Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami
Match recap
Inter Miami beat Colorado Rapids 3–2 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Navarro and Yapi scored for Colorado Rapids; Messi, Berterame, and Messi replied for Inter Miami. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.69 for Colorado Rapids versus 1.18 for Inter Miami.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Colorado Rapids win
Actual
2–3
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season clash sees Colorado Rapids aiming to extend their solid home form against Inter Miami. With both teams eager to climb the table, expect a tactical battle with Colorado's attacking midfielders looking to exploit Miami's defensive gaps.
Match factors
Colorado's attacking midfield strength vs Inter Miami's defense
Colorado's Paxten Aaronson and Rafael Navarro have strong home form and good recent goal contributions, likely to exploit Inter Miami's defensive vulnerabilities.
Messi's creative dominance for Inter Miami
Lionel Messi leads Inter Miami with 23 goals and 11 assists, providing a major creative and scoring threat that Colorado must contain.
Colorado's home scoring streak
Colorado Rapids have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum at home.
Aaronson's recent assist form
Paxten Aaronson has 3 assists in last 5 games, indicating peak creative form for Colorado Rapids.
Inter Miami missing Mateo Silvetti
Inter Miami's Mateo Silvetti is confirmed out, reducing attacking depth and set-piece options for the away side.
The context
Colorado Rapids currently sit 8th in their league standings, showing a mixed bag of results but a notable scoring streak at home. Inter Miami, meanwhile, rely heavily on Lionel Messi's attacking prowess, but will miss Mateo Silvetti, which could hamper their offensive options.
Key insights
Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
Aaronson's creative spark is vital for Colorado's attack, with 7 goals and 8 assists this season, including 3 assists in the last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 8 assists in 28 apps, 3 assists in last 5 games
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
Navarro is Colorado's top scorer with 10 goals, showing strong home form and a key role in their offensive play.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 22 apps, 0.45 goals/game
- L
Lionel Messi Cuccittini
Inter Miami
Messi remains Inter Miami's main attacking threat with 23 goals and 11 assists, but the team may struggle without Mateo Silvetti.
Major League Soccer 26/2723 goals and 11 assists in 25 apps
Analysis
Colorado's Paxten Aaronson and Rafael Navarro have been in fine form at home, combining goal-scoring and creative contributions that could unsettle Inter Miami's defence. Messi remains a constant threat with his impressive tally of 23 goals and 11 assists this season, but the absence of Silvetti might blunt Miami's attacking edge. Colorado's recent home scoring streak and midfield creativity give them the upper hand in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids are 8th in the league with 37 points from 28 games (W11 D4 L13).
- 2.Colorado Rapids have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 3.Lionel Messi leads Inter Miami with 23 goals and 11 assists this season.
- 4.Mateo Silvetti is out for Inter Miami, reducing their attacking depth.
- 5.Paxten Aaronson has 3 assists in his last 5 games, indicating peak creative form.
- 6.Rafael Navarro is Colorado's top scorer with 10 goals this season.
Prediction
We see Colorado Rapids taking an early lead, possibly by halftime, and maintaining their momentum to secure a 3-0 victory. Their home advantage and attacking midfield strength should prove decisive against an Inter Miami side missing key personnel.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Inter Miami
The verdict
In summary, Colorado Rapids are poised to deliver a commanding performance backed by strong home form and effective attacking play. Inter Miami will need to overcome personnel challenges and contain Colorado's midfield threats to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Atencio
Yellow Card
Messi
Penalty
De Paul
Yellow Card
Micael
Yellow Card
Berterame
Yellow Card
Berterame
Assist: Silvetti
Navarro
Assist: Frederick II
Ojediran
Yapi
Assist: Herrington
Frederick II
Yellow Card
Silvetti
Luján
Herrington
Yellow Card
Messi
Assist: De Paul
Aaronson
Segovia
Yellow Card
Bright
Red Card
Messi
Yellow Card
Travis
Yellow Card
Berterame
Atencio
Segovia
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Z. SteffenG
- 6R. HoldingD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 93G. MinoungouM
- 99J. TravisD
Substitutes
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 7D. SealyF
- 11A. Castillo ManyomaM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 19I. MurphyD
- 24N. CobbD
- 27K. Stewart-BaynesF
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiF
Inter Miami
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2G. LujánD
- 4F. MuraD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 16MicaelD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 24Mateo SilvettiM
- 37M. FalcónD
- 42Y. BrightM
- 97D. St. ClairG
Substitutes
- 9L. SuárezF
- 17I. FrayD
- 21T. AllendeF
- 32N. AllenD
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 41D. RuízM
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 88A. ShawM
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/7 |
| Jackson Travis | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Josh Atencio | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zack Steffen(C) | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Noah Cobb | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kimani Stewart-Baynes | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Murphy | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 29 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Dante Sealy | F | 15 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Harris | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi(C) | F | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/3 |
| Germán Berterame | F | 89 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Yannick Bright | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Micael | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Facundo Mura | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ian Fray | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| David Ruíz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tadeo Allende | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Shaw | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Allen | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Colorado Rapids to win against Inter Miami.
- What score did Fipster predict for Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Colorado Rapids 3–0 Inter Miami.
- What were the win probabilities for Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's model gave Colorado Rapids a 87% chance of winning, Inter Miami a 6% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 87% confidence — a high-confidence call.