Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire
Match recap
Chicago Fire beat Colorado Rapids 4–2 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Whittaker and Aaronson scored for Colorado Rapids; Bamba, Bamba, Lewandowski, and Dithejane replied for Chicago Fire. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.45 for Colorado Rapids versus 2.37 for Chicago Fire.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, Colorado Rapids look poised to extend their home scoring run against Chicago Fire. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, but the Rapids' midfield creativity and home form could prove decisive.
Match factors
Colorado Rapids' home scoring streak
Colorado Rapids have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home
Chicago Fire's recent scoring consistency
Chicago Fire have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, maintaining offensive pressure
Colorado Rapids missing key attackers
Colorado Rapids have 2 attackers doubtful including I. Sadiq, which may limit attacking options if they don't start
Colorado Rapids' strong midfield creators
Players like Paxten Aaronson and Hamzat Ojediran provide creative passing and assist potential to unlock Chicago's defense
Chicago Fire's key attacking duo
Lewandowski and Haile-Selassie lead Chicago's attack with consistent goal and assist contributions
The context
Colorado Rapids currently sit 9th in their league with 42 points from 31 games, reflecting a mixed season of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses. Chicago Fire have maintained offensive pressure, scoring in four of their last five matches, while Rapids have found the net in their last five home games. The Rapids face some uncertainty with two attackers doubtful, including I. Sadiq, which might limit their options upfront.
Key insights
- P
Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
Provides creative passing and assist potential to unlock Chicago's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/27High assist involvement in recent matches and strong passing stats.
- H
Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
Contributes both defensively and offensively with high passing volume.
Major League Soccer 26/27Solid midfield presence and potential key playmaker.
- R
Robert Lewandowski
Chicago Fire
Central to Chicago Fire's attack with multiple recent goals.
Major League Soccer 26/27Prolific scorer with consistent goal contributions.
- M
Maren Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
Key creative force with strong assist and goal involvement.
Major League Soccer 26/27High recent ratings and goal contributions.
Analysis
The Rapids' midfield duo, Paxten Aaronson and Hamzat Ojediran, have been instrumental in creating chances and unlocking defences, giving them a tactical edge. Chicago Fire rely heavily on their attacking pair, Robert Lewandowski and Maren Haile-Selassie, who consistently contribute goals and assists. However, the Rapids' home scoring streak and creative midfield presence suggest they can control the game and secure a comfortable win.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids are ranked 9th in their league with 42 points from 31 games (W12 D6 L13).
- 2.Colorado Rapids have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home.
- 3.Chicago Fire have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, maintaining offensive pressure.
- 4.Colorado Rapids have two attackers doubtful, including I. Sadiq, which may limit attacking options.
- 5.Paxten Aaronson and Hamzat Ojediran provide creative passing and assist potential for Colorado Rapids.
- 6.Robert Lewandowski and Maren Haile-Selassie lead Chicago Fire's attack with consistent goal and assist contributions.
Prediction
We predict Colorado Rapids to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The model strongly favours a home win with this scoreline, reflecting the Rapids' attacking form and ability to break down Chicago's defence. Expect a competitive match with around four cards shown, but ultimately a clear Rapids triumph.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Chicago Fire
The verdict
In summary, the Rapids' home form and midfield creativity should see them through against a resilient Chicago Fire side. While Chicago's key attackers will test the defence, the Rapids are expected to come out on top with a 3-1 scoreline, continuing their recent scoring run.
Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 04:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Whittaker
Assist: Minoungou
Bamba
Allen
Yellow Card
Navarro
Yellow Card
Bamba
Assist: Dean
Aaronson
Assist: Minoungou
Rosenberry
Yapi
D'Avilla
Haile-Selassie
Minoungou
Ojediran
Yellow Card
Ku-DiPietro
Yellow Card
Lewandowski
Assist: Zinckernagel
Ojediran
Gómez
Allen
Zinckernagel
Dithejane
Assist: Lewandowski
Gutman
Yellow Card
Holding
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +40 | 64 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 |  Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 43 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 7M. WhittakerM
- 8H. OjediranM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 29M. NavarroD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiF
- 93G. MinoungouM
Substitutes
- 9S. AbuF
- 16A. HarrisF
- 21T. Ku-DiPietroM
- 24N. CobbD
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 32D. PhillipF
- 61B. DowdG
- 99J. TravisD
Chicago Fire
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 3J. ElliottD
- 4M. MbokaziD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieF
- 11P. ZinckernagelM
- 18J. GómezF
- 19J. BambaM
- 24J. DeanD
- 32N. AllenD
- 42T. D'AvillaM
Substitutes
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 10André FrancoM
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 15A. GutmanD
- 21A. Hanche-OlsenD
- 22M. PinedaD
- 23A. MekvabishviliM
- 44J. CohenG
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Whittaker | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2/3 |
| P. Aaronson | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Minoungou | M | 67 | 7.8 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Loïc Williams | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Abu | F | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/6 |
| D. Phillip | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Rosenberry | D | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 77 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Holding | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Yapi | F | 62 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Cobb | D | 28 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ku-DiPietro | M | 23 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| N. Defreitas | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Beaudry | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Dowd | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bamba | M | 90 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0/3 |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 27 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 87 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| P. Dithejane | F | 3 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Mekvabishvili | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Gómez | F | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| André Franco | M | 9 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Allen | D | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Mbokazi | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pineda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cohen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Colorado Rapids to win against Chicago Fire.
- What score did Fipster predict for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Colorado Rapids 3–1 Chicago Fire.
- What were the win probabilities for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
- Fipster's model gave Colorado Rapids a 76% chance of winning, Chicago Fire a 12% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 76% confidence — a high-confidence call.