Colombia vs Congo DR
Muñoz's strike seals Colombia's narrow win
A solitary goal in the second half was enough to edge out Congo DR.
Colombia managed to break the deadlock with a 76th-minute goal from D. Muñoz, securing a 1-0 victory over Congo DR in the World Cup. The match was tighter than expected, defying Fipster's prediction of a 1-1 draw and proving the model's confidence of 35% a little optimistic. A slender but decisive win for Colombia.
Analysis
As the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage unfolds, Colombia and Congo DR face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams bring comparable squad quality and recent form, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Colombia enters this fixture leading the group with 3 points and a +2 goal difference, having won their opening match. They boast six prior World Cup appearances with their best finish reaching the quarter-finals in 2014. Congo DR, with one previous World Cup appearance and a best finish at the group stage in 1974, qualified directly and have shown resilience in their recent matches.
Both teams feature a similar number of players competing in top European leagues, indicating balanced squad calibre. Colombia's recent form is slightly stronger, winning their last three matches and averaging 3 points per game, while Congo DR has a mixed recent record. Key players such as Colombia's Luis Díaz, who has been both scoring and assisting at a rate well above average, and Congo DR's Yoane Wissa, their main goal threat, will be pivotal in breaking the deadlock.
Prediction
Given the balanced squad quality and competitive recent form, the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw. Both sides have shown the ability to score but also to defend resolutely, suggesting a tight match with goals at both ends. Expect a disciplined game with around four cards issued as tensions rise in this crucial group stage encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Colombia's attacking trio in strong form
Luis Díaz, Jaminton Campaz, and Daniel Muñoz show high scoring rates and good minutes, providing multiple goal threats.
Congo DR's reliance on Yoane Wissa
Wissa is Congo DR's main goal threat with consistent scoring, but limited secondary scoring options.
Colombia's recent away scoring streak
Colombia scored 3 goals in last away match, showing strong offensive momentum on the road.
Arthur Masuaku's creative influence
Masuaku's assist and crossing ability provide Congo DR with key wide creativity and set-piece threat.
No injuries reported for either team
Full squads available, so tactical choices and form will be decisive rather than absences.
Key Takeaways
This match is set to be a tactical chess match with neither side giving an inch. Fans can anticipate a spirited contest where both Colombia and Congo DR will fight hard for every point, ultimately sharing the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
- Colombia has 6 prior World Cup appearances with a best finish of quarter-finals in 2014.
- Congo DR has appeared once before in the World Cup, exiting at the group stage in 1974.
- Colombia leads the group with 3 points and a +2 goal difference after one match.
- Both teams have a similar number of players in top-5 European leagues, indicating balanced squad quality.
- Colombia has won its last three matches, averaging 3 points per game in recent form.
- Congo DR qualified directly, finishing second in their qualifying group with 22 points.
- No injuries reported for either team, so full squads are available for selection.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Colombia
Away — Congo DR
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Mukau
Lucumí
Yellow Card
Bakambu
Rodríguez
Suárez
Masuaku
Kayembe
Muñoz
Assist: Quintero
Arias
Moutoussamy
Pickel
Yellow Card
Lerma
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Colombia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2D. MuñozD
- 3J. LucumíD
- 7L. DíazF
- 10J. RodríguezF
- 11J. AriasM
- 12C. VargasG
- 14G. PuertaM
- 16J. LermaM
- 17J. MojicaD
- 23D. SánchezD
- 25L. SuárezF
Substitutes
- 1D. OspinaG
- 4S. AriasD
- 5K. CastañoM
- 6R. RiosM
- 8J. CarrascalM
- 9J. CórdobaF
- 13Y. MinaD
- 15J. PortillaM
- 18W. DittaD
- 19C. HernándezF
- 20J. QuinteroM
- 21J. CampazM
- 22D. MachadoD
- 24Á. MonteroG
- 26A. GómezF
Congo DR
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1L. MpasiG
- 2A. Wan-BissakaD
- 3S. KapuadiD
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 6N. MukauM
- 8S. MoutoussamyM
- 17C. BakambuF
- 20Y. WissaF
- 22C. MbembaD
- 25E. KayembeM
- 26A. MasuakuD
Substitutes
- 5D. BatubinsikaD
- 7N. MbukuF
- 9B. CipengaF
- 10T. BongondaM
- 11G. KakutaM
- 12J. KayembeD
- 13M. EliaF
- 14N. SadikiM
- 15A. TshibolaM
- 16T. FayuluG
- 18C. PickelM
- 19F. MayeleF
- 21M. EpoloG
- 23S. BanzaF
- 24G. KaluluD
Colombia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Muñoz | D | 93 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 77 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Davinson Sánchez | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| James Rodríguez(C) | F | 58 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0/1 |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Camilo Vargas | G | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Puerta | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Luis Javier Suárez | F | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Díaz | F | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Santiago Arias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cucho Hernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Castaño | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Gómez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deiver Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yerry Mina | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Ospina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Carrascal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Portilla | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaminton Campaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willer Ditta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Quintero | M | 35 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Richard Ríos | M | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhon Córdoba | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Congo DR
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Mpasi Nzau | G | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Masuaku | D | 72 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Chancel Mbemba(C) | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Axel Tuanzebe | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoane Wissa | F | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Samuel Moutoussamy | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ngal'ayel Mukau | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Steve Kapuadi | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cédric Bakambu | F | 57 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Edo Kayembe | M | 72 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dylan Batubinsika | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Théo Bongonda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaël Kakuta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Tshibola | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gedeon Kalulu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meschak Elia | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthieu Epolo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Cipenga | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fiston Mayele | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Fayulu | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Banza | F | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nathanaël Mbuku | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Noah Sadiki | M | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joris Kayembe | D | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Charles Pickel | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |