Columbus Crew vs DC United
Match recap
Columbus Crew beat DC United 3–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Zawadzki, Zaroury, and Nono scored for Columbus Crew; Kurokawa replied for DC United. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.02 for Columbus Crew versus 1.16 for DC United.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, Columbus Crew and DC United face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both teams have their strengths, but recent form and tactical setups suggest a clear favourite.
Match factors
Columbus Crew missing key attackers
Confirmed absences of W. Abou Ali and S. Bangoura reduce attacking depth and creativity.
Columbus Crew strong recent scoring streak
Columbus Crew has scored in last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum at home.
DC United's defensive struggles
DC United has conceded in last 5 matches, indicating vulnerability that Columbus can exploit.
Columbus Crew's superior home scoring rate
Columbus averages 1.63 goals at home vs DC United's 1.3 away, favoring Columbus in attack.
Key playmakers in Columbus midfield
Mohamed Farsi and Taha Habroune provide creativity and goal threat, crucial for Columbus' attack.
The context
This match is part of the 2026 regular season, round 33. Columbus Crew have demonstrated solid scoring ability at home, while DC United have struggled defensively in recent matches. The historical head-to-head record shows Columbus with a slight edge, having won half of their 20 meetings.
Key insights
- M
Mohamed Farsi
Columbus Crew
Key playmaker with multiple assists, high passing accuracy, and involvement in set-pieces.
Major League Soccer 26/272 assists this season, high passing volume and accuracy
- T
Taha Habroune
Columbus Crew
Consistent goal scorer and contributor with strong midfield presence.
Major League Soccer 26/27Regular goals and assists, high match ratings
- L
Lucas Bartlett
DC United
Defensive stalwart and captain, strong tackling and interceptions, occasional offensive contributions.
Major League Soccer 26/27Frequent tackles and interceptions, some assists
- T
Tai Baribo
DC United
Top scorer with multiple recent goals and high match ratings, key offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/27Multiple goals this season, including a 10.0 rating in a recent game
Analysis
Columbus Crew have been on a scoring streak, netting in their last five matches, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Key midfielders Mohamed Farsi and Taha Habroune provide creativity and goal threat, crucial for breaking down DC United's defence. Meanwhile, DC United's defensive frailties have been apparent, conceding in their last five games. Their captain and defensive stalwart Lucas Bartlett will have his work cut out. Columbus also face the absence of W. Abou Ali and S. Bangoura, which slightly reduces attacking depth, but their current momentum should compensate.
Key facts
- 1.Columbus Crew have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against DC United.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match stand at 2.9, favouring an open game.
- 3.Columbus Crew have scored in their last five matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 4.DC United have conceded in their last five matches, highlighting defensive issues.
- 5.Columbus averages 1.63 goals per home game compared to DC United's 1.3 away goals.
- 6.Mohamed Farsi and Taha Habroune are key creative forces for Columbus Crew.
- 7.W. Abou Ali and S. Bangoura are confirmed absentees for Columbus Crew, reducing attacking options.
Prediction
The prediction favours a Columbus Crew home win with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime scoreline of 3-1. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled game. Columbus' superior home scoring rate and recent form make them the likely victors.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Columbus Crew
Away — DC United
No standout best passers flagged for DC United
The verdict
In summary, Columbus Crew's attacking momentum and home advantage should see them through against a DC United side vulnerable at the back. Expect a confident performance from the Crew, securing a 3-1 victory to keep their season on track.
Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 02:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zawadzki
Assist: Chambost
Penalty confirmed
Kurokawa
Missed Penalty
Zaroury
Assist: Chambost
Rowles
Yellow Card
Stroud
Ordaz
Nono (OG)
Peglow
Yellow Card
Rowles
Farsi
Bangoura
Tapia
Rodríguez
Hefti
Moreira
Match Statistics
Columbus Crew
3-4-3Starting XI
- 7D. ChambostM
- 8S. RodríguezF
- 16T. HabrouneF
- 17S. BangouraM
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 21A. ZarouryM
- 23M. FarsiM
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 28P. SchulteG
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 33G. TapiaF
Substitutes
- 1N. HagenG
- 2M. HerreraD
- 3E. BaillyD
- 11B. LennonD
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 77Josef MartínezF
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2K. NonoM
- 3L. BartlettD
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowF
- 8J. StroudM
- 15K. RowlesD
- 21A. DozzellM
- 22N. OrdazF
- 26A. BonoG
Substitutes
- 12C. AntleyD
- 13S. NealisD
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 24J. FarrG
- 25J. HopkinsM
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 32O. AvilezF
- 40K. CastilloM
- 48Gavin TurnerM
Columbus Crew
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chambost | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 8.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 8.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Zaroury | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| M. Amundsen | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Moreira | D | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Farsi | M | 71 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| E. Bailly | D | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Herrera | D | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Giaccone | M | 16 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| S. Rodríguez | F | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| G. Tapia | F | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Josef Martínez | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Karumanchi | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Cesar Ruvalcaba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hagen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Lennon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Thiaré | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ordaz | F | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Peglow | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Avilez | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Peltola | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Dozzell | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hefti | D | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 6 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nealis | D | 20 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Stroud | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Rowles | D | 70 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Nono | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Bono | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Servania | M | 30 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Turner | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Farr | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Castillo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Antley | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hopkins | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Columbus Crew vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Columbus Crew to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for Columbus Crew vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Columbus Crew 3–1 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for Columbus Crew vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave Columbus Crew a 95% chance of winning, DC United a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.





