Corinthians vs Mirassol
Corinthians secure comfortable home win
Matheus Bidu and Kaio César strike to seal a 2-0 victory.
Corinthians delivered a solid performance in Serie A, with Matheus Bidu opening the scoring after the break and Kaio César doubling the lead late on. The 2-0 result was a comfortable win that matched Fipster's prediction of a home victory, albeit with a slightly larger margin than anticipated.
Outcome probability
This clash between Corinthians and Mirassol promises a closely fought encounter, with both sides eager to improve their league standings as the regular season nears its conclusion.
Match factors
Corinthians' key defenders contribute goals
Defenders Gustavo Henrique and Matheus Bidu have combined 8 goals this season, above league average for defenders
Mirassol's Eduardo is a potent home scorer
Eduardo has scored 3 goals in last 5 home games, showing strong form in front of goal
R. Garro's creativity key for Corinthians
Garro leads assists for Corinthians and is central to their attacking play, likely to create chances
Mirassol's Igor Formiga provides attacking support from defense
Igor Formiga has 5 assists this season, showing ability to support offense from defensive position
The context
Corinthians sit 17th with 33 points, while Mirassol are just a couple of spots above in 15th with 37 points. Their recent head-to-head record favours Corinthians, who have won six of their nine meetings, but Mirassol have shown resilience and the ability to score, making this a competitive fixture.
Key insights
Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians
Strong recent form with 3 goals in last 5 matches, a key set-piece threat.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 27 apps, 0.15 goals/game
Eduardo
Mirassol
Top scorer with 7 goals, including 3 in last 5 home games, showing excellent form.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 24 apps, 0.29 goals/game
R. Garro
Corinthians
Leads assists with 6, central to Corinthians' attacking play and chance creation.
Serie A 26/276 assists in 29 apps, 0.21 assists/game
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
Provides attacking support from defense with 5 assists, aiding transitions.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 29 apps, 0.17 assists/game
Analysis
The match is expected to be tight, with a goalless first half likely as both teams test each other's defences. Corinthians' defender Gustavo Henrique has been a notable threat on set pieces, scoring three goals in his last five games, while Mirassol's Eduardo is their top scorer with seven goals, including three in recent home matches. Creativity from Corinthians' R. Garro, the team's top assist provider, could be key in unlocking Mirassol's defence. Overall, the average goals in their head-to-head matches is 2.3, suggesting a moderate scoring game.
Key facts
- 1.Corinthians have won 6 of 9 meetings against Mirassol.
- 2.Mirassol currently sit 15th with 37 points; Corinthians are 17th with 33 points.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 4.Gustavo Henrique has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games for Corinthians.
- 5.Eduardo is Mirassol's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- 6.R. Garro leads Corinthians with 6 assists, key in creating chances.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 0-0, reflecting a tight first half.
Prediction
We anticipate a narrow 1-0 victory for Corinthians, with the decisive goal coming in the second half after a cautious opening period. The predicted scoreline reflects the balanced nature of the contest, with Corinthians edging it thanks to their slightly better historical record and home advantage.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Corinthians
Away — Mirassol
The verdict
While the match could easily swing either way, Corinthians' ability to capitalise on key moments and their defensive solidity should see them through. Mirassol will no doubt push hard, but a slender home win looks the likeliest outcome.
Prediction generated 27 Oct 2026, 14:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Santos
Red Card
Edson
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Eduardo
Edson
Bidu
Assist: Matheuzinho
Wallisson
Alesson
Ramalho
Yellow Card
Angileri
Kaio César
Assist: Garro
Unknown
Matheuzinho
Yellow Card
Kaio César
Matheuzinho
Garro
Andre
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Statistics
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 5André RamalhoD
- 7BrenoM
- 8R. GarroM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 21Matheus BiduM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 37Kaio CésarM
- 49AndreM
Substitutes
- 4João PedroD
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 19A. CarrilloM
- 20P. MilansD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 29AllanM
- 35CharlesM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 55I. MachadoD
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 61DieguinhoM
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 22WalterG
- 25Neto MouraM
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 33EduardoM
- 34João VictorD
- 77AlessonM
- 80WallissonM
- 95EdsonM
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 10ChicoM
- 17FernandinhoF
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 21José AldoM
- 27DenilsonM
- 44GabrielD
- 90ThomazellaG
- 96Carlos EduardoF
- 99Zé RobertoF
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaio César | M | 88 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4/6 |
| Matheuzinho | D | 88 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 79 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Matheus Bidu | M | 88 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Garro(C) | M | 88 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3/3 |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ramalho | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Breno Bidon | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Souza | G | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| André Carrillo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Camargo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Tchoca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gui Negão | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Moura | M | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alesson | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| João Victor(C) | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Willian Machado | D | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter | G | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Eduardo | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 24 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fernandinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Roberto | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomazella | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 43 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | 43 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Corinthians vs Mirassol?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Corinthians to win against Mirassol.
- What score did Fipster predict for Corinthians vs Mirassol?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Corinthians 1–0 Mirassol.
- What were the win probabilities for Corinthians vs Mirassol?
- Fipster's model gave Corinthians a 40% chance of winning, Mirassol a 30% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.