Coritiba vs Internacional
Match recap
Coritiba and Internacional drew 2–2 in their Serie A fixture. Lavega and Moledo scored for Coritiba; Borré and Torres replied for Internacional. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.42 for Coritiba versus 3.15 for Internacional. Coritiba sit 12th in the Serie A table while Internacional are 16th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Coritiba win
Actual
2–2
Outcome probability
Coritiba and Internacional face off in a Brazilian Serie A regular season match where attacking intent and tactical nuances will be key. Both sides have shown moments of promise, but Coritiba's home advantage and sharper offensive edge could prove decisive.
Match factors
Coritiba's attacking midfield strength vs Internacional's defense
Coritiba's Josué and Pedro Rocha form a potent attacking midfield duo, exploiting Internacional's defensive vulnerabilities.
Josué's superior assist record
Josué leads with 10 assists this season, well above league average for midfielders, boosting Coritiba's chance to create scoring opportunities.
Pedro Rocha's consistent scoring form
Pedro Rocha has scored 8 goals this season with recent home goals, indicating strong form to impact the match.
Alan Patrick's doubtful status limits Internacional's creativity
Alan Patrick is doubtful due to injury, capping his assist probability and potentially weakening Internacional's midfield creativity.
Internacional's Johan Carbonero key in attack
Carbonero's 7 goals and 4 assists make him a focal point for Internacional's offense, challenging Coritiba's defense.
The context
This fixture is part of the 15th round of the Brazilian Serie A regular season. Coritiba currently sit 10th with 39 points from 30 games, while Internacional are lower down in 17th with 32 points from the same number of matches. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced with 2 wins for Coritiba, 8 for Internacional, and 9 draws in 19 meetings.
Key insights
Josué
Coritiba
Leads the team with 10 assists, significantly boosting Coritiba's chance to create scoring opportunities.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 27 appearances, 0.37 assists/game
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Top scorer with 8 goals and strong recent home form, likely to impact the match.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 29 appearances, 0.28 goals/game
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Key offensive player with 7 goals and 4 assists, central to Internacional's attack.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 29 appearances, 0.24 goals/game
- A
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Doubtful status limits Internacional's creativity and attacking options.
Serie A 26/275 goals and 2 assists this season
Analysis
Coritiba's attacking midfield duo, Josué and Pedro Rocha, have been instrumental this season. Josué leads the team with 10 assists, well above the league average for midfielders, while Pedro Rocha has netted 8 goals, showing consistent scoring form especially at home. Internacional will rely heavily on Johan Carbonero, their top scorer and assister, but the absence of Alan Patrick due to injury could limit their creativity. Coritiba's defensive stability and home form give them a tactical edge in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba are 10th in the league with 39 points from 30 games (W10 D9 L11).
- 2.Internacional sit 17th with 32 points from 30 games (W7 D11 L12).
- 3.In 19 head-to-head matches, Coritiba have won 2, Internacional 8, with 9 draws.
- 4.Josué leads Coritiba with 10 assists this season, a standout creative force.
- 5.Pedro Rocha is Coritiba's top scorer with 8 goals, showing strong home form.
- 6.Johan Carbonero is Internacional's key attacker with 7 goals and 4 assists.
- 7.Alan Patrick is doubtful for Internacional, potentially limiting their midfield creativity.
Prediction
The prediction favours a Coritiba home win with a 2-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting a competitive start before Coritiba pull ahead in the second half. The match is likely to see around three cards, indicating a moderately physical contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Internacional
The verdict
In summary, Coritiba's combination of home advantage, creative midfield play, and consistent goal scoring should see them edge out Internacional in a closely fought match. Fans can expect an entertaining game with moments of quality from key players on both sides.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lucas Ronier
Yellow Card
Lavega
Assist: Josué
Rochet
Yellow Card
Torres
Yellow Card
Allex
Bahia
Vini Paulista
Lavega
Borré
Josué
Rocha
Felipe Jonatan
Alerrandro
Carbonero
Henrique
Victor Gabriel
Yellow Card
Moledo
Assist: Tinga
Torres
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
Match Statistics
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2TingaD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 7J. LavegaM
- 10JosuéM
- 11Lucas RonierM
- 19S. GómezM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 36Vini PaulistaM
- 55JacyD
Substitutes
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 8WallissonM
- 14Enzo VágnerF
- 29Willian OliveiraM
- 33D. AlvesF
- 39GustavoM
- 44João Pedro ChermontD
- 67BenassiG
- 78Renato MarquesF
- 86Lucas TavernaD
- 87Gabriel LeiteG
- 88Fernando SobralM
Internacional
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 7J. CarboneroM
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 31AllexD
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 11KaykyF
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 16RonaldoM
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 19R. BorréF
- 28VitinhoF
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 35B. AguirreD
- 53L. F. de Morais FranciscoD
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 64 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Sebastian Gomez(C) | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Vini Paulista | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Benassi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Leite | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Alves França | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Taverna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 26 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fernando Sobral | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Torres | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Bruno Henrique(C) | M | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Carbonero | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Allex | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayky | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jose Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe de Morais Francisco | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 29 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | 9 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Thiago Maia | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Patrick | M | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Coritiba vs Internacional?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Coritiba to win against Internacional.
- What score did Fipster predict for Coritiba vs Internacional?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Coritiba 2–1 Internacional.
- What were the win probabilities for Coritiba vs Internacional?
- Fipster's model gave Coritiba a 66% chance of winning, Internacional a 17% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 66% confidence — a high-confidence call.