Como vs Venezia
Como edges Venezia with penalty win
A solitary spot-kick secures all three points for Como in a tight Serie A contest.
Como claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Venezia thanks to L. da Cunha's penalty just before half-time. The match was a close affair with the single goal proving decisive. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.
Outcome probability
As the 10th round of the regular season unfolds, Como face Venezia in a clash that pits a high-flying side against one struggling to find form. With Como sitting comfortably near the top of the table and Venezia languishing at the bottom, this match promises a clear favourite.
Match factors
Como's attacking midfield dominance
Como's midfielders Paz and Baturina combine goal threat and creativity, outmatching Venezia's midfield defense
Douvikas' strong scoring form
Douvikas leads Como with 5 goals in 8 games, including 3 in last 5, boosting home scoring chances
Paz's peak recent performance
Paz rated 9.0 in last away match with goal and assist, indicating excellent form
Venezia's defensive absences weaken backline
Venezia missing key defenders including Šverko (out), reducing defensive stability against Como's attack
Como's defensive stalwart Naveros
Naveros' high passing accuracy and defensive stats provide stability and support attack build-up
The context
Como currently hold 20 points from 9 games, placing them 4th in the league, while Venezia have managed just 3 points from 8 games, anchoring them at 20th. The stark contrast in league positions and points per game highlights the uphill battle Venezia face.
Key insights
Anastasios Douvikas
Como
Douvikas leads Como's scoring with 5 goals in 8 games, including 2 goals in the last 2 home matches, making him a constant threat.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
- N
Nicolás Paz Martínez
Como
Paz is in peak form, rated 9.0 in the last away match with 1 goal and 1 assist, contributing both offensively and defensively.
Serie A 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances, 0.286 goals and assists/game
- J
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
Como
Naveros provides defensive stability with 2.25 tackles and 0.875 interceptions per game, plus a 92% passing accuracy aiding build-up play.
Serie A 26/272.25 tackles and 0.875 interceptions per game, 92% passing accuracy
Analysis
Como's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Anastasios Douvikas, who has netted 5 goals in 8 appearances, including a strong home scoring record. Midfielders Nicolás Paz Martínez and Martin Baturina add creativity and goal threat, combining for 4 goals this season. Venezia's defensive frailties, compounded by key absences, leave them vulnerable to Como's well-organised attack and solid defensive structure led by Jacobo Ramón Naveros.
Key facts
- 1.Como are 4th in the league with 20 points from 9 games (W6 D2 L1).
- 2.Venezia sit 20th with 3 points from 8 games (W1 D0 L7).
- 3.Como have a goal difference of +9 compared to Venezia's -11.
- 4.Como average 2.22 points per game, Venezia only 0.38.
- 5.Anastasios Douvikas leads Como with 5 goals in 8 appearances.
- 6.Nicolás Paz Martínez has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists this season.
- 7.Venezia are missing key defenders, weakening their backline.
- 8.Como's Jacobo Ramón Naveros boasts a 92% passing accuracy and strong defensive stats.
Prediction
Expect Como to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 1-0, before doubling their advantage in the second half. The forecasted 2-0 final scoreline aligns with Como's dominant home form and Venezia's ongoing struggles, making a home win the most likely outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Como
Away — Venezia
No standout top scorers flagged for Venezia
The verdict
With Como's superior form and tactical edge, Venezia will find it tough to break down their opponents. This match should see Como comfortably secure all three points, continuing their strong league campaign.
Prediction generated 28 Oct 2026, 19:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty cancelled
Sohm
Yellow Card
Juan Jesus
Yellow Card
da Cunha
Penalty
Busio
Lauberbach
Hainaut
Sohm
Paz
da Cunha
Ricci
Helgason
Couto
Baturina
Kaiki
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 2M. KempfD
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 6Luis MillaM
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 9T. DouvikasF
- 10N. PazM
- 16KaikiD
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 21S. RicciM
- 27Yan CoutoD
Substitutes
- 3Álex ValleD
- 5M. PerroneM
- 8M. CaqueretM
- 13A. DossenaD
- 15A. LahdoM
- 18E. GoldanigaD
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 30M. LiberaliM
- 53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 97Robert SánchezG
Venezia
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1F. StankovićG
- 2M. MorenoD
- 6G. BusioM
- 15Juan JesusD
- 18A. HainautM
- 19S. SohmM
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 25R. HalhalD
- 29L. LauberbachF
- 45A. AdamsF
- 70P. MazzocchiM
Substitutes
- 3J. SchingtienneD
- 5R. HapsD
- 7A. RrahmaniF
- 8Lamine DaboM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 16R. MohammedD
- 17A. Bella-KotchapD
- 20R. SagradoD
- 26T. BašićM
- 30M. DagassoM
- 32A. DuncanM
- 56K. LismanF
- 71Kike PérezM
- 77Toni FernándezM
- 96L. MontipòG
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kempf | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 16 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yan Couto | D | 82 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. da Cunha | M | 73 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luis Milla | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| S. Ricci | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Baturina | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Álex Valle | D | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Butez | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Paz | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 4/5 |
| M. Caqueret | M | 17 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Liberali | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Smolčić | D | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| A. Lahdo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Sánchez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Goldaniga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vigorito | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dossena | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala Ndengushi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Venezia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Halhal | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Stanković | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bašić | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Hainaut | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Busio | M | 55 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Þ. Helgason | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kike Pérez | M | 35 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| M. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mazzocchi | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/4 |
| A. Rrahmani | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Sohm | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Yeboah | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Lauberbach | F | 55 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Adams | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Juan Jesus | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sagrado | D | 28 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bella-Kotchap | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Duncan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Montipò | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Haps | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dagasso | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schingtienne | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Dabo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lisman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mohammed | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Como vs Venezia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Como to win against Venezia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Como vs Venezia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Como 2–0 Venezia.
- What were the win probabilities for Como vs Venezia?
- Fipster's model gave Como a 89% chance of winning, Venezia a 5% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 89% confidence — a high-confidence call.