Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers
Match recap
Colorado Rapids beat Portland Timbers 2–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Ojediran and Herrington scored for Colorado Rapids. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.83 for Colorado Rapids versus 1.10 for Portland Timbers. Colorado Rapids sit 9th in the Major League Soccer table while Portland Timbers are 11th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Colorado Rapids win
Actual
2–0
Outcome probability
The Colorado Rapids and Portland Timbers face off in the second round of the regular season, with the Rapids looking to capitalize on their home advantage and recent form.
Match factors
Colorado's attacking trio in strong form
Navarro and Aaronson lead scoring and assisting, forming a potent attack at home
Portland's key attackers face defensive pressure
Velde and Kelsy are main threats but face a solid Rapids defense led by Cannon and Holding
Home scoring advantage for Colorado Rapids
Colorado averages 1.86 goals at home vs Portland's 1.3 away, supporting predicted 3-1 score
Aaronson's recent goal and assist surge
Aaronson has 3 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games, boosting scoring chances
Key absences weaken Colorado's midfield and goalkeeping
Steffen and Ku-DiPietro are out, possibly affecting defensive stability
The context
Both teams are navigating the early stages of the 2026 season, with Colorado Rapids sitting 8th and Portland Timbers 10th in the league standings. The Rapids have shown a slightly stronger home scoring record, while Portland have struggled to find consistency on the road.
Key insights
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
Top scorer with 10 goals, showing a strong home scoring rate of 0.33 goals per game in the last 10 home matches.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 22 appearances, 0.33 goals/game at home
Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
Key attacking midfielder with 7 goals and 7 assists this season, including 3 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games, boosting Colorado's scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 7 assists in 27 appearances, 3 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games
Kristoffer Velde
Portland Timbers
Main attacking threat with 8 goals this season but facing a solid Rapids defence led by Reggie Cannon.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 26 appearances
Analysis
Colorado Rapids have the edge in attacking prowess, led by Rafael Navarro and Paxten Aaronson, who have been in fine form this season. Navarro boasts 10 goals with a strong home scoring rate, while Aaronson contributes both goals and assists, making them a potent duo. Portland's main threats, Kristoffer Velde and Kevin Kelsy, face a solid Rapids defence anchored by Reggie Cannon. The Rapids' ability to score at home, averaging 1.86 goals per game, contrasts with Portland's 1.3 away goals, suggesting a tactical advantage for the hosts.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids currently rank 8th in the league with 37 points from 28 games.
- 2.Portland Timbers are 10th with 33 points from 28 games.
- 3.Colorado averages 1.86 goals per home game compared to Portland's 1.3 away goals.
- 4.Rafael Navarro leads Colorado with 10 goals this season, showing strong home form.
- 5.Paxten Aaronson has 7 goals and 7 assists, contributing significantly to Colorado's attack.
- 6.Portland's Kristoffer Velde has 8 goals but faces a tough Rapids defence.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Colorado Rapids.
- 8.The final predicted score is 3-1 to Colorado Rapids.
Prediction
We predict a 3-1 victory for Colorado Rapids, with the halftime score likely to be 1-0. The Rapids are expected to maintain their lead and extend it in the second half, capitalizing on their attacking strengths and home form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Portland Timbers
The verdict
Colorado Rapids look set to continue their positive momentum with a confident win over Portland Timbers. Their attacking trio and home scoring advantage should prove decisive in securing all three points.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ojediran
Assist: Travis
Atencio
Yellow Card
Herrington
Assist: Sealy
Harris
Ojediran
Mora
Pantemis
Yellow Card
Herrington
Yellow Card
Guerra
Fory
Red Card
Travis
Atencio
Sealy
Chará
Yellow Card
Antony
Chará
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Z. SteffenG
- 4R. CannonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 7D. SealyF
- 8H. OjediranM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 99J. TravisD
Substitutes
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 11A. Castillo ManyomaM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 20C. RonanM
- 21T. Ku-DiPietroM
- 24N. CobbD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiF
Portland Timbers
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5B. ByeD
- 6A. BonetigD
- 9F. MoraM
- 11AntonyM
- 17C. BassettM
- 20F. SurmanD
- 21D. CharáM
- 27J. ForyD
- 41J. PantemisG
- 88Andrew GuerraF
- 99K. VeldeM
Substitutes
- 4K. MillerD
- 7A. LassiterF
- 15E. MillerD
- 16S. JuraD
- 19K. KelsyF
- 23Ian SmithD
- 25T. MuseG
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 8 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dante Sealy | F | 82 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Zack Steffen(C) | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Harris | F | 57 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 61 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Jackson Travis | D | 82 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Atencio | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Navarro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Connor Ronan | M | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Theodore Ku-DiPietro | M | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Pantemis | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Felipe Mora | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Antony Alves | M | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alex Bonetig | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gage Guerra | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Cole Bassett | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Chará(C) | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Brandon Bye | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kristoffer Velde | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Jímer Fory | D | 77 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sawyer Jura | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Muse | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kamal Miller | D | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Smith | D | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Lassiter | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Colorado Rapids to win against Portland Timbers.
- What score did Fipster predict for Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Colorado Rapids 3–1 Portland Timbers.
- What were the win probabilities for Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?
- Fipster's model gave Colorado Rapids a 95% chance of winning, Portland Timbers a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.