Corinthians vs Fluminense
Fluminense stuns Corinthians with late flourish
Hulk's brace and a stoppage-time strike seal a 3-1 victory away from home.
Fluminense overturned expectations with a 3-1 win at Corinthians in Serie A, defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home victory. Hulk opened the scoring in the first half and doubled the lead after the break, while Gustavo Henrique's effort for Corinthians was not enough to stem the tide. K. Serna's stoppage-time goal wrapped up a convincing away win for Fluminense.
Outcome probability
This Brazilian league fixture features Corinthians and Fluminense, two sides with contrasting league positions and recent form. Fluminense currently sit comfortably in fourth place, while Corinthians find themselves down in 13th. Despite this, the prediction leans towards a home victory after a spirited comeback.
Match factors
Corinthians' attacking trio synergy
Yuri Alberto and Rodrigo Garro combine strong scoring and assisting form, boosting Corinthians' attack potential
Fluminense's prolific striker John Kennedy
John Kennedy leads Fluminense with 9 goals, providing a key threat against Corinthians' defense
Corinthians' defender Matheus Bidu offensive contribution
Bidu's 3 goals from defense exceed league average, adding unexpected scoring options
Fluminense's consistent scoring streak
Fluminense has scored in last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
The context
Fluminense have the edge in the league standings with 45 points from 27 games, compared to Corinthians' 32 points from 26 matches. Historically, Fluminense hold a slight advantage in head-to-head meetings, winning 8 of their 20 encounters to Corinthians' 6, with 6 draws. Both teams have full squads available, so expect their strongest lineups.
Key insights
Yuri Alberto
Corinthians
Top scorer for Corinthians with 3 goals and strong home scoring form, making him a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 17 apps, 2 goals in last 10 home games
Rodrigo Garro
Corinthians
Leads the team with 6 assists and combines well with Yuri Alberto, boosting Corinthians' attack potential.
Serie A 26/276 assists in 24 apps, 0.25 assists/game
John Kennedy
Fluminense
Prolific striker with 9 goals this season, providing a significant threat to Corinthians' defence.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 18 apps, 0.5 goals/game
- M
Matheus Bidu
Corinthians
Defender with 3 goals, adding unexpected offensive options from the back.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 20 apps
Analysis
Fluminense start strong with a predicted halftime lead of 1-0, reflecting their better form and goal difference. However, Corinthians' attacking duo of Yuri Alberto and Rodrigo Garro provide a potent threat, with Alberto boasting 3 goals this season and strong home form. Fluminense's John Kennedy, their top scorer with 9 goals, will test Corinthians' defence. The match promises a tactical battle with Corinthians expected to mount a comeback in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.Fluminense rank 4th with 45 points; Corinthians 13th with 32 points.
- 2.In 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense lead with 8 wins to Corinthians' 6.
- 3.Fluminense have a +6 goal difference; Corinthians have a neutral goal difference.
- 4.Corinthians' Yuri Alberto has scored 3 goals this season, with strong home form.
- 5.Fluminense's John Kennedy is top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 6.Corinthians have a predicted halftime deficit of 0-1 but expected to win 2-1.
- 7.Three total cards are predicted in this match.
- 8.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 win for Corinthians, overturning a halftime deficit. This reflects their ability to rally at home, supported by key players stepping up in attack. The match is expected to feature three cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Corinthians
Away — Fluminense
The verdict
In summary, while Fluminense may start on the front foot, Corinthians' resilience and attacking synergy should see them clinch a narrow victory. Fans can anticipate an engaging match with goals and tactical intrigue.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Depay
Yellow Card
Goal confirmed
Hulk
Assist: Acosta
Matheuzinho
Yellow Card
Xavier
Yellow Card
Martinelli
Yellow Card
Machado
Gustavo Henrique
Acosta
Xavier
Andre
Yellow Card
Canobbio
Yellow Card
Julio Fidelis
Yellow Card
Nonato
Yellow Card
Nonato
Canobbio
Hulk
Assist: PH Ganso
Andre
Depay
Hulk
Breno
Serna
Assist: Martinelli
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
Match Statistics
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 7BrenoM
- 8R. GarroM
- 10M. DepayF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 21Matheus BiduD
- 37Kaio CésarM
- 49AndreM
- 55I. MachadoD
Substitutes
- 4João PedroD
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 20P. MilansD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 29AllanM
- 35CharlesM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 61DieguinhoM
- 77J. LingardM
Fluminense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1FábioG
- 2Samuel XavierD
- 3Thiago SilvaD
- 6RenêD
- 7HulkF
- 8MartinelliM
- 16NonatoM
- 17A. CanobbioM
- 29J. MillánD
- 32L. AcostaM
- 90K. SernaM
Substitutes
- 10PH GansoM
- 11J. SavarinoF
- 13Guilherme AranaD
- 19R. CastilloF
- 21Igor RabelloD
- 22J. FreytesD
- 28RiquelmeF
- 35HérculesM
- 44JemmesD
- 46Julio FidelisD
- 94OtávioM
- 98Vitor EudesG
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Depay | F | 81 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Garro | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Raniele | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Breno | M | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kaio César | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/6 |
| Andre | M | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Guilherme Inácio | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Machado | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 2 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Milans | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Camargo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Angileri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fluminense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hulk | F | 87 | 9.1 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fábio | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Serna | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Acosta | M | 59 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Millán | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renê | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Riquelme | F | 14 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Castillo | F | 3 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nonato | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Hércules | M | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 31 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Julio Fidelis | D | 31 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 59 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otávio | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jemmes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Savarino | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Freytes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Eudes | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Rabello | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Corinthians vs Fluminense?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Corinthians to win against Fluminense.
- What score did Fipster predict for Corinthians vs Fluminense?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Corinthians 2–1 Fluminense.
- What were the win probabilities for Corinthians vs Fluminense?
- Fipster's model gave Corinthians a 62% chance of winning, Fluminense a 19% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.