Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United snatch draw at Rapids
A late own goal from Loïc Williams seals a 2-2 stalemate in a tight MLS clash.
Colorado Rapids looked set for victory after goals from D. Yapi just after the break and G. Minoungou in the second half. However, Minnesota United FC fought back with K. Yeboah's equaliser early in the second half and an unfortunate own goal by Loïc Williams late on ensured the points were shared. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Rapids win, turning what looked like a narrow home victory into a hard-fought draw.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC prepare for what promises to be a lively encounter. Both sides have shown attacking intent in their recent fixtures, setting the stage for a match brimming with goals and drama.
Match factors
Colorado's attacking midfield creativity vs Minnesota's defense
Paxten Aaronson's recent scoring and assisting form gives Colorado a creative edge against Minnesota's leaky defense.
Rafael Navarro's home scoring prowess
Navarro averages 0.33 goals per home game in last 10, outperforming league attacker average, boosting Colorado's scoring chances.
Kelvin Yeboah's hot streak for Minnesota
Yeboah scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, showing strong form despite Minnesota's overall struggles.
Impact of Joaquín Pereyra's doubtful status
Pereyra's muscle injury casts doubt on Minnesota's creative output; if fit, he remains a key assist threat.
Colorado's defensive contributions from Kosi Thompson
Thompson's goal threat and defensive work rate add balance to Colorado's play, aiding both defense and attack.
The context
This fixture sees Colorado Rapids sitting 8th in the league with 36 points, while Minnesota United FC occupy 14th with 29 points. Their head-to-head history is finely balanced, with Colorado holding a slight edge of 9 wins to Minnesota's 8 in 20 meetings, alongside 3 draws. Matches between these two have averaged over three goals, hinting at an open and entertaining contest.
Key insights
Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
Aaronson's recent scoring and assisting form gives Colorado a creative edge against Minnesota's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
Navarro averages 0.33 goals per home game in last 10, boosting Colorado's scoring chances at home.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 20 appearances
Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Yeboah's hot streak of 4 goals in last 5 games keeps Minnesota competitive despite their league position.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 24 appearances, 4 in last 5 games
Joaquín Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
Pereyra's doubtful status due to muscle injury could reduce Minnesota's creative threat.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 24 appearances
Analysis
Colorado Rapids boast a creative spark through midfielder Paxten Aaronson, who has netted 3 goals and provided 3 assists in his last five games, making him a key threat. Rafael Navarro, the Rapids' top scorer with 9 goals this season, has been particularly effective at home, averaging a goal every three games on familiar turf. Minnesota's Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah counters with a hot streak of 4 goals in his last 5 matches, though the potential absence of Joaquín Pereyra due to a muscle injury could blunt Minnesota's creativity. Defensively, Colorado's Kosi Thompson offers both solidity and goal threat, adding balance to the Rapids' approach.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids have 9 wins, Minnesota United FC 8, with 3 draws in 20 matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, indicating a high-scoring fixture.
- 3.Colorado Rapids rank 8th with 36 points from 27 games (W11 D3 L13).
- 4.Minnesota United FC rank 14th with 29 points from 27 games (W7 D8 L12).
- 5.Rafael Navarro is Colorado's top scorer with 9 goals, strong home form.
- 6.Paxten Aaronson has 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games.
- 7.Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches for Minnesota.
- 8.Joaquín Pereyra is doubtful with a muscle injury, impacting Minnesota's creativity.
Prediction
Expect a closely fought match with Colorado Rapids narrowly prevailing 3-2. The halftime scoreline of 2-1 suggests an early edge for the Rapids, but Minnesota's resilience will keep the contest tight. Four cards are anticipated, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Minnesota United FC
The verdict
All signs point to an entertaining, high-scoring affair with Colorado Rapids just shading it. Their attacking midfield creativity and home scoring prowess should be enough to overcome Minnesota United FC's spirited challenge, making this a must-watch for fans of end-to-end football.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 03:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yapi
Yellow Card
Yapi
Assist: Rosenberry
Yeboah
Rosenberry
Aaronson
Caldeira
Card upgrade confirmed
Abu
Red Card
Yapi
Whittaker
Phillip
Minoungou
Navarro
Yellow Card
Trapp
Chancalay
Hlongwane
Williams (OG)
Gene
Yellow Card
Díaz
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 7M. WhittakerF
- 8H. OjediranM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 29M. NavarroD
- 32D. PhillipF
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiF
Substitutes
- 9S. AbuF
- 11I. SadiqF
- 12J. AtencioM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 24N. CobbD
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 93G. MinoungouF
- 99J. TravisD
Minnesota United FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8T. ChancalayM
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 15M. BoxallD
- 20W. TrappM
- 21B. HlongwaneM
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 23M. DugganD
- 28J. DíazD
- 30O. GeneM
- 52Cherrion ValeriusD
Substitutes
- 3K. DuncanD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 11M. MaloneF
- 16A. JacksonM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 25N. TriantisD
- 26J. PereyraM
- 27D. TaylorD
- 94Kayne RizvanovichG
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Minoungou | F | 20 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yapi | F | 70 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Whittaker | F | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/6 |
| R. Holding | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Rosenberry | D | 60 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Phillip | F | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| I. Sadiq | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Thompson | D | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Loïc Williams | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Aaronson | M | 60 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Defreitas | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 30 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Abu | F | 8 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Cobb | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Beaudry | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yeboah | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 25 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| W. Trapp | M | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Boxall | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Gene | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Callender | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Hlongwane | M | 82 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Jackson | M | 8 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | M | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Triantis | D | 8 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Pereyra | M | 8 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Taylor | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Romero | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Duncan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Malone | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayne Rizvanovich | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Colorado Rapids to win against Minnesota United FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Colorado Rapids 3–2 Minnesota United FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster's model gave Colorado Rapids a 74% chance of winning, Minnesota United FC a 13% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 74% confidence — a high-confidence call.