Como vs Parma
Match recap
Como beat Parma 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Moreno scored for Como. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.90 for Como versus 0.43 for Parma. Como sit 4th in the Serie A table while Parma are 13th.
Analysis
As the Serie B season nears its climax, Como host Parma in what promises to be a closely contested affair. With both teams eager to secure vital points, the stage is set for a tactical battle at Como's home ground.
Como currently sit 6th in the league with 65 points, boasting a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio compared to Parma, who are 13th with 42 points. Parma will be without their top scorer Mateo Pellegrino due to suspension, weakening their attacking threat.
Como's attacking midfielders, notably L. da Cunha and N. Paz, provide creativity and goal threat, although Paz is suspended for this match. Their defence, anchored by Kempf and Valle, has been solid, contributing to a strong home record. Parma's offensive options are limited without Pellegrino, and their away form has been less convincing. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects Como's ability to edge out a narrow win, supported by a 74% confidence level.
Prediction
Expect Como to take an early lead and hold on to it, with the halftime and fulltime score both predicted as 1-0. The match is likely to be competitive, with an estimated four cards issued, reflecting a disciplined but intense contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Como's attacking midfield strength
Como's midfielders like N. Paz and L. da Cunha provide goal threat and creativity, pressuring Parma's defense.
Como's superior goal-scoring form
Como averages 1.7 goals/game vs Parma's 0.7, indicating offensive dominance expected at home.
Parma missing key attacker Mateo Pellegrino
Pellegrino, Parma's top scorer, is suspended, weakening their attacking options significantly.
Como's positive recent home form
Como has won 3 of last 5 home games, scoring consistently, supporting predicted home win.
Defensive solidity with Kempf and Valle
Como's defenders Kempf and Valle contribute goals and maintain defensive stability, crucial vs Parma's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Como's home advantage, superior form, and Parma's key absences point towards a home win by a single goal. Fans can anticipate a tight match with moments of quality from Como's standout players.
- Como are 6th with 65 points from 36 games (W18 D11 L7).
- Parma are 13th with 42 points from 36 games (W10 D12 L14).
- Como have a significantly better goal difference (50 goals) than Parma.
- Como average 1.7 goals per game compared to Parma's 0.7.
- Como have won 3 of their last 5 home games.
- Parma's top scorer Mateo Pellegrino is suspended for this match.
- Predicted fulltime scoreline is 1-0 with 22.5% probability.
- Total cards expected in the match are 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Como
Away — Parma
No standout top scorers flagged for Parma
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Caqueret
Moreno
Assist: Rodríguez
Gabriel Strefezza
Moreno
Yellow Card
Ordoñez
Nicolussi
Carboni
Van der Brempt
Goal cancelled
Kempf
Douvikas
Baturina
Unknown
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 2M. KempfD
- 6M. CaqueretM
- 11T. DouvikasF
- 14Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 18Alberto MorenoD
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 23M. PerroneM
- 33L. da CunhaM
- 38Assane DiaoM
- 77I. Van der BremptD
Substitutes
- 5E. GoldanigaD
- 7Álvaro MorataF
- 8Sergi RobertoM
- 15A. LahdoM
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 19N. KühnF
- 21N. TörnqvistG
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 31M. VojvodaD
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 44N. ČavlinaG
Parma
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5L. ValentiD
- 7Gabriel StrefezzaF
- 9Mateo PellegrinoF
- 15E. Del PratoM
- 16M. KeitaM
- 24C. OrdoñezM
- 29F. CarboniM
- 31Z. SuzukiG
- 37M. TroiloD
- 39A. CircatiD
- 41H. NicolussiM
Substitutes
- 3A. N'DiayeD
- 8N. EstévezM
- 11P. AlmqvistF
- 14E. ValeriD
- 22O. SørensenM
- 23N. ElphegeF
- 40E. CorviG
- 63M. MenaD
- 75Alessandro CardinaliF
- 76D. MikołajewskiF
- 77Edoardo TiganiM
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Moreno | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Baturina | M | 82 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 7 | 1/3 |
| Jacobo Ramón | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Máximo Perrone | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Butez | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/3 |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Lucas Da Cunha(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Maxence Caqueret | M | 53 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Anastasios Douvikas | F | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mërgim Vojvoda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Goldaniga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Vigorito | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Törnqvist | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Čavlina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Lahdo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 8 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Rodriguez | F | 37 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Diego Carlos | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 90 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Valenti | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Enrico Delprato(C) | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pontus Almqvist | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Corvi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marlon Mena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Tigani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Cardinali | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuele Valeri | D | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nahuel Estévez | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Sørensen | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Mikołajewski | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |