Corinthians vs RB Bragantino
Match recap
Corinthians beat RB Bragantino 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Gabriel Paulista and Bidu scored for Corinthians. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.93 for Corinthians versus 1.24 for RB Bragantino. Corinthians sit 17th in the Serie A table while RB Bragantino are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Corinthians win
Actual
2–0
Outcome probability
This Brazilian league encounter sees Corinthians aiming to build on their recent home scoring streak against a Bragantino side led by their top scorer I. Pitta. Both teams have shown attacking promise, but defensive solidity could be the deciding factor.
Match factors
Key attackers missing for Corinthians
Corinthians miss R. Garro and Kaio César, both top scorers and assist providers, weakening attacking options
I. Pitta leads Bragantino scoring
I. Pitta is Bragantino's top scorer with 6 goals, a key threat despite recent goal drought
Corinthians' defenders contribute goals
Defenders Gustavo Henrique and Matheus Bidu have scored multiple goals, adding set-piece threat
Corinthians scoring streak at home
Corinthians have scored in 3 of last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum despite losses
Bragantino's creative midfield presence
Henry Mosquera and Lucas Barbosa provide creative spark and assists, key to Bragantino's attack
The context
Corinthians currently sit 16th in the league with 32 points from 29 games, while RB Bragantino are slightly better placed in 10th with 37 points. Historically, Bragantino have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, but recent form and home advantage could tilt the scales.
Key insights
- I
I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
Top scorer for Bragantino with 6 goals, a key attacking threat despite a recent goal drought.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 29 games this season.
- G
Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians
Strong defensive performances recently and contributes occasional goals, adding value on set pieces.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 29 games this season, consistent starter.
Matheus Bidu
Corinthians
Defender with a knack for scoring, providing an additional attacking outlet especially from set pieces.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 29 games this season.
Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
Creative midfielder providing key assists and chances, vital for Bragantino's attacking play.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 29 games this season.
Analysis
Corinthians have been finding the net in three of their last five home matches, with defenders Gustavo Henrique and Matheus Bidu adding valuable goals from set pieces. Meanwhile, Bragantino rely heavily on I. Pitta, their top scorer with six goals this season, and creative midfielders like Henry Mosquera. However, Corinthians face the challenge of missing key attackers due to suspension and injury, which may limit their offensive options. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge to the home side's defensive resilience and set-piece threat.
Key facts
- 1.Corinthians are 16th in the league with 32 points from 29 games (W8 D8 L13).
- 2.RB Bragantino sit 10th with 37 points from 29 games (W10 D7 L12).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Bragantino have won 10, Corinthians 6, with 4 draws.
- 4.Corinthians have scored in 3 of their last 5 home games this season.
- 5.I. Pitta is Bragantino's top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 6.Corinthians defenders Gustavo Henrique and Matheus Bidu have each scored 2-3 goals this season.
- 7.Corinthians miss key attackers Rodrigo Garro (suspension) and Kaio César (injury).
- 8.Henry Mosquera leads Bragantino midfield creativity with 3 assists this season.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Corinthians, with their defenders likely to contribute crucial goals. Despite Bragantino's attacking talents, the home side's momentum and tactical advantages should see them edge this one.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Corinthians
Away — RB Bragantino
No standout top scorers flagged for RB Bragantino
The verdict
Expect a tight and competitive match where Corinthians' home form and defensive contributions make the difference. Bragantino will push hard, but the hosts should hold on for a narrow win.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:37 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bidu
Yellow Card
Lucas Barbosa
Yellow Card
Gustavo Henrique
Yellow Card
Gabriel
Yellow Card
Cleiton
Yellow Card
Gabriel Paulista
Assist: Garro
Gabriel
Gustavinho
Carrillo
Pereira
Bidu
Fabinho
Pitta
Henry Mosquera
Depay
Garro
Juninho Capixaba
Yellow Card
Raniele
Yellow Card
Allan
Yellow Card
Yuri Alberto
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Corinthians
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 8R. GarroM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 10M. DepayF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 19A. CarrilloM
- 21Matheus BiduD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
Substitutes
- 4João PedroD
- 5André RamalhoD
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 20P. MilansD
- 25CacáD
- 29AllanM
- 31KaykeF
- 35CharlesM
- 40Felipe LongoG
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 61DieguinhoM
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1CleitonG
- 5FabinhoM
- 6GabrielM
- 9I. PittaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraM
- 34J. HurtadoD
Substitutes
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 11FernandoF
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 27Davi GomesM
- 28Yuri
- 32J. HerreraF
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 57MarcelinhoM
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 98 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Souza | G | 98 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 98 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Garro(C) | M | 86 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Matheuzinho | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| André Carrillo | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Memphis Depay | F | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pedro Raul | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cacá | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Longo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Tchoca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ramalho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 29 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Charles | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayke Ferrari | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gui Negão | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabinho | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Cleiton(C) | G | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 98 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 83 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Leles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Volpi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelinho Braz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant'Anna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davi Gomes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Herrera | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 38 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Corinthians vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Corinthians to win against RB Bragantino.
- What score did Fipster predict for Corinthians vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Corinthians 2–1 RB Bragantino.
- What were the win probabilities for Corinthians vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's model gave Corinthians a 35% chance of winning, RB Bragantino a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.