Coritiba vs Gremio
Your time to shine.
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Challenge a friendCoritiba and Gremio face off in a regular season fixture where the home side is expected to take control early and maintain their advantage throughout the match.
The context
This match is part of the 32nd round of the regular season. Coritiba currently sit 12th in the league with 39 points, while Gremio are 18th with 31 points. Their head-to-head record is almost even, with Coritiba winning 7 and Gremio 8 of their 19 encounters, alongside 4 draws. Historically, their matches average 2.4 goals, setting the stage for an engaging contest.
Match factors
Coritiba's attacking midfield creativity
Josué's 10 assists and set-piece duties give Coritiba a creative edge
Pedro Rocha's goal-scoring form
Pedro Rocha has 8 goals this season with strong home form, boosting Coritiba's attack
Gremio's defensive weakness without Wallace
Wallace's suspension weakens Gremio's defense, increasing Coritiba's scoring chances
Coritiba's home scoring streak
Coritiba has scored in last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals
Carlos Vinícius as focal point for Gremio
Vinícius leads Gremio with 10 goals, key to their attack despite recent dip
Analysis
Coritiba's attacking midfield creativity, led by Josué with 10 assists, gives them a clear edge in creating chances. Pedro Rocha's strong home scoring form, with 8 goals this season, further boosts their attacking threat. Gremio will rely on Carlos Vinícius, their top scorer with 10 goals, but the absence of key defender Wallace due to suspension weakens their defensive stability. Coritiba's recent home scoring streak supports the prediction of them netting three goals, while Gremio may manage a consolation.
Key insights
Josué
Coritiba
Leads the team with 10 assists, providing excellent creativity and set-piece delivery.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 28 appearances, 2137 mins
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Strong home scoring form with 8 goals this season, boosting Coritiba's attack.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 30 appearances, 2251 mins
- W
Wallace
Gremio
Suspended for this match, weakening Gremio's defensive line significantly.
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
Top scorer with 10 goals, key to Gremio's attack despite recent dip in form.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 29 appearances, 2261 mins
Prediction
The most likely scenario is Coritiba taking a 1-0 lead by halftime and extending it to a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to feature around four goals and a moderate number of cards, with Coritiba's home advantage and attacking form tipping the scales decisively in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba rank 12th with 39 points from 31 games (W10 D9 L12).
- 2.Gremio rank 18th with 31 points from 30 games (W7 D10 L13).
- 3.In 19 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba have won 7, Gremio 8, with 4 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.4 total goals (23 for Coritiba, 22 for Gremio).
- 5.Coritiba have scored in their last 5 home games.
- 6.Josué leads Coritiba with 10 assists this season.
- 7.Pedro Rocha has scored 8 goals this season, showing strong home form.
- 8.Carlos Vinícius is Gremio's top scorer with 10 goals.
The verdict
All signs point to Coritiba capitalising on their home advantage and Gremio's defensive issues to secure a comfortable win. Fans can expect a lively match with Coritiba asserting control early and maintaining it to the final whistle.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Gremio
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 21:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Coritiba vs Gremio?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Coritiba to win against Gremio.
- What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Gremio?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Coritiba 3–1 Gremio.
- What are the win probabilities for Coritiba vs Gremio?
- Fipster's model gives Coritiba a 95% chance of winning, Gremio a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.