Coritiba vs Mirassol
Mirassol stuns Coritiba with late rally
Bruno Santos seals a 2-1 win after a quick-fire exchange of goals.
Coritiba looked set for victory when Pedro Rocha put them ahead after the break, but Mirassol responded swiftly through Gustavo Silva and clinched the win with Bruno Santos' decisive strike in the 84th minute. This 2-1 turnaround defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-0 home win, proving the visitors' resilience in Serie A.
Outcome probability
Coritiba and Mirassol face off in a regular season clash where the home side looks poised to assert their superiority. With Coritiba sitting comfortably in the league standings and Mirassol struggling near the bottom, this match promises a clear narrative.
Match factors
Coritiba's potent attacking duo in form
Breno Lopes and Pedro Rocha have strong recent scoring form and good home records, likely to exploit Mirassol's defense
Josué's playmaking edge
Josué leads assists with 8 and controls playmaking duties, enhancing Coritiba's attacking threat
Defensive contributions from Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser's offensive output and passing surpass league defender averages, adding extra threat
Mirassol's Eduardo showing recent scoring uptick
Eduardo has scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, providing Mirassol some attacking spark
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players are available to influence the match
The context
Coritiba currently rank 7th with 37 points from 25 games, while Mirassol find themselves 16th with 25 points from 24 matches. The head-to-head record slightly favours Mirassol with two wins to Coritiba's one, but the home advantage and recent form tip the scales.
Key insights
Breno Lopes
Coritiba
Leads team scoring with 8 goals, strong home scoring rate and recent form make him a key threat.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 22 apps, 0.36 goals/game
Josué
Coritiba
Top assist provider with 8 assists, controls playmaking and set-pieces, boosting Coritiba's attack.
Serie A 26/278 assists in 22 apps, 0.36 assists/game
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Consistent starter with 7 goals, excellent recent form with 3 goals in last 5 matches.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 24 apps, 0.29 goals/game
Eduardo
Mirassol
Mirassol's top scorer with 4 goals, showing recent scoring uptick with 2 in last 5 matches.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 17 apps, 0.24 goals/game
Analysis
Coritiba's attacking duo, Breno Lopes and Pedro Rocha, have been in fine form, combining for 15 goals this season and showing strong recent scoring runs. Josué's playmaking prowess, leading the team with 8 assists, adds a creative edge that Mirassol's defence, which has conceded heavily this season, will struggle to contain. Mirassol's Eduardo has shown some attacking spark with 4 goals, but the overall defensive frailty and negative goal difference suggest a tough outing ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba rank 7th with 37 points from 25 games (W10 D7 L8).
- 2.Mirassol rank 16th with 25 points from 24 games (W6 D7 L11).
- 3.Mirassol lead head-to-head 2-1 but Coritiba have home advantage.
- 4.Coritiba have a neutral goal difference (0), Mirassol have a negative goal difference (-10).
- 5.Breno Lopes leads Coritiba scoring with 8 goals this season.
- 6.Josué leads Coritiba assists with 8 this season.
- 7.Pedro Rocha has 7 goals and good recent form.
- 8.Mirassol's Eduardo has 4 goals, scoring 2 in last 5 matches.
Prediction
Expect Coritiba to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime and extending their advantage to a 3-0 victory by fulltime. The predicted total of four cards indicates a competitive but controlled match. Coritiba's superior goal difference and home form underpin this forecast.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Mirassol
The verdict
In summary, Coritiba's blend of attacking firepower and home advantage should see them comfortably dispatch Mirassol. The visitors will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking inspiration to avoid a heavy defeat.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Denilson
Yellow Card
Borges
Yellow Card
João Victor
Yellow Card
Santos
Yellow Card
Santos
Breno Lopes
Jacy
Rocha
Assist: Fabinho
João Pedro Chermont
Yellow Card
Silva
Assist: Igor Formiga
João Pedro Chermont
Silva
Alesson
Fabinho
Wallisson
Denilson
Santos
Assist: Igor Formiga
Eduardo
Shaylon
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 |  Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 14 |  Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 |  Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Pedro LuccasG
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 7J. LavegaM
- 19S. GómezM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 28FabinhoM
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 44João Pedro ChermontD
- 55JacyD
- 77Breno LopesM
Substitutes
- 3MaiconD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 10JosuéM
- 18Paulo RobertoM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 37L. CrepaldiF
- 39GustavoM
- 50TissiM
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 27DenilsonM
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 33EduardoM
- 34João VictorD
- 77AlessonM
- 80WallissonM
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 5JapaM
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17FernandinhoF
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 44GabrielD
- 55Gustavo CazonattiM
- 90ThomazellaG
- 96Carlos EduardoF
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rocha | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0/3 |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Fabinho | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jacy | D | 59 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Luccas | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tissi | M | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josué | M | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 31 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 58 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Crepaldi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rangel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 9.1 | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Alex Muralha | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Fernandinho | F | 14 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Wallisson | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel | D | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alesson | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Shaylon | M | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luís | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomazella | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |