Coritiba vs Corinthians
Coritiba stuns Corinthians with late consolation
A resilient Coritiba side held on for a narrow victory despite a last-gasp goal from Corinthians.
Coritiba secured a 2-1 win over Corinthians in Serie A, with Pedro Rocha opening the scoring before Paulo Roberto doubled the lead after the break. Corinthians' Raniele pulled one back in stoppage time, but it was too little too late. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win, delivering a surprise for the home fans.
Outcome probability
As the Brazilian Serie A season progresses, Coritiba and Corinthians prepare to face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture. Both sides sit mid-table, separated by just a point, making this clash crucial for their ambitions.
Match factors
Coritiba's midfield creativity vs Corinthians' defense
Josué's 8 assists and Breno Lopes' 8 goals highlight Coritiba's midfield threat against a defense conceding 1.3 goals per game at home
Corinthians' defensive solidity
Corinthians concede fewer goals (0.96 per game) than Coritiba (1.3), supported by strong defensive players like Matheus Bidu and Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians' scoring consistency away
Corinthians have scored in all last 5 away games, with key contributions from Yuri Alberto and Rodrigo Garro
Full squad availability for Coritiba
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for Coritiba, ensuring full strength squad for attacking and defensive roles
The context
Corinthians hold a historical edge with 12 wins in 20 meetings against Coritiba, who have managed just 2 victories. The average goals per game in their head-to-head stands at 2.5, suggesting an open game with chances for both sides. Currently, Corinthians are 9th in the league with 32 points from 22 games, narrowly ahead of Coritiba in 10th with 31 points from 23 games.
Key insights
Josué
Coritiba
Josué's 8 assists highlight Coritiba's midfield creativity, crucial against Corinthians' defence conceding 1.3 goals per game at home.
Serie A 26/278 assists in 21 appearances, 0.38 assists/game
Breno Lopes
Coritiba
Breno Lopes is Coritiba's top scorer with 8 goals, showing strong recent home form and key attacking influence.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 19 appearances, 0.42 goals/game
- M
Matheus Bidu
Corinthians
Matheus Bidu provides defensive solidity with high tackles and interceptions, helping Corinthians concede fewer goals.
Serie A 26/27Consistent starter with strong defensive stats
Yuri Alberto
Corinthians
Yuri Alberto's recent scoring form and 3 goals this season make him a key attacking outlet for Corinthians away from home.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 17 appearances, 0.18 goals/game
Analysis
Corinthians boast a better goal difference (+6) compared to Coritiba, reflecting a slightly stronger form. Their defence, marshalled by players like Matheus Bidu and Gustavo Henrique, concedes fewer goals on average (0.96 per game) than Coritiba (1.3). Offensively, Coritiba rely heavily on Breno Lopes, their top scorer with 8 goals, and playmaker Josué, who leads with 8 assists. However, Corinthians' consistent scoring away from home, with contributions from Yuri Alberto and Rodrigo Garro, gives them the edge in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Corinthians have won 12 of 20 meetings against Coritiba, who have won 2.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, indicating a moderately high-scoring game.
- 3.Corinthians rank 9th with 32 points from 22 games; Coritiba are 10th with 31 points from 23 games.
- 4.Corinthians have a better goal difference (+6) than Coritiba this season.
- 5.Corinthians concede fewer goals per game (0.96) than Coritiba (1.3).
- 6.Breno Lopes is Coritiba's top scorer with 8 goals this season.
- 7.Josué leads Coritiba with 8 assists, highlighting their midfield creativity.
- 8.Corinthians have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Prediction
The forecast sees Corinthians clinching a 2-1 victory, with the halftime score also predicted as 1-2. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards likely (around four). Given Corinthians' superior defensive record and recent away scoring consistency, they are favoured to take the points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Corinthians
The verdict
In summary, while Coritiba will pose a threat through their creative midfield and key scorers, Corinthians' balanced squad and historical dominance in this fixture make them the likely winners. Fans can expect a lively contest with goals and tactical battles throughout.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rocha
Assist: João Pedro Chermont
Breno
Yellow Card
Santos
Yellow Card
Pedro Raul
Milans
Rocha
Santos
Yellow Card
Pereira
Yellow Card
Breno
Lavega
Carrillo
Paulo Roberto
Assist: João Pedro Chermont
Kaio César
Josué
João Pedro Chermont
Raniele
Assist: Allan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 7 |  RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 |  Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 |  Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
Match Statistics
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Pedro LuccasG
- 7J. LavegaM
- 10JosuéM
- 19S. GómezM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 44João Pedro ChermontD
- 55JacyD
- 77Breno LopesM
Substitutes
- 3MaiconD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 13KeillerG
- 16João VitorD
- 18Paulo RobertoM
- 28FabinhoF
- 50TissiM
- 78Renato MarquesF
- 86Lucas TavernaD
- 88Fernando SobralM
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
Corinthians
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 7BrenoF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 19A. CarrilloM
- 20P. MilansD
- 26F. AngileriD
- 29AllanM
- 37Kaio CésarM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
Substitutes
- 4João PedroD
- 10M. DepayF
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 35CharlesM
- 40Felipe LongoG
- 46HugoD
- 54Luiz GustavoM
- 55I. MachadoD
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 61DieguinhoM
- 77J. LingardM
- 80Alex SantanaM
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 84 | 7.7 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 62 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jacy Maranhão(C) | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Morisco | G | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Thiago Santos | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| Josué | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Breno Lopes | M | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Bruno Melo | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Almeida | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keiller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 31 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Taverna | D | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fernando Sobral | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Gonçalves Tissi | M | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Carrillo | M | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Allan | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Kaio César | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6/8 |
| Gustavo Henrique(C) | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Pedro Raul | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Raniele | M | 93 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pedro Milans | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kauê | G | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luiz Gustavo Bahia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Longo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Tchoca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Santana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jesse Lingard | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Memphis Depay | F | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gui Negão | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Dieguinho | M | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |