Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Match recap
Colorado Rapids beat Los Angeles Galaxy 4–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Yapi, Castillo Manyoma, Navarro, and Navarro scored for Colorado Rapids; João Klauss replied for Los Angeles Galaxy. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.88 for Colorado Rapids versus 1.09 for Los Angeles Galaxy. Colorado Rapids sit 9th in the Major League Soccer table while Los Angeles Galaxy are 8th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Colorado Rapids win
Actual
4–1
Outcome probability
The Colorado Rapids face off against the Los Angeles Galaxy in this eagerly anticipated MLS regular season fixture. Both teams have shown competitive spirit, but the Rapids' recent home performances and attacking momentum suggest they will come out on top.
Match factors
Colorado's home scoring streak supports predicted win
Colorado Rapids have scored in their last 5 home games, indicating strong attacking momentum at home
Rafael Navarro's goal-scoring form is a key edge
Navarro leads Colorado with 10 goals this season, well above league average for attackers
Paxten Aaronson's recent form boosts Colorado's attack
Aaronson has 3 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games, showing strong recent contribution
Doubtful status of João Klauss limits LA Galaxy's attacking threat
Klauss is doubtful due to injury, capping his scoring probability despite strong rate
Marco Reus's creativity key for LA Galaxy's attack
Reus provides 7 assists and 7 goals, crucial for creating chances despite injury doubt
The context
This match is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 3. Colorado Rapids currently sit just above LA Galaxy in the league standings, with both teams eager to climb higher. The Rapids have demonstrated solid form at home, while the Galaxy are managing some injury doubts that could affect their attacking options.
Key insights
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
Navarro's 10 goals this season and strong home scoring form make him a key threat against LA Galaxy.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 22 apps, 0.45 goals/game
Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
Aaronson's recent form with 3 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games boosts Colorado's attacking options.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 27 apps, 0.26 goals/game
João Klauss
Los Angeles Galaxy
Klauss is doubtful with injury, limiting LA Galaxy's attacking threat despite his strong scoring rate.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 9 apps, 0.67 goals/game
Marco Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
Reus remains a key creative player with 7 goals and 7 assists, though his doubtful status casts uncertainty.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 26 apps, 0.27 assists/game
Analysis
Colorado Rapids have been impressive at home, scoring in their last five matches, which bodes well for their attacking threat in this game. Rafael Navarro leads the charge with 10 goals this season and has a strong record against the Galaxy, including a brace in their last meeting. Paxten Aaronson's recent form, with three goals and three assists in his last five games, adds further firepower. On the other side, LA Galaxy's João Klauss is doubtful with injury, limiting their offensive threat, while Marco Reus remains a key creative figure despite his uncertain fitness. The Rapids' ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity should see them through comfortably.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids have scored in their last 5 home games.
- 2.Rafael Navarro leads Colorado with 10 goals this season.
- 3.Paxten Aaronson has 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games.
- 4.João Klauss is doubtful for LA Galaxy due to injury.
- 5.Marco Reus has 7 goals and 7 assists but is a doubt for this match.
- 6.Colorado Rapids rank 8th in the league with 37 points from 28 games.
- 7.LA Galaxy are 9th with 36 points from 28 games.
- 8.Head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game.
Prediction
We predict a 3-1 victory for Colorado Rapids, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The Rapids' home scoring streak and key players' form underpin this forecast. The Galaxy may find the Rapids' attacking duo too much to handle, especially with their own injury concerns.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Los Angeles Galaxy
The verdict
In summary, the Rapids' strong home form and attacking depth make them favourites to secure a solid win over the Galaxy. Expect a lively match with Colorado asserting control early and maintaining their advantage to the final whistle.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:25 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yapi
Assist: Aaronson
Pec
Yellow Card
Paintsil
João Klauss
Assist: Pec
Sealy
Atencio
Ojediran
Pec
Yellow Card
Pec
Red Card
Cannon
Unknown
Reus
João Klauss
Castillo Manyoma
Assist: Yapi
Aude
Yamane
Navarro
Glesnes
Yellow Card
Navarro
Assist: Frederick II
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4R. CannonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 7D. SealyM
- 8H. OjediranM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiM
- 99J. Travis
Substitutes
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 11A. Castillo ManyomaM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 20C. RonanM
- 21T. Ku-DiPietroM
- 24N. CobbD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 51Zackory CampagnoloG
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. MićovićG
- 2M. YamaneD
- 3J. AudeD
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 6E. CerrilloM
- 11Gabriel PecM
- 18M. ReusM
- 22E. WynderM
- 28J. PaintsilM
- 99João KlaussF
Substitutes
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 9Matheus NascimentoF
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 14J. NelsonD
- 15J. HaakM
- 19M. CuevasD
- 24R. RamosF
- 26Harbor MillerD
- 27E. ThommyM
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Yapi | M | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Rob Holding(C) | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Atencio | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jackson Travis | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dante Sealy | M | 58 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alex Harris | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zackory Campagnolo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Navarro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 22 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Theodore Ku-DiPietro | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Connor Ronan | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 32 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Klauss | F | 71 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Miki Yamane | D | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Reus(C) | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Julián Aude | D | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joseph Paintsil | M | 50 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 59 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4/5 |
| Maya Yoshida | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novak Mićović | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| James Marcinkowski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haak | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Ramos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Thommy | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matheus Nascimento | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 40 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| John Nelson | D | 9 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Colorado Rapids to win against Los Angeles Galaxy.
- What score did Fipster predict for Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Colorado Rapids 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
- What were the win probabilities for Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Fipster's model gave Colorado Rapids a 88% chance of winning, Los Angeles Galaxy a 6% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.