Como vs Napoli
Match recap
Como and Napoli drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.29 for Como versus 0.63 for Napoli. Como sit 4th in the Serie A table while Napoli are 2nd.
Analysis
The Serie A fixture between Como and Napoli promises a tight contest, with Como's home advantage and Napoli's injury concerns setting the stage for a closely fought match.
Como currently sit 5th in the league with 61 points, while Napoli are 2nd with 69 points. Both teams have an even head-to-head record, but Como boasts a superior goal difference this season, highlighting their strong performance at home.
Como's attacking midfielders, including top scorer T. Douvikas with 12 goals and key creator L. da Cunha, have been in fine form at home. Napoli, on the other hand, are missing crucial defenders and midfielders due to injury, weakening their defensive structure. Como's recent home scoring streak and defensive solidity from players like M. Kempf and L. da Cunha further bolster their chances.
Prediction
We predict a 1-0 win for Como, with the halftime score also likely to be 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive but tight, with a total of around four cards anticipated. Confidence in this outcome stands at 56%, reflecting Como's home advantage and Napoli's current vulnerabilities.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Como's attacking midfield strength vs Napoli's injury-hit defense
Como's key midfield scorers and creators have strong home form; Napoli missing key defenders and midfielders, weakening defensive structure.
Como's home scoring streak supports predicted 1-0 win
Como averages 2 goals per home game with a 5-game scoring streak at home, indicating offensive momentum.
Key injuries weaken Napoli's attacking options
Napoli's top scorer R. Højlund and key midfielders McTominay, De Bruyne are injured, reducing goal threat and creativity.
Como's recent positive form at home
Como has won 3 of last 5 home games, scoring in all, showing strong form and confidence at home.
Defensive stalwarts Kempf and Da Cunha crucial for Como
Kempf's aerial threat and Da Cunha's midfield control provide Como defensive and offensive balance against Napoli.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Como's strong home form and Napoli's injury setbacks make a narrow home victory the most probable outcome. Fans can expect a disciplined, closely contested match with Como edging it by a single goal.
- Como and Napoli have an even head-to-head record: 1 win each and 2 draws.
- Como ranks 5th with 61 points; Napoli ranks 2nd with 69 points this season.
- Como has a significantly better goal difference (+31) compared to Napoli (+19).
- Como averages 2 goals per home game and is on a 5-game home scoring streak.
- Napoli are missing key defenders and midfielders due to injury, weakening their defense.
- Como's top scorer T. Douvikas has 12 goals, with strong home scoring form (0.75 goals/game last 10 home matches).
- Como's midfielder L. da Cunha contributes both goals and assists with high passing accuracy (89%).
- Total cards expected in the match are around 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Como
Away — Napoli
No standout top scorers flagged for Napoli
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
De Bruyne
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
Yellow Card
Valle
Rrahmani
Douvikas
Baturina
Diao
da Cunha
Politano
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 3Álex ValleD
- 10N. PazM
- 11T. DouvikasF
- 14Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 23M. PerroneM
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 33L. da CunhaM
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 38Assane DiaoM
Substitutes
- 2M. KempfD
- 5E. GoldanigaD
- 6M. CaqueretM
- 7Álvaro MorataF
- 8Sergi RobertoM
- 15A. LahdoM
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 18Alberto MorenoD
- 19N. KühnF
- 21N. TörnqvistG
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 31M. VojvodaD
- 44N. ČavlinaG
- 77I. Van der BremptD
Napoli
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3Miguel GutiérrezM
- 4A. BuongiornoD
- 8S. McTominayM
- 11K. De BruyneF
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoM
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 68S. LobotkaM
Substitutes
- 1A. MeretG
- 6B. GilmourM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 20E. ElmasM
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 23GiovaneF
- 30P. MazzocchiD
- 37L. SpinazzolaD
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobo Ramón | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nico Paz | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/6 |
| Jean Butez | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Álex Valle | D | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Da Cunha(C) | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Martin Baturina | M | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Máximo Perrone | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Anastasios Douvikas | F | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Vigorito | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Lahdo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Čavlina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Törnqvist | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxence Caqueret | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Goldaniga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Moreno | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | D | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jesús Rodriguez | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | F | 60 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sam Beukema | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Politano(C) | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Scott McTominay | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alex Meret | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pasquale Mazzocchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovane | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |