Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC
Rapids edge out LAFC with own goal
A solitary own goal by J. Ebobisse secures a narrow win for Colorado Rapids.
Colorado Rapids claimed a tight 1-0 victory over Los Angeles FC thanks to an own goal by J. Ebobisse in the 22nd minute. Despite a missed penalty by Rafael Navarro just before half-time, Rapids held firm to their slender lead. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
The Colorado Rapids face off against Los Angeles FC in what promises to be a tactical battle in the regular season. Both teams have shown quality, but the Rapids' home form and attacking edge could prove decisive.
Match factors
Colorado's Rafael Navarro leads scoring with strong home form
Navarro's 9 goals and recent home scoring streak give Colorado a clear attacking edge at home
LAFC's Denis Bouanga outperforms league average in scoring and assists
Bouanga's 10 goals and 4 assists this season exceed league averages for midfielders, boosting LAFC's attack
Son Heung-Min's recent scoring surge boosts LAFC attack
Son scored 4 goals in last 5 games and leads LAFC in assists, indicating strong form
Colorado missing key midfielder and goalkeeper due to injury
Ku-DiPietro and Steffen are confirmed out, weakening Colorado's midfield creativity and goalkeeping
LAFC's defensive solidity aided by Yevhen Cheberko's tackling
Cheberko's high tackle rate and duel win percentage strengthen LAFC's defense against Colorado's attack
The context
Colorado Rapids currently sit 8th in the league with 25 points from 19 games, while Los Angeles FC are higher up in 3rd place with 34 points. Historically, LAFC have had the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, winning 10 of 18 matches compared to Colorado's 5 victories.
Key insights
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
Navarro's 9 goals and recent home scoring streak give Colorado a clear attacking edge at home.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 18 apps, 2 goals in last 4 home games
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Bouanga's 10 goals and 4 assists this season exceed league averages for midfielders, boosting LAFC's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 4 assists in 18 apps
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Son scored 4 goals in last 5 games and leads LAFC in assists, indicating strong form.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals in 17 apps, 8 assists in 17 apps
Analysis
Despite LAFC's superior league position and head-to-head record, the prediction leans towards a Colorado Rapids home win. Rafael Navarro leads the Rapids' attack with 9 goals this season and has been particularly effective at home, scoring twice in the last four home games. Meanwhile, LAFC's top scorer Denis Bouanga has been in fine form with 10 goals, but the Rapids' defensive resilience, aided by their home advantage, could stifle LAFC's threat. Colorado's midfield creativity might be hampered by injuries, but their overall attacking and defensive balance suggests they can secure a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids are 8th in the league with 25 points from 19 games.
- 2.Los Angeles FC hold 3rd place with 34 points from 19 games.
- 3.LAFC have won 10 of 18 head-to-head matches against Colorado Rapids.
- 4.Colorado Rapids have won 5 of 18 head-to-head matches against LAFC.
- 5.Rafael Navarro leads Colorado Rapids with 9 goals this season.
- 6.Denis Bouanga is LAFC's top scorer with 10 goals this season.
- 7.Predicted fulltime score is 2-0 in favour of Colorado Rapids.
- 8.Four cards are expected during the match.
Prediction
The forecast is for Colorado Rapids to take a 1-0 lead into halftime and extend that to a 2-0 victory by full time. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with a moderate number of cards around four, reflecting a keen but disciplined contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
In summary, Colorado Rapids' home advantage and key players' form should see them edge out Los Angeles FC with a 2-0 win. LAFC will need to overcome defensive challenges and capitalize on their attacking talents to avoid defeat.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cheberko
Yellow Card
Ebobisse (OG)
Maziz
Yellow Card
Segura
Yellow Card
Tafari
Yellow Card
Navarro
Missed Penalty · Assist: Navarro
Tafari
Maziz
Yapi
Yellow Card
Yapi
Shaffelburg
Tillman
Hollingshead
Boyd
Ojediran
Navarro
Porteous
Thompson
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 38 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 35 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
| 6 |  St. Louis City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | +2 | 28 |
| 8 |  Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4R. CannonD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 29M. NavarroD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiM
- 88Y. MazizM
Substitutes
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 7D. SealyF
- 16A. HarrisF
- 24N. CobbD
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 32D. PhillipF
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 93G. MinoungouF
Los Angeles FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4E. SeguraM
- 5R. PorteousD
- 11T. TillmanM
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 18J. ShaffelburgM
- 19T. BoydM
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 66M. ChoinièreM
- 91N. TafariD
Substitutes
- 1H. LlorisG
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 21R. RaposoM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 33A. LongD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 90Tommy MihalicF
- 99D. BouangaF
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 83 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Loïc Williams | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Darren Yapi | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Miguel Navarro | D | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro(C) | F | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Youssef Maziz | M | 55 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Beaudry | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Harris | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donavan Phillip | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 41 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Dante Sealy | F | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Noah Cobb | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabral Carter | G | 96 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Eddie Segura(C) | M | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yevhen Cheberko | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Boyd | F | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | F | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kenny Nielsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Lloris | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jude Terry | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Long | D | 51 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommy Mihalic | F | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Delgado | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Son Heung-min | F | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Bouanga | F | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |