Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire hold on for narrow win
Early goals set the tone as Chicago fend off Portland's late push.
Chicago Fire raced into a two-goal lead with strikes from R. Lod and T. D'Avilla inside the first 15 minutes, setting a strong foundation. Despite F. Surman's effort for Portland Timbers in the 85th minute, Chicago held firm to secure a 2-1 victory. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline differed.
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Chicago Fire and Portland Timbers promises an exciting spectacle, with both sides eager to secure valuable points in this regular season fixture.
Match factors
Cuypers' home scoring prowess
Cuypers excels at home with a goal per game in last 10 home matches, giving Chicago a strong attacking edge
Zinckernagel's dual threat
Zinckernagel contributes both goals and assists recently, boosting Chicago's creative and scoring potential
Kelsy's doubtful status limits Portland attack
Kelsy is doubtful with a foot injury, capping his scoring probability despite strong recent form
Chicago's superior home scoring rate
Chicago averages 2 goals per home game, above Portland's 1.4 away, favoring the home side's attack
Elliott's defensive leadership
Elliott's high passing and tackling stats make him key to disrupting Portland's attackers
The context
Portland Timbers currently sit 11th in their league with 21 points from 17 games, reflecting a mixed bag of results with six wins, three draws, and eight losses. Chicago Fire, meanwhile, are looking to capitalise on their strong home form to climb the standings.
Key insights

H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
Cuypers excels at home with a goal per game in last 10 home matches, giving Chicago a strong attacking edge.
13 goals in 11 appearances, 5 goals in last 10 home games

P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
Zinckernagel contributes both goals and assists recently, boosting Chicago's creative and scoring potential.
5 goals and 6 assists in 15 appearances

K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
Kelsy is doubtful with a foot injury, capping his scoring probability despite strong recent form.
8 goals in 16 appearances, 4 goals in last 5 games
- J
Jack Elliott
Chicago Fire
Elliott's high passing and tackling stats make him key to disrupting Portland's attackers.
Strong tackling and interception stats above league average
Analysis
Chicago Fire boast a superior home scoring rate, averaging two goals per game, which gives them a clear attacking edge over Portland's 1.4 goals per away match. Key to Chicago's threat is H. Cuypers, who has netted 13 goals this season, including a goal per game in his last 10 home appearances. Midfielder P. Zinckernagel adds creativity and goal threat, contributing six assists and five goals, making him a dual threat. Portland's attack may be hampered by the doubtful status of K. Kelsy, who has been in fine form but faces a late fitness test due to a foot injury. Defensively, Chicago's captain Jack Elliott is pivotal, with his strong tackling and interception stats crucial to containing Portland's forwards.
Key facts
- 1.Chicago Fire average 2 goals per home game, higher than Portland's 1.4 away goals per game.
- 2.Portland Timbers are 11th in the league with 21 points from 17 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses).
- 3.H. Cuypers leads Chicago with 13 goals in 11 appearances, including a goal per game in last 10 home matches.
- 4.P. Zinckernagel has 6 assists and 5 goals this season, showing strong creative and scoring form.
- 5.K. Kelsy is doubtful for Portland due to a foot injury, limiting their attacking options.
- 6.Jack Elliott's defensive leadership is key for Chicago, with high tackling and interception stats.
Prediction
We anticipate a high-scoring encounter with Chicago Fire narrowly prevailing 3-2. The predicted halftime score of 2-1 suggests an open and competitive first half, with Chicago's attacking prowess just edging out Portland's efforts. Expect goals from Cuypers and Zinckernagel to be decisive in securing the win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chicago Fire

Away — Portland Timbers
The verdict
In summary, Chicago Fire's home advantage and attacking firepower should see them through a closely contested match against Portland Timbers. While Portland will pose threats, especially if Kelsy overcomes his fitness doubts, the balance of form and key player contributions favour a home victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lod
Assist: Gutman
D'Avilla
Assist: Haile-Selassie
Bye
Yellow Card
Lod
Yellow Card
Zinckernagel
Lewandowski
Antony
Bassett
Leonardo Barroso
Pereira da Costa
Chará
Salétros
Yellow Card
Salétros
Surman
Assist: Bye
Miller
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 | |
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 28 | |
| 9 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | |
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Chicago Fire
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 3J. ElliottD
- 5S. RogersD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieM
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 11P. ZinckernagelM
- 15A. GutmanD
- 17R. LodM
- 42T. D'AvillaM
Substitutes
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 14V. RadojevićD
- 16J. WatermanD
- 19J. BambaF
- 22M. PinedaD
- 24J. DeanD
- 29D. PorębaM
- 38Christopher CuppsD
- 44J. CohenG
Portland Timbers
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4K. MillerD
- 5B. ByeD
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 11AntonyM
- 17C. BassettM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20F. SurmanD
- 21D. CharáM
- 27J. ForyD
- 41J. PantemisG
- 99K. VeldeM
Substitutes
- 7A. LassiterF
- 15E. MillerD
- 18Z. McGrawD
- 22O. FernandezF
- 25T. MuseG
- 30J. CaicedoM
- 80J. OrtizM
- 88Andrew GuerraF
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Robin Lod | M | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 72 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Elliott(C) | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Samuel Rogers | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Brady | G | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Josh Cohen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Poreba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Cupps | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Bamba | F | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Surman | D | 89 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 76 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Diego Chará(C) | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kamal Miller | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brandon Bye | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jímer Fory | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Kristoffer Velde | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/9 |
| Cole Bassett | M | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Pantemis | G | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antony Alves | M | 61 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gage Guerra | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omir Fernandez | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Muse | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zac McGraw | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Caicedo | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Lassiter | F | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |





