Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba snatch late draw from Atletico Paranaense
Rodrigo Moledo's stoppage-time brace rescues a thrilling 3-3 draw.
Atletico Paranaense looked comfortable with goals from Luiz Gustavo, Arthur Dias, and a penalty by K. Viveros, but Coritiba fought back with Tiago Cóser and a dramatic double from Rodrigo Moledo deep into stoppage time. The match ended 3-3, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win. A pulsating Serie A encounter that kept fans on the edge until the very end.
Outcome probability
This clash between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense promises to be a thrilling encounter with both sides boasting attacking talent and a penchant for goals. Fans can expect a lively game with plenty of action at both ends of the pitch.
Match factors
Kevin Viveros' scoring threat vs Coritiba defense
Viveros leads with 17 goals and strong recent form, posing a major challenge to Coritiba's defense
Coritiba's Pedro Rocha in fine scoring form
Pedro Rocha scored 4 goals in last 5 games, boosting Coritiba's attack potential
Coritiba missing key defenders Tiago Cóser and Tinga
Both defenders are out, weakening Coritiba's defensive stability against Atletico Paranaense's attack
Josué's creative influence waning recently
Josué has no assists in last 5 games despite season total of 8, may affect Coritiba's chance creation
Atletico Paranaense missing key defender Gastón Benavídez
Benavídez leads assists for Atletico Paranaense but is out, potentially reducing their attacking support from defense
The context
Coritiba currently sit 7th in the league with 37 points from 26 games, while Atletico Paranaense are higher up the table in 3rd place with 45 points from 25 matches. The two teams have met 20 times previously, with Atletico Paranaense holding a slight edge in wins. Both sides have shown attacking prowess this season, setting the stage for an entertaining fixture.
Key insights
- K
Kevin Viveros Rodallega
Atletico Paranaense
Top scorer with 17 goals and excellent recent form, posing a major challenge to Coritiba's weakened defence.
Serie A 26/2717 goals in 24 appearances, 0.71 goals/game
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
In fine scoring form with 4 goals in last 5 games, key to Coritiba's attacking threat.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 24 appearances, 0.29 goals/game
Josué
Coritiba
Top assister with 8 assists but no assists in last 5 games, which may affect chance creation.
Serie A 26/278 assists in 22 appearances, 0.36 assists/game
- T
Tiago Cóser
Coritiba
Key defender missing due to suspension, weakening Coritiba's defensive stability.
- G
Gastón Benavídez
Atletico Paranaense
Leading assister for Atletico Paranaense but ruled out, potentially reducing attacking support from defence.
Serie A 26/275 assists this season
Analysis
Atletico Paranaense's Kevin Viveros Rodallega is the league's top scorer with 17 goals and excellent recent form, posing a significant threat to Coritiba's defence, which is weakened by the absence of key defenders Tiago Cóser and Tinga. Coritiba's Pedro Rocha, in fine scoring form with 4 goals in his last 5 games, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. Josué, Coritiba's top assister, has seen his creative influence wane recently, which could impact their chance creation. Atletico Paranaense are also missing their key assisting defender Gastón Benavídez, potentially reducing their attacking support from defence. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring, closely contested match with Coritiba narrowly prevailing.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba are 7th in the league with 37 points from 26 games (W10 D7 L9).
- 2.Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd with 45 points from 25 games (W13 D6 L6).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 8, Coritiba 5, with 7 draws.
- 4.Atletico Paranaense have a superior goal difference of +13 compared to Coritiba.
- 5.Coritiba's Pedro Rocha has scored 7 goals this season, including 4 in the last 5 games.
- 6.Kevin Viveros Rodallega leads the league with 17 goals and is in excellent recent form.
- 7.Coritiba are missing key defenders Tiago Cóser and Tinga, weakening their defence.
- 8.Atletico Paranaense's Gastón Benavídez, a key assisting defender, is out for this match.
Prediction
We predict a 3-2 victory for Coritiba, with both teams finding the net multiple times. The home side's attacking form and key players stepping up should just about edge out Atletico Paranaense in what promises to be a thrilling encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Coritiba
Away — Atletico Paranaense
The verdict
Expect a match full of goals and drama, with Coritiba's attacking flair and Atletico Paranaense's firepower making for an entertaining spectacle. The narrow predicted scoreline reflects the fine margins likely to decide this encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luiz Gustavo
Assist: Esquivel
Lavega
Yellow Card
Dias
Assist: João Cruz
Jacy
Yellow Card
Viveros
Yellow Card
João Cruz
Yellow Card
Card upgrade confirmed
Breno Lopes
Red Card
Cóser
Dantas
Yellow Card
João Pedro Chermont
Yellow Card
Rocha
Yellow Card
João Pedro Chermont
Benavídez
Dantas
João Cruz
Rocha
Melo
Lavega
Viveros
Penalty
Viveros
Santos
Moledo
Assist: Josué
Luiz Gustavo
Yellow Card
Mendoza
Moledo
Assist: Josué
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +30 | 54 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 |  Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
Match Statistics
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Pedro LuccasG
- 7J. LavegaM
- 10JosuéM
- 19S. GómezM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 44João Pedro ChermontD
- 55JacyD
- 77Breno LopesM
Substitutes
- 3MaiconD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 18Paulo RobertoM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 25RichardM
- 28FabinhoF
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 39GustavoM
- 50TissiM
- 78Renato MarquesF
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1MycaelG
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 7S. MendozaM
- 8João CruzM
- 9K. ViverosF
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 16JádsonM
- 25DantasD
- 29G. BenavídezM
- 33J. AguirreD
- 37L. EsquivelM
Substitutes
- 3LéoD
- 5FelipinhoD
- 10B. ZapelliM
- 12GilbertoD
- 18K. VargasF
- 21LeozinhoF
- 22C. TeránD
- 23SantosG
- 27J. PortillaM
- 47ChiquetiM
- 53DuduM
- 70RenanF
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 44 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Josué | M | 90 | 8.0 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 8 | 1/3 |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Luccas | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Gómez | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Thiago Santos | M | 74 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 46 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 46 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard | M | 44 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Breno Lopes | M | 46 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Vini Paulista | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tissi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rangel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Viveros | F | 67 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Arthur Dias | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| João Cruz | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 94 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Renan | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mycael | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gilberto | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Terán | D | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dantas | D | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Portilla | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiqueti | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leozinho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Vargas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |