Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal

Major League SoccerMatchweek 25
Ref: D. FischerDick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado · 19,734 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Full-time story

Rapids edge Montreal with penalty strike

P. Aaronson's first-half penalty secures a narrow win for Colorado Rapids.

Colorado Rapids claimed a tight 1-0 victory over CF Montreal thanks to P. Aaronson's penalty just before half-time. The match was a close affair with the solitary goal making all the difference. Fipster had tipped a home win with high confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction of Rapids prevailing proved sound.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
20
HT 1–0
Final Result
10
HT 1–0
91%Excellent
A
OutcomeExact scoreBoth scoredGoalsHalftime
Fipster's self review13 Sept 2026

Outcome probability

Colorado Rapids 85%Draw 8%CF Montreal 7%

As the regular season rolls on, Colorado Rapids face CF Montreal in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have their moments, but the Rapids' recent home form suggests they have the edge.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Colorado's home scoring streak and defensive solidity

Colorado Rapids have scored in all last 5 home games and kept 5 consecutive home clean sheets, indicating strong home form

Statistical Edgehigh

Rafael Navarro's goal-scoring form

Navarro has 9 goals this season with strong home scoring rate, making him the most likely scorer

Form Momentummedium

Paxten Aaronson's doubtful status but recent impact

Aaronson is doubtful due to a knock but has 4 goals and 3 assists this season, if fit he boosts Colorado's creativity

Tactical Advantagehigh

Prince-Osei Owusu's dual threat for Montreal

Owusu leads Montreal with 13 goals and 6 assists, key attacking threat despite team's defensive struggles

Injury Impactmedium

Impact of confirmed absences on Colorado's attack

Colorado misses Mamadou Billo Diop (out) who is an attacker, reducing attacking depth

The context

Colorado Rapids currently sit 7th in their league with 31 points from 23 games, showing a mixed bag of results with 10 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses. CF Montreal, meanwhile, rely heavily on their top scorer Prince-Osei Owusu, who has netted 13 goals this season and also leads in assists. The Rapids have been particularly strong at home, scoring in all of their last five home games and keeping clean sheets in each, which bodes well for their defensive resilience.

Analysis

The prediction leans heavily towards a home win, with a 2-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. Colorado's attacking threat is spearheaded by Rafael Navarro, who boasts 9 goals this season and has been especially effective on home turf, averaging 0.5 goals per game in his last five home appearances. The midfield creativity of Paxten Aaronson could be a factor if he overcomes his doubtful status. Defensively, the Rapids have been rock solid at home, maintaining five consecutive clean sheets, which should frustrate Montreal's leading scorer Owusu despite his impressive tally of 13 goals and 6 assists. The expected halftime score of 1-0 aligns well with the fulltime prediction, suggesting a steady but controlled performance from the Rapids.

Key facts

  1. 1.Colorado Rapids are 7th in the league with 31 points from 23 games (W10 D1 L12).
  2. 2.Colorado Rapids have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  3. 3.Colorado Rapids have kept 5 consecutive home clean sheets.
  4. 4.Rafael Navarro leads Colorado Rapids with 9 goals this season.
  5. 5.Navarro averages 0.5 goals per game in his last 5 home matches.
  6. 6.Prince-Osei Owusu is CF Montreal's top scorer with 13 goals and 6 assists.
  7. 7.Paxten Aaronson is doubtful but could add creativity if fit.

Prediction

Expect Colorado Rapids to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, finishing with a 2-0 victory. The Rapids' home scoring streak and defensive solidity should be enough to keep Montreal at bay, while Rafael Navarro is the most likely candidate to find the net.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeColorado Rapids

Rafael Navarro

Rafael Navarro

Attacker

Colorado Rapids

Total Goals
9
League avg: 1.12
20 played
20 starts
1830 mins
~92 mins/game
P. Aaronson

P. Aaronson

Midfielder

Colorado Rapids

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.12
21 played
19 starts
1716 mins
~82 mins/game
Darren Yapi

Darren Yapi

Attacker

Colorado Rapids

Total Goals
3
League avg: 1.12
21 played
12 starts
1068 mins
~51 mins/game

AwayCF Montreal

Prince-Osei Owusu

Prince-Osei Owusu

Attacker

CF Montreal

Total Goals
13
League avg: 1.12
22 played
21 starts
1825 mins
~83 mins/game
D. Ríos

D. Ríos

Attacker

CF Montreal

Total Goals
3
League avg: 1.12
19 played
5 starts
682 mins
~36 mins/game

The verdict

In summary, Colorado Rapids' strong home form and defensive discipline make them favourites to secure a comfortable 2-0 win over CF Montreal. Montreal's attacking threats will be kept in check, and the Rapids' key players are poised to make the difference.