Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal
Rapids edge Montreal with penalty strike
P. Aaronson's first-half penalty secures a narrow win for Colorado Rapids.
Colorado Rapids claimed a tight 1-0 victory over CF Montreal thanks to P. Aaronson's penalty just before half-time. The match was a close affair with the solitary goal making all the difference. Fipster had tipped a home win with high confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction of Rapids prevailing proved sound.
Outcome probability
As the regular season rolls on, Colorado Rapids face CF Montreal in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have their moments, but the Rapids' recent home form suggests they have the edge.
Match factors
Colorado's home scoring streak and defensive solidity
Colorado Rapids have scored in all last 5 home games and kept 5 consecutive home clean sheets, indicating strong home form
Rafael Navarro's goal-scoring form
Navarro has 9 goals this season with strong home scoring rate, making him the most likely scorer
Paxten Aaronson's doubtful status but recent impact
Aaronson is doubtful due to a knock but has 4 goals and 3 assists this season, if fit he boosts Colorado's creativity
Prince-Osei Owusu's dual threat for Montreal
Owusu leads Montreal with 13 goals and 6 assists, key attacking threat despite team's defensive struggles
Impact of confirmed absences on Colorado's attack
Colorado misses Mamadou Billo Diop (out) who is an attacker, reducing attacking depth
The context
Colorado Rapids currently sit 7th in their league with 31 points from 23 games, showing a mixed bag of results with 10 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses. CF Montreal, meanwhile, rely heavily on their top scorer Prince-Osei Owusu, who has netted 13 goals this season and also leads in assists. The Rapids have been particularly strong at home, scoring in all of their last five home games and keeping clean sheets in each, which bodes well for their defensive resilience.
Key insights

Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
Navarro has been a consistent goal threat at home, scoring 0.5 goals per game in the last five home matches, making him the key player for Colorado's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 20 apps, 0.45 avg per game

Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
Despite being doubtful, Aaronson's 4 goals and 3 assists this season highlight his potential impact if he plays, adding creativity to Colorado's midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 21 apps

Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu is Montreal's main attacking threat with 13 goals and 6 assists, but Colorado's strong home defence will aim to neutralise him.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals and 6 assists in 22 apps
Analysis
The prediction leans heavily towards a home win, with a 2-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. Colorado's attacking threat is spearheaded by Rafael Navarro, who boasts 9 goals this season and has been especially effective on home turf, averaging 0.5 goals per game in his last five home appearances. The midfield creativity of Paxten Aaronson could be a factor if he overcomes his doubtful status. Defensively, the Rapids have been rock solid at home, maintaining five consecutive clean sheets, which should frustrate Montreal's leading scorer Owusu despite his impressive tally of 13 goals and 6 assists. The expected halftime score of 1-0 aligns well with the fulltime prediction, suggesting a steady but controlled performance from the Rapids.
Key facts
- 1.Colorado Rapids are 7th in the league with 31 points from 23 games (W10 D1 L12).
- 2.Colorado Rapids have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- 3.Colorado Rapids have kept 5 consecutive home clean sheets.
- 4.Rafael Navarro leads Colorado Rapids with 9 goals this season.
- 5.Navarro averages 0.5 goals per game in his last 5 home matches.
- 6.Prince-Osei Owusu is CF Montreal's top scorer with 13 goals and 6 assists.
- 7.Paxten Aaronson is doubtful but could add creativity if fit.
Prediction
Expect Colorado Rapids to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, finishing with a 2-0 victory. The Rapids' home scoring streak and defensive solidity should be enough to keep Montreal at bay, while Rafael Navarro is the most likely candidate to find the net.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids



Away — CF Montreal

The verdict
In summary, Colorado Rapids' strong home form and defensive discipline make them favourites to secure a comfortable 2-0 win over CF Montreal. Montreal's attacking threats will be kept in check, and the Rapids' key players are poised to make the difference.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Aaronson
Penalty
Yapi
Phillip
Carmona
Owusu
Radojević
Atencio
Piette
Sealy
Yellow Card
Streit
Ojediran
Rosenberry
Thompson
Yellow Card
Frederick II
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 | |
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 29M. NavarroD
- 32D. PhillipF
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiF
- 93G. MinoungouF
Substitutes
- 7M. WhittakerF
- 9S. FarhiF
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 24N. CobbD
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 94V. RinaldiM
- 99J. TravisD
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. BrezaG
- 2J. NealD
- 3B. CeballosD
- 6S. PietteM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 17D. SealyF
- 22V. LoturiM
- 23N. StreitF
- 24E. MoralesD
- 28V. RadojevićD
Substitutes
- 5B. CraigD
- 10A. SánchezF
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 14D. RíosF
- 18H. SynchukM
- 21F. HerbersF
- 27D. BugajD
- 29O. EscobarF
- 41S. KeitaG
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Defreitas | G | 90 | 8.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Rosenberry | D | 83 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| P. Aaronson | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Loïc Williams | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Holding | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Whittaker | F | 36 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| H. Ojediran | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Cobb | D | 7 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Phillip | F | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| W. Frederick II | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| S. Farhi | F | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Thompson | D | 7 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Minoungou | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3/10 |
| D. Yapi | F | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/4 |
| V. Rinaldi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Beaudry | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Breza | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Neal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Sealy | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Petrasso | D | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Morales | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Piette | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| V. Radojević | D | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 59 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| F. Herbers | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Streit | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/5 |
| D. Ríos | F | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| W. Carmona | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | F | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Ceballos | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| O. Escobar | F | 8 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bugaj | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Synchuk | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Keita | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Craig | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |



