Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC
Match recap
Columbus Crew and Orlando City SC drew 1–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Rossi scored for Columbus Crew; Pasalic replied for Orlando City SC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.18 for Columbus Crew versus 0.61 for Orlando City SC.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Columbus Crew win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture promises an exciting encounter between Columbus Crew and Orlando City SC, with both sides boasting attacking talents eager to make their mark.
Match factors
Columbus missing key attacker Wessam Abou Ali
Abou Ali is out with a knee injury, removing a high scoring threat from Columbus' attack
Orlando missing midfielders Braian Ojeda and Tyrese Spicer
Both midfielders are out injured, weakening Orlando's midfield creativity and stability
Orlando's Martín Ojeda leads scoring threat
Ojeda's 13 goals and strong recent form give Orlando a key edge in attack
Diego Rossi is Columbus' main goal threat
Rossi's 6 goals and consistent starting role make him Columbus' top scoring option
Orlando City on a 5-game scoring streak
Orlando has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
The context
The teams have a competitive history, with Orlando City SC holding a slight edge in head-to-head wins. Matches between these sides tend to be high-scoring affairs, averaging over three goals per game, setting the stage for an entertaining contest.
Key insights
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Ojeda's 13 goals this season and recent scoring form make him Orlando's key offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 22 appearances, 0.59 goals/game
Diego Rossi
Columbus Crew
Rossi is Columbus' main goal threat with 6 goals and consistent starting role, crucial for their attack.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 15 appearances, 0.4 goals/game
- W
Wessam Abou Ali
Columbus Crew
Abou Ali is out with a knee injury, removing a significant attacking option for Columbus.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals this season
- B
Braian Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Orlando's midfield creativity is weakened by the absence of Braian Ojeda due to injury.
Analysis
Orlando City SC have been on a scoring streak, netting in their last five matches, largely thanks to Martín Ojeda's 13 goals this season. Columbus Crew, meanwhile, rely heavily on Diego Rossi, their top scorer with six goals, who has a knack for delivering in key moments. Despite missing key players like Wessam Abou Ali due to injury, Columbus have the firepower and home advantage to mount a comeback after falling behind early.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Columbus Crew's 7 in 20 meetings.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 3.2 goals, indicating an open, attacking style.
- 3.Diego Rossi is Columbus Crew's top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 4.Martín Ojeda leads Orlando City SC with 13 goals, showcasing strong offensive form.
- 5.Columbus Crew are missing key attacker Wessam Abou Ali due to a knee injury.
- 6.Orlando City SC are without midfielders Braian Ojeda and Tyrese Spicer, impacting midfield depth.
- 7.Orlando City SC have scored in their last 5 matches, showing consistent attacking threat.
Prediction
We anticipate Columbus Crew to overturn a halftime deficit and secure a 3-2 win. The match should be a close, high-scoring affair with both teams finding the net, but Columbus' resilience and attacking depth should see them edge this one.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Columbus Crew
Away — Orlando City SC
The verdict
Expect a thrilling match with plenty of goals and momentum swings. Columbus Crew's ability to respond under pressure will be crucial, while Orlando City SC will look to maintain their scoring form. Ultimately, the home side's determination should prevail in a narrow victory.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:23 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pasalic
Assist: Tiago
Abou Ali
Iago
Yellow Card
Brekalo
Yellow Card
Moreira
Yellow Card
André Gomes
Herrera
Atuesta
Dorsey
Iago
Jansson
Rossi
Assist: Habroune
Marín
Yellow Card
Moreira
Chambost
Pasalic
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2M. HerreraM
- 4R. CamachoD
- 7D. ChambostM
- 9W. Abou AliF
- 10D. RossiF
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 20André GomesM
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 27M. ArfstenM
- 28P. SchulteG
- 31S. MoreiraD
Substitutes
- 1N. HagenG
- 8D. GazdagM
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 14A. SejdićM
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 17S. BangouraM
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 30H. PicardM
- 90N. AxundzadəF
Orlando City SC
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 8B. OjedaM
- 10M. OjedaM
- 11TiagoF
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 24G. DorseyM
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
- 87Marco PasalicF
Substitutes
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 12Javier OteroG
- 14T. SpicerF
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 29T. Reid-BrownD
- 34Y. TsukadaF
Columbus Crew
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Rossi | F | 102 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Rudy Camacho | D | 102 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Malte Amundsen | D | 102 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| André Gomes | M | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Sean Zawadzki(C) | D | 102 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Wessam Abou Ali | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Patrick Schulte | G | 102 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Arfsten | M | 102 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Marcelo Herrera | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cesar Ruvalcaba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Hagen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amar Sejdic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taha Habroune | M | 67 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 41 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Dániel Gazdag | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Jamal Thiaré | F | 41 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Pašalić | F | 102 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 102 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Jansson(C) | D | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Ojeda | M | 102 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Griffin Dorsey | M | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Tiago Souza | F | 102 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| David Brekalo | D | 102 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 102 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/6 |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 102 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tyrese Spicer | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colin Guske | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yutaro Tsukada | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 38 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Columbus Crew to win against Orlando City SC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Columbus Crew 3–2 Orlando City SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's model gave Columbus Crew a 48% chance of winning, Orlando City SC a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.