Coritiba vs RB Bragantino
Match recap
RB Bragantino beat Coritiba 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Juninho Capixaba scored for RB Bragantino. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.25 for Coritiba versus 2.62 for RB Bragantino. Coritiba sit 12th in the Serie A table while RB Bragantino are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Coritiba win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
The opening round of the season sees Coritiba and RB Bragantino face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both sides have shown competitive spirit in the league, but the home side looks poised to take control early and extend their advantage.
Match factors
Coritiba missing key defenders and midfielder
Coritiba will miss Tiago Cóser, Bruno Melo, and Lucas Ronier, weakening defense and midfield creativity
Josué's playmaking to boost Coritiba attack
Josué's league-leading 10 assists and recent form provide Coritiba strong creative edge
Pedro Rocha's consistent scoring form
Pedro Rocha has 8 goals this season with 2 in last 5 matches, key to Coritiba's predicted 3 goals
RB Bragantino's Juninho Capixaba doubtful but influential
Juninho Capixaba's doubtful status limits RB Bragantino's defensive stability and assist potential
Coritiba's recent home scoring streak
Coritiba has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted home win and multiple scorers
The context
Coritiba and RB Bragantino are closely matched in the league standings, sitting ninth and tenth respectively. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Coritiba winning three of nine meetings and Bragantino four, alongside two draws. This sets the stage for a tightly contested match, though recent form and squad availability may tip the scales.
Key insights
Josué
Coritiba
Leads the league with 10 assists, providing a creative edge that boosts Coritiba's attacking threat.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 26 appearances, 0.38 assists/game
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Consistent scorer with 8 goals this season, including strong recent form, key to Coritiba's predicted 3 goals.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 28 appearances, 0.29 goals/game
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
Doubtful status limits RB Bragantino's defensive stability and assist potential, impacting their overall performance.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 25 appearances, 0.08 assists/game
Analysis
Coritiba's attacking threat is bolstered by Pedro Rocha, who has netted eight goals this season and is particularly effective at home. Josué's creative prowess, leading the league with ten assists, provides a vital supply line. Meanwhile, Coritiba will miss key defensive and midfield players, but their recent home scoring streak suggests they can overcome these absences. RB Bragantino's Juninho Capixaba is doubtful, which could weaken their defensive stability and limit their assist potential. Despite Bragantino's superior goal difference this season, Coritiba's home advantage and attacking form give them the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba rank 9th with 38 points from 29 games (W10 D8 L11).
- 2.RB Bragantino sit 10th with 37 points from 29 games (W10 D7 L12).
- 3.Coritiba have won 3 of 9 head-to-head matches against RB Bragantino.
- 4.RB Bragantino have a better goal difference (+11) than Coritiba this season.
- 5.Pedro Rocha has scored 8 goals in 28 appearances this season.
- 6.Josué leads Coritiba with 10 assists in 26 appearances.
- 7.Coritiba have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 8.Juninho Capixaba is doubtful for RB Bragantino due to injury concerns.
Prediction
We anticipate Coritiba to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime score, and maintain control to finish 3-1 victors. The match is expected to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but disciplined affair. Coritiba's combination of home form and key players in attack should prove decisive.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — RB Bragantino
The verdict
In summary, Coritiba's blend of creativity and goal-scoring ability, coupled with home advantage, sets them up for a confident 3-1 win over RB Bragantino. While the visitors will pose challenges, the home side's momentum and squad strengths are likely to shine through.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Alix
Yellow Card
Card upgrade
Josué
Red Card
Melo
Yellow Card
Gabriel
Yellow Card
Alix
Gabriel
Hurtado
Yellow Card
Red card cancelled
Pedro Henrique
Yellow Card
Fernandes
Yellow Card
Lavega
Rocha
Fernandes
Hurtado
Lucas Ronier
Sosa
Yellow Card
Melo
Willian Oliveira
Henry Mosquera
Juninho Capixaba
Assist: Marcelinho
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
Match Statistics
Coritiba
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Pedro LuccasG
- 2TingaD
- 3MaiconD
- 7J. LavegaM
- 10JosuéM
- 11Lucas RonierM
- 19S. GómezM
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 29Willian OliveiraM
- 32Pedro RochaF
Substitutes
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 8WallissonM
- 16João VitorD
- 17Jean GabrielM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 22Felipe GuimarãesD
- 28FabinhoF
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 55JacyD
- 67BenassiG
- 77Breno LopesF
- 88Fernando SobralM
RB Bragantino
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1CleitonG
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 21Lucas BarbosaF
- 22GustavinhoM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraF
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 35Matheus FernandesM
Substitutes
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 5FabinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 11FernandoF
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 27Davi GomesM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 57MarcelinhoM
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Morisco | G | 90 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sebastian Gomez(C) | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tiago | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tinga | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Josué | M | 30 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jean Gabriel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Guimarães | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benassi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Almeida | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Sobral | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Breno Lopes | F | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juninho Capixaba(C) | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 86 | 7.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6/11 |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davi Gomes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Volpi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant'Anna | D | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Vinicinho | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marcelinho Braz | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Coritiba vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Coritiba to win against RB Bragantino.
- What score did Fipster predict for Coritiba vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Coritiba 3–1 RB Bragantino.
- What were the win probabilities for Coritiba vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's model gave Coritiba a 85% chance of winning, RB Bragantino a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.