Colorado Rapids vs Austin
Rapids snatch win with last-gasp penalty
Rafael Navarro's stoppage-time spot-kick seals a narrow victory for Colorado Rapids.
Colorado Rapids edged out Austin 1-0 thanks to a dramatic penalty converted by Rafael Navarro deep into stoppage time. The match was tightly contested with no goals until the very end, making Navarro's late strike all the more crucial. Fipster had confidently tipped a home win, and while the predicted margin was wider, the outcome was spot on.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Colorado Rapids win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
Match factors
Home Win Dominance
All top fulltime scorelines favor home win with combined probability near 1.0.
Consistent Halftime Lead
Halftime modal score 1-0 aligns with fulltime 3-0, indicating early home advantage.
Moderate Discipline Expected
Modal total cards is 3, suggesting moderate match discipline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colorado Rapids
Away — Austin
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ojediran
Sealy
Frederick II
Torres
Wolff
Torres
Yellow Card
Rosales
Yellow Card
Gallagher
Šabović
Vázquez
Cannon
Minoungou
Uzuni
Yellow Card
Navarro
Penalty
Navarro
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 14 |  Austin | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -28 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4R. CannonD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 7D. SealyM
- 8H. OjediranM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 93G. MinoungouM
Substitutes
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 12J. AtencioM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 24N. CobbD
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 32D. PhillipF
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 47S. WathutaF
- 77D. YapiF
Austin
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 9B. VázquezF
- 10M. UzuniF
- 11F. TorresF
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 17J. GallagherM
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30J. RosalesM
- 33O. WolffM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
Substitutes
- 5O. SvatokD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 7J. NelsonF
- 12D. LasG
- 21C. RamirezF
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
- 38Ervin TorresM
- 77P. PłachetaM
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Navarro | D | 96 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 96 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 85 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5/7 |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Loïc Williams | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro(C) | F | 96 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dante Sealy | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sydney Wathuta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Beaudry | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Donavan Phillip | F | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Harris | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Atencio | M | 38 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 34 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver(C) | G | 96 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 96 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jon Gallagher | M | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Owen Wolff | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Torres | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Vázquez | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jorge Alastuey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Las | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Przemysław Płacheta | M | 22 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |