Corinthians vs Internacional
Match recap
Internacional beat Corinthians 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Bernabéi scored for Internacional. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.35 for Corinthians versus 0.37 for Internacional. Corinthians sit 17th in the Serie A table while Internacional are 16th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Internacional win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
Corinthians and Internacional face off in a regular season match where both sides are eager to climb the league table. With neither team far from each other in points, this fixture promises a tight contest with fine margins likely to decide the outcome.
Match factors
Internacional's attacking edge with Carbonero
Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists, providing a key offensive threat
Corinthians' Andre is a consistent scoring threat
Andre has 4 goals in 20 games, above average for midfielders, boosting Corinthians' attack
Rodrigo Garro's creative influence for Corinthians
Garro leads with 6 assists and is central to Corinthians' chance creation
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups
The context
Currently, Corinthians sit 16th with 32 points from 30 games, while Internacional are just behind in 17th with the same points tally. Their head-to-head history is peppered with draws, but recent form and attacking threats could tip the scales in this encounter.
Key insights
J. Carbonero
Internacional
Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists, providing a key offensive threat.
Serie A 26/277 goals and 4 assists in 29 appearances this season.
Andre
Corinthians
Andre is a consistent scoring threat with 4 goals in 20 games, boosting Corinthians' attack.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 20 appearances this season.
R. Garro
Corinthians
Garro leads Corinthians with 6 assists, central to their chance creation.
Serie A 26/276 assists in 27 appearances this season.
A. Bernabéi
Internacional
Bernabei contributes offensively with 4 goals and is a key player for Internacional.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 26 appearances this season.
Analysis
Internacional's offensive edge is spearheaded by J. Carbonero, who leads their scoring charts with 7 goals and 4 assists this season. His form provides a clear threat against Corinthians, whose midfielder Andre also poses a consistent scoring threat with 4 goals. Rodrigo Garro's creativity for Corinthians, leading with 6 assists, will be crucial in breaking down Internacional's defence. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring a competitive match with moderate discipline expected, as indicated by a predicted total of 4 cards.
Key facts
- 1.Corinthians are 16th with 32 points from 30 games (W8 D8 L14).
- 2.Internacional are 17th with 32 points from 30 games (W7 D11 L12).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians have won 3, Internacional 4, with 13 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals per game (23 each for Corinthians and Internacional).
- 5.J. Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 6.Andre has scored 4 goals in 20 appearances for Corinthians this season.
- 7.Rodrigo Garro leads Corinthians with 6 assists this season.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
We foresee Internacional clinching a narrow 2-1 victory, overturning a halftime deficit of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, but Internacional's attacking prowess, particularly through Carbonero and Bernabei, should prove decisive.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Corinthians
Away — Internacional
The verdict
This fixture promises a closely fought battle with Internacional's attacking talents likely to make the difference. Corinthians will need to harness their creative outlets effectively to challenge the visitors and avoid a home defeat.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Carbonero
Yellow Card
Pereira
Lingard
Yellow Card
Paulinho
Borré
Breno
Lingard
Vitinho
Yellow Card
Victor Gabriel
Yellow Card
Bernabéi
Assist: Vitinho
Carbonero
Raniele
Gomes
Vitinho
Matheuzinho
Ramalho
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Corinthians
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 5André RamalhoD
- 7BrenoM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 49AndreM
- 77J. LingardF
Substitutes
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 8R. GarroM
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 19A. CarrilloM
- 20P. MilansD
- 31KaykeF
- 35CharlesM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 52Z. LabyadF
- 55I. MachadoD
- 61DieguinhoM
Internacional
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 5R. VillagraM
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 19R. BorréF
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 27PaulinhoM
- 28VitinhoM
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 16RonaldoM
- 18JuninhoD
- 20ClaytonD
- 22KauanG
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 31AllexM
- 35B. AguirreD
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ramalho | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| André Luiz | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Matheuzinho | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Jesse Lingard | F | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gabriel Paulista | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayke Ferrari | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Carrillo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Vitinho | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Dieguinho | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 80 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Mercado(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kauan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Sampaio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Patrick | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Corinthians vs Internacional?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Corinthians.
- What score did Fipster predict for Corinthians vs Internacional?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Corinthians 1–2 Internacional.
- What were the win probabilities for Corinthians vs Internacional?
- Fipster's model gave Corinthians a 2% chance of winning, Internacional a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.