo RangelG
Substitutes
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 7Giovanni PavaniM
- 10JádersonF
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 24B. CufréD
- 27Kayky AlmeidaD
- 28José WelisonM
- 45João PedroF
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 97IvanG
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Sebastian Gomez(C) | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 89 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/5 |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Thiago Santos | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Sobral | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Guimarães | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keiller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keno | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Remo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Rangel | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Bueno | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4/7 |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Patrick | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marllon(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Leonel Picco | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alef Manga | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Jajá | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/4 |
| Duplexe Tchamba | D | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sávio | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Lucas | D | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Pedro Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Quaresma | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ygor Vinhas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Pavani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Cufré | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelinho | D | 57 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kayky Almeida | D | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jáderson | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yago Pikachu | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Welison | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Coritiba vs Remo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Coritiba to win against Remo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Coritiba vs Remo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Coritiba 3–1 Remo.
- What were the win probabilities for Coritiba vs Remo?
- Fipster's model gave Coritiba a 95% chance of winning, Remo a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.